Эксперты прогнозируют прорыв биткоина к концу сентября

investing.ruPubblicato 2024-09-02Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-09-02

Happycoin.club - В настоящее время криптовалютный рынок движется в медвежьем направлении, при этом большинство криптовалют фиксируют убытки. По мнению аналитиков, биткоин (BTC) может вырваться из своего шестимесячного бокового диапазона с середины сентября до первых дней октября.

Аналитик Rekt Capital увязал будущую динамику биткоина с циклами халвинга и предположил, что BTC имеет тенденцию выходить из консолидации через 150-160 дней после халвинга.

В 2020 году биткоину потребовался 161 день, чтобы начать бычий забег, который привёл к установлению максимума на уровне $69 000 в 2021 году. Если эта модель повторится в нынешнем цикле, к концу сентября BTC может совершить крупный прорыв.

Недельный график цены биткоина (BTC). Источник: TradingView / Rekt Capital

Однако существует и другая ранее реализованная модель, в соответствии с которой ожидаемый подъём может задержаться, на что обратили внимание другие аналитики. Нельзя забывать, что сентябрь традиционно считается убыточным месяцем для биткоина, что на фондовом рынке называют «эффектом сентября».

Как показано в таблице ниже, в сентябре наблюдались худшие средние и медианные показатели доходности биткоина с 2013 года.

Ежемесячная доходность биткоина (%). Источник: CoinGlass

Правда, 2024 год стал необычным периодом для главной криптовалюты, так как впервые перед халвингом в марте биткоин установил новый исторический максимум в $73 800.

Тем не менее закономерности халвинга биткоина по-прежнему способны вызвать бычий забег в последующие недели.

Читайте оригинальную статью на сайте Happycoin.club

Letture associate

USDT on TRON Exceeds $90 Billion as TRON Leads USDT Transfer Volume With $4.2 Trillion YTD

The total circulating supply of USDT on the TRON blockchain has surpassed $90 billion, solidifying its position as a leading network for the stablecoin. According to data, TRON leads all networks in USDT transfer volume year-to-date, processing approximately $4.2 trillion. The network handles over 12.7 million daily transactions, supports over 392 million user accounts, and facilitates an average of $23.8 billion in daily USDT transfers. TRON attributes this growth to its scale, low costs, and focus on practical utility for digital dollar transfers and real-world use cases. Recent institutional developments include integrations by Anchorage Digital and Securitize, with the latter supporting the first tokenized asset from Hamilton Lane on the TRON network. The ecosystem also emphasizes security through the T3 Financial Crime Unit, a collaboration that has frozen over $450 million in criminal assets globally. TRON DAO states the network remains a core infrastructure pillar for the expanding digital dollar economy, driving efficiency, accessibility, and financial inclusion.

TheNewsCrypto12 min fa

USDT on TRON Exceeds $90 Billion as TRON Leads USDT Transfer Volume With $4.2 Trillion YTD

TheNewsCrypto12 min fa

USDT Market Cap Overtakes Ethereum, What Signal Does This Convey?

The article discusses the significance of USDT's market capitalization rivaling that of Ethereum. It clarifies that this does not indicate Ethereum provides economic security for USDT, as stablecoin security relies on the issuer, Tether, not the underlying blockchain. The trend also does not reflect a flaw in Ethereum's value, as ETH and USDT serve fundamentally different purposes—one as a yield-bearing asset for network fees, the other as a dollar-pegged medium of exchange. The core argument is that the dominant, enduring demand in crypto is for permissionless dollar transfers, a simple utility that doesn't require complex blockchain technology. USDT's growth, despite its issuer's controversial background, proves users prioritize widespread availability and ease of use over the technical merits or decentralization of the hosting chain. While stablecoin aggregate market cap continues to rise, the combined market cap of major smart contract platform native tokens (like Ethereum, Solana) has remained stagnant, showing a decoupling between the demand for simple dollar liquidity and the value assigned to the underlying settlement layers. The conclusion is that the market values the utility of permissionless dollars above all else, with users largely indifferent to the issuer's credibility or the hosting blockchain's governance, as long as the stablecoin is functional and accessible.

marsbit32 min fa

USDT Market Cap Overtakes Ethereum, What Signal Does This Convey?

