从 $WLFI 天价开盘理解加密新趋势

深潮Pubblicato 2025-09-01Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-09-02

Crypto 的下一个十年,属于把链上世界包装成华尔街能理解的金融产品的人。

撰文:Haotian

仅仅凭特朗普家族概念一点,@worldlibertyfi 上线流通市值就达到了 $7B 。几乎没有靠谱的生态项目支撑,其市场预期就超过了 AAVE、Uniswap、Ethena、Pendle 等一众 Crypto Native 蓝筹协议。Tell Me Why?答案很明确:当下 Crypto 行业的 Build 大风向彻底变了,分享若干观察:

1) To 华尔街机构,一个华尔街 DATs 新叙事的风靡就盖过了之前 layer2、BTCFi、ZK 等诸多技术叙事,事实证明来自机构的采纳才会真正带来增量,哪怕它们其中大部分操盘者都包藏祸心;

2)注重资本效率,市场不再聚焦 TPS 军备赛以及表面的 TVL Show,而开始关注如何让有限的资金产生更多的 Yield 收益。

比如@Dolomite_io 的流动性复用、@MitosisOrg 的可编程流动性创新、 @apr_labs 的 MEV 价值捕获和高频 Trading 飞轮等等都无一例外讲如何提升资本效率的故事;

3)金融工程 > 技术概念,Crypto 从金融向非金融领域的扩展似乎是一个怪圈,每一个周期都在讲外拓 Mass Adoption,但到最后都会回到最本质的金融交易场景。复杂的密码学和共识机制魅力早已不再取而代之的是深谙金融业务的结构化产品设计。

比如 @HyperliquidX 的链上订单簿深度和 CEX 级交易体验让大家几乎忘了 Decentralized, @pendle_fi 的 Boros 协议创新则如同打开了传统金融的潘多拉魔盒一般。事实证明,精密的金融工程设计比复杂的技术概念要强太多;

4)B2B2C 模式取代纯 C 端叙事,事实早已证明能服务好散户且 Drive 散户走的生意模式在币圈就只有一个:交易所,既中心化又霸权垄断不那么 Cool 的地头蛇模式。一般的 Builder 想围绕 Onchain 做创新,选择先服务好机构,再让机构服务散户的模式是聪明且明智的。

所以 TradFi 的产品定位下,为机构定制的 Vault、白名单池、KYC 门槛、AMM 优化等服务会成为创新方向。

5)合规成了创新的准入门槛,曾几何时 Crypto 创新合规都不是第一性原理,基本都是事后补票,但新趋势下先拿牌照在做产品,比先做产品再寻求合规更有效。或者说,合规成了新的不公平竞争优势,比如掌握政府资源优势的 TRUMP 家族对币圈的降维打击。

Coinbase 的 @base,Circle 的 USDC 扩张路径,甚至特朗普家族的 WLFI 背后的市场预期和估值逻辑都已经验证了此路径的高效性。

以上。

一句话:Crypto 的下一个十年,可能不再属于改变世界的极客,而是属于懂得如何把链上世界包装成华尔街能理解的金融产品的人。

Letture associate

Retail Investors' 'Lead Brother' Serenity vs. Newly Minted Stock God Leopold: How Are the Two Top Hunters Mining AI's 'Physical Limits'?

The article profiles two prominent figures, Serenity and Leopold Aschenbrenner, who are gaining attention for their unconventional investment strategies focused on the physical constraints of the AI boom, moving beyond mainstream software narratives. Serenity, an anonymous online trader, advocates a "shiso leaf" theory. He targets small-cap companies with monopolies on critical, overlooked components in the AI hardware supply chain, such as specific semiconductor materials. His deep, technical analysis of bottlenecks in areas like co-packaged optics (CPO) has reportedly yielded massive returns, though his anonymity and focus on illiquid micro-cap stocks pose significant risks for followers. Leopold Aschenbrenner, a former OpenAI researcher, founded a multi-billion dollar hedge fund. His macro thesis argues that physical infrastructure—power grids, land, data centers—is the true bottleneck for AI growth, lagging far behind chip production. Consequently, his fund employs an infrastructure arbitrage strategy: heavily investing in storage and compute infrastructure companies while placing massive bearish bets (put options) against major semiconductor stocks, betting their valuations will correct as physical constraints become apparent. While their methods differ—Serenity drills into microscopic supply chain details, while Leopold takes a macroscopic, infrastructure-focused view—both share a core belief: the real power and investment alpha in the AI era lie in controlling scarce physical resources, not just software. The article concludes by noting the inherent risks in both approaches, such as liquidity issues for micro-caps and timing risks for macro bets, but suggests they signal a broader market re-evaluation of AI's foundational assets.

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Retail Investors' 'Lead Brother' Serenity vs. Newly Minted Stock God Leopold: How Are the Two Top Hunters Mining AI's 'Physical Limits'?

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Who Will Make Money in the Age of Agents?

In the Agents era of blockchain, traditional value capture theories face challenges. The "Fat Protocol" theory, dominant since 2016, suggested protocols capture most value as their tokens are essential for network use. However, the proliferation of interchangeable L1s, L2s, and modular layers has eroded protocol scarcity and pricing power. Conversely, the "Fat App" theory posits that applications capturing user relationships (like wallets and exchanges) become the primary value layer by controlling distribution and transaction flows. This aligns with the current "Great Repricing" cycle. Agents disrupt this logic. As software users, they lack brand loyalty, prioritize cost and efficiency, and switch between platforms seamlessly. This undermines the front-end UX moats that "Fat Apps" rely on. The article explores several potential futures: 1. **Headless Applications:** Current leading apps could strip their front-ends and become backend API infrastructure for Agents, preserving their role. 2. **Protocol Resurgence:** If integration becomes trivial, Agents might bypass aggregators and interact directly with protocols, reviving "Fat Protocol" dynamics. 3. **Pricing Power Collapse:** Agents' rational, frictionless routing could commoditize the entire stack, compressing margins toward cost and leaving little profit for intermediaries. 4. **Unprecedented Activity:** Agents may enable new, high-frequency, machine-to-machine economic activities, expanding the total value pie even if margins are thin. 5. **A New, Unnamed Model:** Historically, major tech shifts (like the internet's attention economy) create unforeseen business models. The Agents era may spawn entirely new ways to capture value. The most likely outcome is a coexistence where "Fat Apps" continue to serve human users valuing UX, while a separate, Agent-driven economy emerges governed by different rules—where loyalty is based on factors like liquidity, latency, and settlement guarantees rather than brand.

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Who Will Make Money in the Age of Agents?

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Come comprare WLFI

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente Official World Liberty FinancialWLFI.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Dopo aver acquistato Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI)Scambia facilmente Official World Liberty Financial (WLFI) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

453 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2025.09.01Aggiornato il 2025.09.01

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