稳定币蓄势待发前所未有

marsbitPubblicato 2025-03-27Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-03-27

机构投资者因市场的巨大变动而充满活力,“这种变化的规模是你未曾想象过的。”

DAS 会议真是令人难以置信。

这是一场内容充实、充满启发与激励的讨论,探讨了机构对数字资产的采纳进程。我很荣幸能在这一切的中心,主持了多个讨论小组。

以下是我从会议中得到的主要收获:

稳定币正在占据主导地位

本周我有幸与 Austin Campbell 见了几次面,并深入讨论了稳定币的创新发展。参加完 DAS 会议后,我对稳定币的未来充满信心。

这场讨论的高潮出现在我主持的一个小组会议上,嘉宾包括 Austin Campbell 和 Joseph Wang。我们 geek 了一把,深入探讨了宏观经济与数字资产之间的交汇点。

Austin 对稳定币的思考方式:

“如果我们考虑美国国债的边际购买者,许多外国政府正在减少其国债持有量。但有趣的是……与之相反的是,这些国家的民众正通过稳定币增加他们对美国国债的持有量。
“一般来说,人们往往把关于稳定币的讨论过于复杂化,并且会把许多不该被称为‘稳定币’的东西也归类进去。但一个设计合理的稳定币,本质上只是一个‘盒子’,里面装着类似 T-bills(短期国债) 和 长期国债 的资产,非常简单。它只是被映射到了区块链上。而稳定币的关键点有两个:一是你要有互联网,二是你得有可以交换的有价值资产。”

如果这段话激发了你的思考,不妨查看完整的小组讨论内容:

https://youtu.be/GIl0PFVWbQM

机构才刚刚开始布局

对我来说,这次会议的最大主题之一,就是机构投资者对数字资产行业的极度看好。这种乐观情绪恰逢散户市场因 迷因币(memecoins) 引发的核爆式崩溃。两者之间的巨大反差,实在令人惊叹。

我最喜欢的机构级看涨派之一是 Bitwise 的首席投资官 Matt Hougan。他擅长用清晰的逻辑解释,为什么 传统金融(TradFi) 对数字资产的采用才刚刚起步。

我们坐下来讨论了这种市场分裂,他这样说:

“这就是加密市场当前最显著的二元分裂。加密原生世界的投机者(degen)正经历一场‘生存危机’式的抑郁,而与此同时,所有机构投资者正涌入市场,认为眼下的市场环境前所未有地好,并且我们正站在一个 多年牛市的起点——其规模之大,超乎你的想象。而且我认为,这绝对是事实。
“看,迷因币永远不会消失。我认为它们其实是对加密基础设施的 极端压力测试,并且证明了这个系统能够承载真正的高吞吐量交易。但……从机构的角度来看,我关注的是 稳定币、资产代币化、机构投资,这些领域的增长都在直线上升。
“加密原生世界迟早会重新聚焦到这些领域。”

如果你想听完整的访谈内容,可以在这里查看:

https://youtu.be/p-i8dJoUwI4

与固定收益传奇人物对话

能够在 数万名听众面前采访 Mohamed El-Erian,对我来说是职业生涯中的高光时刻,毫无疑问。

El-Erian 讲解复杂宏观经济话题的能力极其出色,他能以清晰、简洁的方式剖析问题,这让我意识到自己在这一领域还有很大的提升空间。

我们对话的背景非常有趣。似乎过去 30 年的所有主要趋势都在被颠覆。几十年来,投资者首次对 欧洲股市的兴趣超过了美股。这是一个惊人的变化。

El-Erian 深入分析了当前局势的独特性:

“我们正处于一个极度不稳定的世界。我知道,‘不确定性’ 这个词被频繁使用,但归根结底,人们关注的无非是三点:基本面、技术面和估值。然而,Felix,这三点现在都在被颠覆。这种市场格局,我们已经很久没见过了。
基本面 层面,这些变化是系统内部自发生成的。这意味着整个 基本面运行范式 可能正在发生转变。贸易体系会如何演变?公共部门会怎样调整?其他国家又会如何反应?这里充满了各种不确定性,甚至包括那些 积极的不确定性,比如 人工智能、生命科学和量子机器人技术的发展速度。
技术面 方面,以前大家都认同“美股更具优势”,但现在,美股相对欧洲市场的 跌幅达到了历史最大值。
估值 方面,在这样一个全新的市场环境下,传统的估值标准似乎也不再适用。因此,这确实是一个极其复杂的时期。黄金创下历史新高,也就不足为奇了。”

El-Erian 这番话真正点明了 当前世界正在经历的重大变革。

当 基本面、技术面和估值 同时经历范式转变 时,你就必须保持警觉。

完整访谈请见这里:

https://youtu.be/u6D3_DS3SP4

这次大会绝对是我参加过的 最令人兴奋、最具启发性的数字资产会议。许多人都在讨论,这可能是他们经历过的 最佳加密会议,并且会议的整体氛围 与加密原生社区(Crypto Native)的互联网讨论完全不同。

我可以负责任地告诉你——这是真的!

Letture associate

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