Криптоинвесторы ждут биткоин дешевле $100 000 в ближайшее время

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2025-06-18Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-08-19

Многие участники криптосообщества считают, что слабость биткоина в начале второй половины августа может вывести курс криптовалюты под психологически важный уровень $100 000

Собрали в одном обзоре мнения представителей криптоиндустрии и прогнозы аналитиков.

Причины падения биткоина

Самая капитализированная криптовалюта дважды за последние два дня протестировала уровни ниже $115 000. Локальный минимум биткоина зафиксирован на $114 607. Криптовалюта начала падать после обновления абсолютного максимума 14 августа — $124 457.

Триггером для падения BTC стали негативные экономические данные из США, которые понизили вероятность снижения ключевой процентной ставки ФРС в сентябре этого года. На момент написания обзора, в снижение верит свыше 83% участников рынка. До выхода негативных экономических данных за такой сценарий голосовало около 99% респондентов.

Также биткоин оказался под давлением из-за заявления американского Минфина. Оказалось, что регуляторы не планируют скупать BTC под национальный крипторезерв. Источником пополнения станут конфискации. Участников криптосообщества напугала такая перспектива и многие начали призывать к выводу всех средств с бирж.

График биткоина. Источник: CoinMarketCap

Впереди (21-23 августа) симпозиум в Джексон-Хоуле, во время которого выступит глава ФРС Джером Пауэлл. От того, какие сигналы даст банкир, будет зависеть дальнейшая судьба крипторынка. Рост надежд на снижение ставки в сентябре может поддержать восстановление рынка. Негативные же сигналы способны оказать дополнительное давление на BTC.

Чего инвесторы ждут от биткоина

Участники криптосообщества опасаются спуска BTC под психологически важный уровень $100 000. Такие результаты показал опрос популярного криптоаналитика PlanB. Свыше 60% респондентов из более чем 25 000 участников голосования считают, что инвесторы увидят биткоин дешевле $100 000.

Результаты опроса PlanB

Спуск биткоина под $100 000 также ждет популярный аналитик Doctor Prodit. Он считает, что BTC проломит психологически важный уровень в сентябре. При этом аналитик сохраняет оптимизм в отношении долгосрочной перспективы криптовалюты. Он считает, что следом за пробоем $100 000 последует рост к новым абсолютным максимумам в течение недель и продолжительный рост, который будет исчисляться месяцами.

Криптотрейдер и инвестор 𝗰𝘆𝗰𝗹𝗼𝗽 не исключает даже спуск BTC ниже $90 000. При этом после он ждет отскок с обновлением максимума.

Некоторые участники криптосообщества предполагают, что биткоину удастся удержать психологически важный уровень. Например, трейдер Nebraskangooner считает, что BTC может опуститься до диапазона $102 000-$104 000. На этих уровнях, по его мнению, будет возможность открыть выгодные длинные позиции.

Трейдер и аналитик BitQuant также считает, что биткоин не опустится ниже $100 000. По его мнению, нет макроэкономических факторов, которые могли бы оказать давление такой силы.

Напомним, ранее редакция BeInCrypto писала о том, что нейросеть Илона Маска Grok дала прогноз роста биткоина до $1 млн.

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