EthCC回顾:消费者应用的文艺复兴即将来临?

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-07-19Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-07-19

Introduzione

整个行业意识到我们正在建造一个无人居住的乌托邦鬼城。

原文作者:@xingpt

原文编译:Peisen,BlockBeats

编者按: 2024 年 EthCC 在比利时布鲁塞尔举行,加密研究员 @xingpt 表达了此次会议感受,他指出目前行业领导者们已经意识到区块空间过剩的问题,并探讨了消费者应用的创新出口,BlockBeats 将原文编译如下:

去年,EthCC 汇聚了许多热衷于基础设施建设叙事的风投和项目创始人,他们讨论的话题涵盖了 Modular、ZK、MEV 等。

一年后,整个行业意识到我们正在建造一个无人居住的乌托邦鬼城。人们开始反思,他们之前热衷的只是高 FDV 泡沫所制造的幻影。

「过度建设基础设施的黑暗时代」的一个典型症状是创始人们喜欢用所有的行话和流行语来描述他们的产品是「Infra」(基础设施)。

过去说「我在建一个 Dex」,现在说「我在建一个在全同态加密(FHE)隐私层之上的 AI 代理的意图交易基础设施」。

如果把这种说话方式延伸到日常生活中会很有趣。「这是一个杯子」。「不,这是一个具有多种分发方法的流动性聚合基础设施」。

总的来说,这是一个好迹象,表明行业领导者们已经意识到区块空间过剩的问题。

我们在哪里能找到创新的消费者应用?

创新特别具有挑战性,尤其是那些已经实现 PMF(产品与市场契合度)的应用。一旦产品实现了 PMF,它就会成为公链的默认应用堆栈的一部分。

在这个默认应用堆栈中,DeFi 主要由 Dex、借贷、永续合约等产品构成,现在还有流动性质押和 Pendle-fork。大型公链及其主要持有者可以轻松引导 TVL,实质上是将其复制到不同的链上。在非 DeFi 领域,像 pump.fun 这样的 meme 启动器已经成为新公链的标准配置。

因此,我不会把这些 DeFi 堆栈归类为创新应用。但是,我确实看到一些领域在下一波浪潮中具有很高的潜力:

可穿戴设备(不是 DePin)

可穿戴设备(眼镜、戒指、手表)是可以在现实生活中直接与终端用户互动的硬件。如果浏览器插件(如 Metamask)曾是 Web3 的入口点,而 Telegram 是当前的入口点,那么可穿戴设备可能成为非加密用户的新入口点。

可穿戴设备背后的团队需要具备强大的营销技能,将这些设备定位为奢侈品牌。我相信,如果一些 NFT 发行商选择这个方向,他们有机会取得成功。

我认为用户不会优先考虑高级功能。相反,Web3 的用户可能会因为这些设备的吸引力和投机潜力而购买它们,就像他们购买 NFT 一样。

可交易资产+DeFi

大量资金在当前的 DeFi 堆栈中闲置,未得到充分利用。我们看到,在 DeFi 夏天,高 APY 推动了 DeFi 在加密领域的大规模采用。

新资产的推出一直是吸引用户的途径。在这个周期中,我们有 meme 币。然而,meme 币不为用户提供利用资产在 DeFi 中耕作的机会。

我预计将新资产的推出与现有 DeFi 堆栈相结合。这些应用程序可以设计为社交金融平台、预测市场或 meme 启动器。难点在于如何平滑地整合 DeFi 流动性。

AI+ Web3 应用

我们可以将本周期的 AI+Web3 视为上周期的 Gamefi,这两者的 PMF 在 Web2 领域已得到验证,并且可以通过代币激励加速或重新分配其采用。

是否有场景是用户已经在为 AI 应用付费,但更愿意使用加密货币支付以期望获得更高的回报?

「xx to earn」模式可能已经不再可行,因为专业工作室已经接管了空投耕作,有效地将真实用户排挤出去。

这些应用有可能增强当前 Web3+AI 基础设施的需求,重新平衡因过剩的挖矿 GPU 和缺乏愿意为这些服务付费的真实用户而造成的情况。

原文链接

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