Сколько заработает гигантский кит, вложивший 42 миллиона долларов в победу Трампа

cryptonews.ruPubblicato 2021-02-05Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-11-05

Известный трейдер на Polymarket, известный как «Французский кит», либо получит огромную прибыль, либо понесёт значительные убытки в зависимости от результатов завтрашних президентских выборов в США.

Этот анонимный трейдер, известный как Тео, заработает 47 миллионов долларов, если Дональд Трамп победит на выборах. Если Трамп проиграет, Тео понесёт ошеломляющие убытки в размере 26 миллионов долларов.

Прогнозы Тео не ограничиваются одним результатом выборов. У французского трейдера 42 миллиона долларов на четырёх счетах, привязанных к различным прогнозам на выборах, и все они связаны с победой республиканцев. Несмотря на крупные прогнозы, Тео назвал многомиллионные прогнозы чисто финансовыми ходами, заявив Wall Street Journal, что у него «абсолютно нет политических целей».

Среди своих главных ставок Тео поставил 758 000 долларов на победу Трампа в Пенсильвании, 1,7 миллиона долларов на то, что Трамп получит больше всего голосов, и 500 000 долларов на то, что вице-президент Камала Харрис проиграет в Мичигане.

В портфеле инвестора также есть другие шестизначные прогнозы, согласно которым Харрис проиграет в разных частях гонки.

Данные Polymarket Analytics показывают, что Тео владеет более чем 20% всех инвестиций «Да», прогнозирующих победу Трампа. Для сравнения, крупнейшему инвестору, прогнозирующему победу Харрис, принадлежит только 7% акций «Да». Кроме того, среди индивидуальных трейдеров Трампа поддерживают почти в два раза больше людей, чем Харрис.

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