AR飙升40%,看好本轮牛市上一百

金色财经Pubblicato 2024-08-08Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-08-08

Arweave (AR) 似乎受到 BTC 飙升的极大影响,其市场本周上涨了 40%,最新盘中涨幅为 5%。BTC 的价格已超过 65,500 美元,市场大部分呈现绿色。

全球市值飙升2.21%,达到2.41万亿美元。

YgzK3jK8TYuujaCwDzSypOilMSSxWifs5YNRxBrf.jpeg

随着 AR 价格上涨,其市值也大幅上涨,跻身全球加密货币前 50 名。其市值排名第 49 位。在过去 24 小时内,Arweave 代币的市值飙升 13.77%,达到 20.82 亿美元。

所有可交易平台的 24 小时交易量为 1.4191 亿美元,增长 43.44%。

同时,AR crypto 的交易量与市值比率突出了低至中等流动性,比率为 6.92%。其代币经济学表明,在总共 6600 万 AR 中,有 6565 万 AR(99.47%)在人们手中流通。

根据 TradingView 平台,AR 代币在 2020 年 5 月 1 日创下了历史最低价 (ATL) 0.4860 美元。从这个低点开始,目前的价格已经上涨了 4300%。同样,在日线图上,2021 年 11 月 1 日创下了历史最高价 (新高) 90.94 美元。

Aweave 的总锁定价值 (TVL) 正在上涨

在 2023 年 10 月结束 TVL 的长期下滑之后,出现了复苏。随着时间的推移,这反映了对 Arweave项目的需求增加和市场参与动态的变化。

根据其数据,AR 的 TVL 为 1067.8 亿美元,2023 年 10 月 14 日从 407.8 亿美元大幅上涨,增长了近 2.5 倍。

这表明 AR 加密的增长规模令人印象深刻。这反映出更高的 TVL 使得 Arweave 加密货币资产更加可靠且风险更低。

衍生品数据分析对 Arweave(AR)价格有何亮点?

根据数据,Arweave (AR) 衍生品数据分析显示,其 24 小时内未平仓合约 (OI) 达到 7057 万美元,合约数量比前期增加 10.74%。与此同时,衍生品交易量增加了 48.28%,达到 2.3469 亿美元。

1lXYutok1AvSWpgs41MMvfabhDi89njJPtvOLd4E.jpeg

此外,其 24 小时多空比率为 0.9635,表明加密的空头多于多头。在长期看跌主导之后,清算的空头多于多头。

空头头寸为 347.18 万美元,多头头寸为 54.34 万美元。总体而言,衍生品数据分析表明 AR 呈向上增长趋势。

在经历了令人着迷的 500% 以上的涨幅(从 2 月 7 日的 7.68 美元涨至 3 月 9 日的 47.11 美元)之后,价格最终处于略微向下倾斜的区间。AR 价格已在楔形中移动了近 140 天。

