Как инаугурация Трампа повлияет на стоимость биткоина

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2024-10-10Pubblicato ultima volta 2025-01-10

Инаугурация победившего на выборах президента США Дональда Трампа запланирована на 20 января 2025 года. В преддверии события участники криптосообщества задались вопросом о том, как именно крипторынок может отреагировать на вступление политика в должность

Рассказываем, как инаугурация Трампа может повлиять на стоимость биткоина и какие прогнозы дают криптоинвесторы.

Оптимисты ждут роста BTC

Дональд Трамп в рамках своей избирательной кампании сделал акцент на поддержку криптосообщетва. Он пообещал ускорить развитие рынка цифровых активов. Одна из таких инициатив Трампа — формирование в США биткоин-резерва. В случае, если план удастся реализовать, BTC получит мощный стимул для роста.

Перед прошлой инаугурацией Трамп заявил, что сильный доллар мешает конкуренции американских компаний и создает «тяжелое бремя» для бизнеса. Доллар отреагировал на высказывание падением.

В преддверии инаугурации 2024 Трамп заявил, что процентная ставка ФРС США слишком высокая. Участники рынка ждут ее снижения. Изменения могут поддержать интерес инвесторов к таким высокорискованным активам как крипта.

Сравнение реакции биткоина на заявления Трампа о слишком крепком долларе и слишком высокой ставке ФРС. Источник x.com/rovercrc

Ложка дегтя

Криптоинициативы Трампа поддержали рост рынка на фоне его победы на выборах президента США в ноябре 2024 года. При этом участники криптосообщества не уверены в том, что инаугурация политика даст BTC силу для реализации еще одной волны роста. Криптоаналитик Ларк Дэвис предположил, что событие может стать «sell the news» — новостью, на фоне которой рынок — напротив выйдет в падение. Теория построена на предположении о том, что в момент свершения долгожданного события многие участники криптосообщества поспешат зафиксировать прибыль.

Есть еще одна проблема. В преддверии инаугурации Трампа в СМИ появилась информация о том, что США планируют продать $6,5 млрд в биткоинах, конфискованных с платформы Silk Road. Решение может негативно повлиять на цену BTC. При этом опыт предыдущих распродаж властей США показал, что они способны оказывать лишь ограниченное влияние на долгосрочную динамику рынка.

В криптосообществе считают, что американские регуляторы специально пытаются продавить BTC в преддверии инаугурации первого про-криптовалютного президента Америки. При этом в долгосрочной перспективе, уверены криптаны, вступление Трампа на пост поддержит рост рынка цифровых активов. Многие считают, что событие спровоцирует долгожданный старт сезона альткоинов.

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