History says August pain leads to altseason gains – Will it happen again?

ambcryptoPubblicato 2025-08-03Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-08-04

Key takeaways

Altcoins have a history of dipping in August before rallying hard, and 2025 may be no different. With Ethereum gaining traction, Bitcoin dominance slipping, altseason may not be far.

August has a reputation for shaking up the altcoin market, often dipping before coming back stronger. This year, altcoins are once again in decline, so it is natural to wonder if we’re on the verge of another major breakout.

With bold predictions around Ethereum’s [ETH] rise and its usual role in leading altcoin rallies, we may be about to watch history repeat itself.

August pain, September gains?

Altcoins seem to follow a familiar script every August — sharp corrections followed by explosive comebacks.

As AshCrypto pointed out on X, 2023 and 2024 saw altcoin market caps plunge 28% and 40% respectively, only to rally by over 140% in the months that followed.

Source: X

In 2025, altcoins are already down 13% from their peak, and another 8-10% drop could be on the cards before a potential bottom.

If past patterns hold, this dip might just be the setup for yet another altseason breakout… one that investors will be watching closely.

Ethereum flashes potential altseason

Just days after projecting Ethereum to hit $8K, Eric Trump returned to X with a bold “buy the dip” sign; this time tagging both Bitcoin [BTC] and ETH.

Source: X

While endorsements aren’t uncommon, Ethereum’s role as a harbinger for altseason makes this more than just noise.

Source: Coinglass

The Altcoin Season Index has climbed to 45, moving steadily toward the 75+ mark that typically defines a full-fledged altseason.

Simultaneously, Bitcoin dominance [BTC.D] has dropped from above 65% in July to around 62%; a sign that capital is slowly rotating out of BTC and into altcoins.

Source: TradingView

If BTC dominance continues to slide while ETH holds strong or rallies, it could trigger a broader altcoin surge.

Eric Trump’s call is part of a sentiment already building in the charts: that altcoins may be coiling for their next breakout.

Subscribe to our must read daily newsletter

Letture associate

Kraken Plans CFTC-Regulated Perpetual Futures For US Traders

Kraken is preparing to launch CFTC-regulated perpetual futures contracts for U.S. traders on its Kraken Pro platform, leveraging the regulatory framework from its Bitnomial acquisition. This move aims to bring a core but high-risk crypto derivatives product, historically accessed offshore, into the U.S. regulated market. The initiative is part of a broader shift toward more regulated crypto derivatives access onshore. If successful, it could attract trading activity back to compliant venues, though its ultimate impact depends on Kraken's ability to provide competitive liquidity, spreads, and execution quality. The launch highlights the evolving competition among exchanges to serve U.S. traders seeking sophisticated tools within a regulated structure.

bitcoinist33 min fa

Kraken Plans CFTC-Regulated Perpetual Futures For US Traders

bitcoinist33 min fa

ANSEM jumps 13% as holders nearly triple – Can memecoin keep rallying?

The Solana memecoin ANSEM surged over 13% in 24 hours, rebounding after a brief correction following its market cap surpassing $100 million. The token's price remains supported by a rising trendline established since late June. However, analysts note momentum indicators like the MACD and True Strength Index are weakening on lower timeframes, signaling potential fading bullish strength. Key concerns center on tokenomics. The initial allocation concentrated 60% of the 1 billion token supply with the influencer Ansem, raising questions about long-term supply control despite a subsequent airdrop. Holder count nearly tripled to over 92,000 in three days, fueled by community anticipation of further distributions. The article highlights risks associated with new memecoins, citing an incident where a trader permanently lost $226,000 worth of ANSEM by mistakenly sending it to the contract address. While the token is currently above key support, the combination of concentrated holdings, speculative trading driven by influencer branding, and weakening momentum suggests traders should watch for a potential shift in market direction. A break below the trendline support could trigger a deeper correction.

ambcrypto50 min fa

ANSEM jumps 13% as holders nearly triple – Can memecoin keep rallying?

ambcrypto50 min fa

TRON Sets Transaction and Active Address Records Driven by Stablecoin Settlements

The TRON network achieved new usage records in June, driven primarily by stablecoin settlement activity. Total transactions exceeded 385 million, while active wallet addresses reached 26.9 million. This growth, centered on stablecoins like USDT, highlights a significant shift in on-chain activity and capital flow. The data, sourced directly from Tronscan, provides a concrete, verifiable snapshot of network adoption rather than speculative price movement. While these metrics confirm strong current usage, the report cautions against directly equating them with guaranteed price performance, noting that execution and regulatory risks remain. The development offers a durable data point for assessing where crypto activity is concentrating.

bitcoinist1 h fa

TRON Sets Transaction and Active Address Records Driven by Stablecoin Settlements

bitcoinist1 h fa

TRON Nile Testnet Deploys Quantum-Resistant Signature Cryptography

TRON's Nile testnet has deployed an upgrade implementing quantum-resistant signature cryptography, a proactive step to secure its ledger against potential future decryption threats from quantum computing. This development, confirmed via official sources like nileex.io and github.com, represents a notable Layer 1 security enhancement. The report emphasizes its relevance within the current market focus on stablecoins. Crucially, the upgrade is currently active only on the testnet, not the TRON mainnet. While providing a verified data point for the market to weigh, the article cautions that this single development should be considered alongside broader market factors and does not guarantee any specific price action. It stands as a snapshot of ongoing protocol development.

bitcoinist2 h fa

TRON Nile Testnet Deploys Quantum-Resistant Signature Cryptography

bitcoinist2 h fa

BIS Report Compliance Observations: The True Risks of Stablecoins Go Beyond 'De-pegging'

The BIS report, "Anchoring trust in money: innovation beyond stablecoins," highlights that the primary risks of stablecoins extend beyond potential de-pegging. It argues that the core challenge is whether stablecoins can be integrated into a financial system that is identifiable, monitorable, accountable, and regulatable. While acknowledging efficiency gains like faster payments and programmability, BIS emphasizes that money requires an institutional framework—including legal certainty, liquidity support, and financial integrity controls—which many stablecoins currently lack. The report details compliance risks, noting that while blockchain transactions are transparent, address visibility does not equate to identity or purpose clarity. This creates a systemic risk as pseudonymity, non-custodial wallets, and cross-chain bridges can undermine AML/CFT controls. Furthermore, these risks can spill over into the traditional financial system through on- and off-ramps. The future direction, per BIS, is not to prohibit innovation but to embed regulatory rules—such as identity verification and transaction screening—directly into the technological infrastructure of tokenized finance. The key takeaway for compliance is that any new financial instrument must clearly address questions of customer identification, transaction monitoring, accountability, and cross-border rule consistency to be viable as a mainstream payment tool.

marsbit2 h fa

BIS Report Compliance Observations: The True Risks of Stablecoins Go Beyond 'De-pegging'

marsbit2 h fa

Trading

Spot