Real Vision分析师Jamie Coutts表示,高质量山寨币出现了机会——原因如下

币界网Pubblicato 2024-08-08Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-08-09

币界网报道:

一位备受关注的加密货币分析师认为,基于一个关键指标,顶级山寨币项目可能很快就会飙升至更高的价格。

Real Vision的首席加密货币分析师Jamie Coutts表示,基于前200个等权重指数与市值比率,“高质量”山寨币可能正在接近市场底部。

前200个等权重指数追踪前200个加密货币相对于比特币(BTC)的市值表现。

他建议,根据历史先例,一些alts可能很快就会完成纠正和逆转过程。

“我的小盘股或另类情绪图:前200个等权重指数与市值比率图(上图)显示了上个月相同主题的延续。

    小盘股表现不佳处于极端状态(蓝色子图)。是的,有机会获得被淘汰的高质量alts。虽然比率图趋势呈下降趋势,但在出现逆转(变绿)之前,全面的“淡季”是不可能的。目前,小盘股将苦苦挣扎,直到BTC突破历史高点(这仍然是我今年的基本情况)。”
来源:Jamie Coutts/X

该分析师还表示,根据有多少山寨币对顶级加密资产表现不佳,更广泛的山寨币市场可能要到2024年底或2025年初才会开始复苏。

“另一个视角是,我的淡季指标(资产数量超过BTC)。同样,我们显然处于负面的另类投资情绪水平,在过去90天里只有11%的资产超过BTC。

通常,在复苏之前,触底过程需要几个月的时间才能解决(预计第四季度末或2025年初)。我的分析表明,这类似于2020年的呕吐与2022年周期末的崩溃。”

来源:Jamie Coutts/X
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