marsbit32 min fa

Top 8 DEXs of July 2026

This article presents the top 8 decentralized exchanges (DEXs) for July 2026, highlighting their key features and evolution within the DeFi space. DEXs, which enable peer-to-peer cryptocurrency trading via smart contracts without intermediaries, are praised for offering users greater control, privacy, transparency, and global access compared to centralized platforms. The listed DEXs are: 1. **Shadow Exchange**: A Sonic-native DEX specializing in concentrated liquidity for efficient trading and reduced slippage. 2. **Uniswap**: A leading protocol using an Automated Market Maker (AMM) model across multiple blockchains. 3. **SushiSwap**: An evolved platform offering token swaps, yield farming, and governance via its SUSHI token across 40+ networks. 4. **Orca**: A user-friendly AMM on Solana featuring capital-efficient "Whirlpools" for concentrated liquidity. 5. **Meteora**: A Solana-based DEX focusing on dynamic liquidity infrastructure and vaults for advanced strategies. 6. **Raydium**: A hybrid exchange on Solana combining AMM pools with a central limit order book for deep liquidity. 7. **Hyperliquid**: A Layer 1 blockchain hosting a non-custodial perpetual futures exchange using an on-chain order book. 8. **PancakeSwap**: A multi-chain AMM hub originating on BNB Chain, now supporting thousands of trading pairs across several networks. The article concludes by noting the significant role of DEXs in crypto, their expansion beyond simple swaps into areas like derivatives and cross-chain interoperability, and advises users to conduct their own research before engaging with any platform.

ambcrypto46 min fa

Top 8 DEXs of July 2026

ambcrypto46 min fa

USDT Market Cap Approaches Ethereum's: What Signal Does This Convey?

The market capitalization of USDT has nearly reached that of Ethereum, making it the second-largest cryptocurrency after Bitcoin. This prompts an examination of what this signifies and what it does not. Firstly, this does not relate to economic security. Unlike some Web3 systems where a governance token's value must underpin the security of its applications (e.g., oracles), USDT's stability is not backed by the value of the underlying blockchains it operates on. Tether, the issuer, controls the assets, and can freeze, reissue, or abandon tokens on a compromised chain. While stablecoins require functional blockchains, a chain's native token market cap does not provide direct security for the stablecoin. Secondly, USDT's growth does not inherently reflect poorly on Ethereum. USDT is a dollar-pegged store of value, while ETH represents a claim on future Ethereum network revenue. Their valuations are driven by different factors. USDT's rising market cap simply indicates strong demand for stablecoin utility, independent of Ethereum's technological merits or competitive position. The core insight is the overwhelming market demand for permissionless dollar transfers. This is the most established and essential use case in crypto. It requires minimal technological sophistication—essentially just a trusted issuer's promise of redemption on a functional chain. This explains why stablecoin supply has grown exponentially while the combined market cap of major non-stablecoin cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and others has stagnated for years. Users primarily seek accessible dollar-denominated assets. They largely disregard the issuer's credibility (as seen with Tether's dominance over more credible alternatives like USDC or BlackRock's BUIDL) and are indifferent to the governance or decentralization of the underlying blockchain. As long as a stablecoin is widely accepted and easy to transfer, users will adopt it across any chain. The trend suggests that the market for permissionless stablecoins could continue to expand far beyond the total value of the smart contract platforms that host them, driven by this singular, powerful use case.

Foresight News1 h fa

USDT Market Cap Approaches Ethereum's: What Signal Does This Convey?

Foresight News1 h fa

Senator Elizabeth Warren slams CLARITY Act as a ‘ticket to sanctions evasion’

Democratic Senator Elizabeth Warren strongly opposes the CLARITY Act, a broad crypto market bill, calling it a "ticket to sanctions evasion." She echoes concerns from former U.S. National Security Council official Richard Nephew, who warns the bill's exemptions for decentralized finance (DeFi) and weaker anti-money laundering rules could enable terrorists, sanctions evaders, and other illicit actors. The banking lobby also opposes the bill, citing illicit finance risks. White House Crypto Advisor Patrick Witt dismissed Warren's concerns, referencing a political setback in Maine. The bill faces a challenging path in the Senate, needing 60 votes to pass. While some Democrats support provisions protecting software developers, others vow to withhold support unless ethics concerns are addressed. With a shrinking legislative calendar, the bill's odds of passage have dropped to 45%. The crypto industry fears failure to pass it before the August recess could delay major regulatory clarity until the 2030s.

ambcrypto1 h fa

Senator Elizabeth Warren slams CLARITY Act as a ‘ticket to sanctions evasion’

ambcrypto1 h fa

Trading

Spot
活动图片