震撼预测比特币冲13万后大回调以太坊狂暴拉升4800美元只是起点SOL即将再涨50%

金色财经Pubblicato 2025-08-11Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-08-11

比特币暴涨12万,一夜暴涨6000点!以太坊暴涨4300,距离历史前高,只差一步之遥!佩佩7月底暴跌抄底比特币1121000,3386以太坊,一直在手里拿着,按照佩佩文章策略抄底的粉丝可谓是赚麻了,比特币多单暴赚884%,以太坊多单也在手里拿着。

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比特币

目前比特币震荡通道,假跌破真突破,周线比特币收于11.8万美元以上,几乎吞没前一周阴线,显示出强劲势头,突破12.3万美元将是关键信号。日线级别呈现典型的AMD派发形态,此前跌破11.6万美元为机构压盘吸筹,随后回升确认支撑。目前行情已进入派发尾声,非追多良机。

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比特币前高附近短线波段可以考虑部分止盈再赌突破,日内多头追龙入场的潜在关键位置。

日内小级别回调 120.3-120.8k

突破前高 123.3K 回踩 下一个阶段目标123.4k (等距目标)

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多单:跟着佩佩从112100抄底的粉丝开业一直拿着,没有多单的,的BTC CME 在 118,405 美元 到 119,110 美元的缺口。这个缺口补上的概率还是蛮大的,可以关注一下,入一点。

空单:想做空btc,这月接空点上移到:125000(短空)、129600(高空)

ETH

ETH  每次盘整假跌破后开启拉升,不分析了,就是涨。用斐波那契扩展大法量了一下后面一些关键数字。作为目标参考吧。个人阶段目标4500。

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目前以太坊从强势的单边上涨,进入了上升箱体当中。目前这段 1H 上涨行情的结束关键,个人认为是在价格有效跌破 4150 区域后,并且在下方做第一个下跌箱体出来。 

如果是要进行波段短多的话,入场机会在于价格继续回踩 4150 区域后的有效反弹,第一目标自然是重新回到箱体上边界:4325区域

第二目标就是突破这个箱体后咯,按照箱体高度来说,可能会在 4490 这一块吧。

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SOL

从日线级别来看,K线6连阳,呈现V型底反攻,已成功突破所有均线压制,重回上升通道之中,其MACD也开始拐头向上,有形成零上金叉的趋势,一旦形成,后续将会开启新一波上攻,再去冲击200压力位

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山寨

比特币暴涨12万、以太坊暴涨4300,目前币圈的主叙事就是ETF牛,谁有ETF谁牛。ETF牛市特征

①:有ETF的链就是金字塔顶端(BTC、ETH),先吃最稳的大资金流入。

②:接下来资金可能会顺着ETF主链往生态流淌(ETH ETF → DEFI/L2/meme),并不是均匀分布,而是优先找标杆性资产(比如UNI、ARB、热门meme)。

towns:

这个币玩了好几次,终于开始起飞了,价格处于低位,随时一根大阳线,上周五还在提示拿好这个币呢,包括vip都是在价格0.033u附近入手的多,现在开始启动了,至于还在持有的小伙伴自己把握利润哦,后续不在跟踪了!

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LDO:LDO价格刚刚有效突破 $1.12–$1.15 的关键阻力区(红色区间),这是过去 2024–2025 年多次冲击失败的位置,本次突破伴随放量,确认趋势转多。  MACD:形成周线级别金叉,并且柱状图正向放大,这种形态通常意味着未来几周还有进一步拉升的空间。  

成交量:本周成交量明显放大,是自 2024 年初以来最大的一次买盘量,表明资金正在集中进场。  上方阻力:短期目标在 $1.48;若突破,则看向 $1.74 的重要高点,上破后有望冲击 $2.50–$3.00 区间。

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swarms:

现在跌下来了,依然有二三十个点的利润 昨天0.21吹起冲锋号 随后一路暴涨最高涨到0.34 最高拉了50多个点,跟着佩佩一起赚钱的可以给佩佩一键三连。

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SLERF

树懒官推来了一句会重启,这种情况大概率就是主力筹码收完了!同时日线级别也出量了,大周期周级别收筹码的行为也很明显!  同时市值只剩下3000来万,主力在此刻卖出没有任何价值!很容易出现爆破性的1-2倍的拉升阳线!  这个我也囤入了一些,这里性价比确实不错。

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Letture associate

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Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market platform, has made a significant comeback in 2025 by re-entering the U.S. market through regulatory-compliant means, including the acquisition of regulated trading and清算 entities. This resurgence is further supported by institutional capital investment and integration with mainstream platforms like the MetaMask wallet, allowing users to trade directly without leaving their wallets. Mainstream financial data platforms have also begun displaying prediction market data, increasing market visibility. Once viewed primarily as a gambling or speculative platform, Polymarket is increasingly recognized as a mechanism for information pricing in financial markets. Widespread participation from both retail and institutional users has made its probability assessments of future events more representative and liquid. Prediction market data is now being incorporated by traditional financial media and data platforms, highlighting its growing potential. However, challenges remain. Prediction markets are not always accurate, with studies showing limited predictive reliability in certain contexts. Questions about platform neutrality and business models have emerged, such as the employment of internal market makers, which could undermine trust. Information asymmetry and insider risks are inherent, potentially disadvantaging ordinary users when some participants access information early. Regulatory, tax, and disclosure requirements also present ongoing uncertainties. The revival and transformation of Polymarket signify a broader shift of prediction markets from niche experiments toward mainstream financial infrastructure. By converting public expectations into tradable probabilities, these markets may complement traditional analysis and polling, providing real-time, decentralized signals in areas like macroeconomics, policy, technology, and geopolitics. As traditional financial institutions invest in compliance and structured products, DeFi is evolving beyond an alternative asset pool to resemble traditional financial infrastructure. Prediction market applications are expanding beyond crypto to potentially include stocks, macroeconomic indicators, sports events, and tech product launches, tightening the link between crypto and the real world. If platforms like Polymarket continue on a path of compliance, stable operation, and integration with mainstream financial services, they could become next-generation market infrastructures—event-driven financial tools alongside stocks, bonds, and options. Key factors for development include platform neutrality, prediction accuracy, regulatory environment, participant diversity, and the maturity of related financial products. In summary, Polymarket’s comeback represents a move of prediction markets from the fringe into the core of financial systems, reflecting deeper changes in how information is priced and how financial infrastructure is rebuilt. This shift brings not only new trading methods but also potential changes in how investors perceive and engage with future events and asset valuation.

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Stablecoins are at a critical juncture, with regulatory clarity driving their rapid evolution from crypto trading tools to mainstream payment and settlement infrastructure. The U.S. GENIUS Act and the EU’s MiCA framework have established federal and regional standards for issuance, reserves, and auditing, accelerating their adoption. Market capitalization has surpassed $300 billion, with USD-pegged stablecoins dominating, though euro and other fiat-backed alternatives are growing. Use cases are expanding significantly, with enterprises adopting stablecoins for cross-border payments, payroll, and treasury management due to their 24/7 availability and low transaction costs. They are increasingly integrated into traditional finance as settlement and custody solutions. However, systemic risks remain. USD-pegged stablecoins face potential de-pegging risks, insufficient reserve transparency, and high centralization, which could trigger liquidity crises. Large holdings of sovereign bonds or fixed-income assets may also impact bond markets and monetary policy. The IMF has warned about financial stability risks and dollarization concerns. For stablecoins to mature into reliable, compliant, and interoperable digital infrastructure—rather than just survive—they require transparent issuance mechanisms, robust regulatory coordination, and effective systemic risk controls.

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