Зеркала доминирования биткойнов в 2020/2021 году: что это может означать?

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2020-05-25Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-01-25

  • Аналитик заметил решающую закономерность в отношениях Биткойн-Альткойн.
  • Доминирование биткойнов резко возросло после достижения дна в декабре 2024 года.
  • Текущая тенденция доминирования биткойнов отражает поведение альткойнов до сезона 2021 года.

Аналитик рынка криптовалют заметил решающее событие в отношениях между Биткойном и остальным рынком криптовалют. В недавней публикации аналитик подчеркнул вновь открытый импульс Биткойна, отражающий растущее доминирование криптовалюты.

Криптоаналитик отметил восстановление доминирования Биткойна после падения до минимума в 54% в декабре 2024 года. Данные TradingView показывают, что в январе этого года показатель поднялся до 59% после недавнего скачка Биткойна до нового исторического максимума.

Хотя растущее доминирование биткойнов обычно означает, что биткойн набирает популярность по сравнению с другими криптовалютами, аналитик использовал этот показатель как часть более масштабного анализа. Они сравнили текущую тенденцию доминирования Биткойна с его историческим поведением, подчеркнув, что текущая модель очень похожа на тенденцию последнего бычьего рынка.

Связанный: Доминирование биткойнов на уровне 60% подтверждает прогнозы Alt Season

По мнению аналитика, доминирование Биткойна демонстрировало аналогичную картину в период с ноября 2020 года по январь 2021 года. Показатель упал до 60% в ноябре 2020 года, затем вырос до 69% в январе 2021 года, а затем начал снижаться. Аналитик объяснил, что доминирование Биткойна достигло пика около 72% во время последнего цикла. Вскоре после этого цена подскочила примерно до 40 000 долларов, что более чем вдвое превышает предыдущий исторический максимум. Доминирование начало падать, когда цена BTC выросла, сигнализируя о сдвиге аппетита к риску в сторону более рискованных активов.

Примечательно, что аналитик использовал колеблющееся доминирование Биткойна в качестве индикатора для прогнозирования потенциального развития текущего бычьего рынка. Учитывая тенденцию крипторынка к повторению закономерностей, доминирование Биткойна может вскоре достичь пика, открывая инвесторам путь к переходу в сторону альткойнов.

Связанный: Расчёт альткойнов близок к концу, поскольку доминирование биткойнов растет, говорит аналитик

Стоит отметить, что многие криптоинвесторы ожидают роста рынка альткойнов, учитывая длительный сезон накопления. В отличие от Биткойна, большинство альткойнов не приблизились к своим предыдущим историческим максимумам, что оставляет много возможностей для роста. Многие аналитики полагают, что сезон альткойнов, который приведет к снижению доминирования Биткойна, может быть не за горами.

Letture associate

A Guide to Grayscale’s ‘Bottom Fishing’: Using Cash Flow to Assess Cryptocurrency Value

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A Guide to Grayscale’s ‘Bottom Fishing’: Using Cash Flow to Assess Cryptocurrency Value

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After semiconductors lead the gains, are funds buying into AI orders or a macroeconomic rebound?

After US-Iran talks led to a temporary ceasefire and framework for reopening the strategic Strait of Hormuz, U.S. stocks rose on June 18, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.9%. The semiconductor and AI hardware sectors outperformed. This rally stemmed primarily from reduced geopolitical risk, which lowered oil prices and inflation expectations, easing discount rate pressure on high-valuation growth stocks like tech. The key question is not whether tech rebounded, but the nature of the rebound. The market appears to be selectively repricing AI infrastructure plays rather than broadly chasing AI narratives. Gains were concentrated in chips, optical interconnects, memory, and domestic manufacturing—segments tied to tangible data center build-outs and capital expenditure. Intel's ~10% surge, fueled by a Trump statement about potential Apple collaboration, exemplifies this mixed dynamic. It reflects policy catalysts and domestic manufacturing sentiment more than confirmed fundamentals. Meanwhile, strong earnings from companies like Astera Labs (revenue up 93% YoY) provided concrete evidence of AI-driven demand in hardware. In essence, the rally represents a risk-premium recalibration. Lower Middle East tensions opened a valuation repair window, and capital flowed first into AI infrastructure segments with visible near-term revenue streams. The sustainability of this move hinges on upcoming Q2 earnings, specifically continued strength in cloud provider capex, AI server orders, and hardware company guidance. Policy hopes alone are insufficient; the cycle needs validation from orders and financials.

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After semiconductors lead the gains, are funds buying into AI orders or a macroeconomic rebound?

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Kraken Adds Solana On-Chain Token Trading Directly Inside Its App

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Kraken Adds Solana On-Chain Token Trading Directly Inside Its App

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Litecoin ETF’s Slow Start Shows Altcoin Funds Still Face A Demand Test

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Litecoin ETF’s Slow Start Shows Altcoin Funds Still Face A Demand Test

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The Entire Internet Hails Noam's Joining, But OpenAI's Loss Bill Just Got Thicker

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