价格曾四次试图突破楔形的上边界和楔形中 46-49 美元的阻力区。然而,它失败了,跌至楔形的下边界,即 25-20 美元的支撑区。

自 7 月 5 日以来,价格表现出持续性,与 BTC 相比,过去 12 天内上涨了 58%。与此同时,BTC 在过去 12 天内小幅上涨了 23%。

截至发稿时,Arweave (AR) 可能从楔形的下边界走向上边界,交易价为 31.39 美元,盘中上涨 4.36%。

EMA 带在价格经过时为其提供支撑。MACD 显示直方图为 1.22,RSI 为 63.26。撰写本文时,这些指标呈看涨趋势。

因此,如果这种势头持续下去,价格可能会延续涨势,而中断可能分别出现在 35.0 美元和 40.0 美元。

然而,涨幅的下滑将使控制权重新回到空头手中,这可能分别推向 25.0 美元和 20.0 美元的支撑位。

结论

Arweave (AR) 本周飙升 40%,可能是受到比特币上涨的影响。AR 市值飙升,在全球排名第 49 位。

撰写本文时,我的情绪还是很乐观的,但有些人预测会出现突破性反弹。AR 价格目前比其历史最低价高出 4300%。AR 的技术指标看起来看涨。

Letture associate

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

Analysis of Bitcoin Trading Strategies: Why Celebrity Forecasts and Classic Models Fail, Leaving Only These Four Reliable Indicators This analysis examines the failure of common Bitcoin prediction methods and identifies four reliable indicators for constructing a trading strategy. The author reviewed all major BTC prediction approaches from 2017-2025, categorizing them into three groups: celebrity price targets (consistently over-optimistic), analytical models like Stock-to-Flow (broken post-2022), and on-chain signals. The key finding is that more data often creates confusion, not clarity. The strategy discards unreliable elements: celebrity predictions (incentivized to be extreme), pure models (invalidated by post-ETF market changes), and the Fear & Greed Index used alone (too many false signals). Four reliable indicators were selected: 1. **MVRV Z-Score:** Accurately identifies cycle bottoms when entering its green zone (e.g., 2018, 2020, 2022). Note: Its ability to call tops is now ineffective post-2024. 2. **SOPR (28-day MA):** Consistently signals bottoms when below 1.0, indicating holders are selling at a loss. 3. **ETF Net Flow:** A crucial post-2024 metric showing institutional momentum (e.g., sustained inflows = buying). 4. **Macro Liquidity (Fed policy & M2):** Sets the overall directional bias (e.g., bullish during easing cycles). The core strategy involves waiting for a multi-signal共振 (resonance). For example, a bottom signal requires MVRV in the green zone + SOPR < 1.0. A top signal requires overheated on-chain data + sustained ETF outflows. Macro policy sets the overall direction. The Fear & Greed Index is only used as a weighted confirmatory signal, never alone. Action is only taken when three or more indicators align. The author automated this into a monitoring system that sends Telegram alerts only when signals trigger. As of the article's date (April 15, 2026), the system showed a strong bottom signal: extreme fear (F&G=12), MVRV in the buy zone, and SOPR < 1.0. The only contrary signal was weak ETF flows. Historically, such triple on-chain共振 has preceded 100%+ returns. The conclusion emphasizes building a personal framework over relying on external predictions, allowing for iterative improvement and customization based on individual risk tolerance.

marsbit2 h fa

Bitcoin Trading Strategy Breakdown: Celebrity Predictions and Classic Models All Fail, Only These Four Indicators Remain

marsbit2 h fa

Trading

Spot
Futures

Articoli Popolari

Come comprare AR

Benvenuto in HTX.com! Abbiamo reso l'acquisto di Arweave (AR) semplice e conveniente. Segui la nostra guida passo passo per intraprendere il tuo viaggio nel mondo delle criptovalute.Step 1: Crea il tuo Account HTXUsa la tua email o numero di telefono per registrarti il tuo account gratuito su HTX. Vivi un'esperienza facile e sblocca tutte le funzionalità,Crea il mio accountStep 2: Vai in Acquista crypto e seleziona il tuo metodo di pagamentoCarta di credito/debito: utilizza la tua Visa o Mastercard per acquistare immediatamente ArweaveAR.Bilancio: Usa i fondi dal bilancio del tuo account HTX per fare trading senza problemi.Terze parti: abbiamo aggiunto metodi di pagamento molto utilizzati come Google Pay e Apple Pay per maggiore comodità.P2P: Fai trading direttamente con altri utenti HTX.Over-the-Counter (OTC): Offriamo servizi su misura e tassi di cambio competitivi per i trader.Step 3: Conserva Arweave (AR)Dopo aver acquistato Arweave (AR), conserva nel tuo account HTX. In alternativa, puoi inviare tramite trasferimento blockchain o scambiare per altre criptovalute.Step 4: Scambia Arweave (AR)Scambia facilmente Arweave (AR) nel mercato spot di HTX. Accedi al tuo account, seleziona la tua coppia di trading, esegui le tue operazioni e monitora in tempo reale. Offriamo un'esperienza user-friendly sia per chi ha appena iniziato che per i trader più esperti.

597 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.11Aggiornato il 2025.03.21

Come comprare AR

Discussioni

Benvenuto nella Community HTX. Qui puoi rimanere informato sugli ultimi sviluppi della piattaforma e accedere ad approfondimenti esperti sul mercato. Le opinioni degli utenti sul prezzo di AR AR sono presentate come di seguito.

活动图片