机构观点:Bitwise为何看好Base及Coinbase?

Odaily星球日报Pubblicato 2024-05-09Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-05-09

Introduzione

受Base高毛利影响,Coinbase财报亮眼,有望成为“加密货币版亚马逊”。

原文来源: Bitwise

编译: Odaily星球日报 Wenser

机构观点:Bitwise为何看好Base及Coinbase?

编者按:自去年 8 月份主网上线以来,Base 从一众 L2 网络中逐渐脱颖而出,TVL 一路飙升至超 50 亿美元,不仅受到众多市场用户的支持与认可,也逐渐得到了来自大型机构的关注与看好。近日,加密资产管理公司 Bitwise 在官方账号对 Base 及其背后的 Coinbase 的相关情况进行了介绍,并表达了对 Base 生态及 Coinbase 后续发展势头的信心,Odaily星球日报将对此进行简要编译。

一切都与 Base 有关

Coinbase 上周发布了财报,表现非常亮眼。 公司财报显示, 2024 年 Q1 净收入达到 16 亿美元,环比增长 72% ,同比增长 116% ,大大超过了华尔街预期的 13.6 亿美元。其盈利情况也表现良好,利润达到 12 亿美元,手头现金总额增加到 71 亿美元,均远超过华尔街的预期。

(注:你可能已经看到有关该公司每股利润为 4.84 美元的报告,而预期为 1.15 美元。虽然从技术上讲是正确的,但这些都夸大了每股收益的“Beta”收入。该公司本季度的收益受益于加密资产在企业资产负债表上的会计处理方式的一次性转变。如果剔除这一变化,该公司每股收益为 1.92 美元,尽管处于相对更合理的水平,但仍然低于预期。我们认为这是一个更合适的对比。)

每条业务线表现都堪称出色。按季度计算,其中:

  • C 端消费者交易收入增长 93% ;

  • B 端机构交易收入增长 105% ;

  • 稳定币收入增长 15% ;

  • 区块链奖励收入增长 59% ; 

  • 托管收入增长了 64% 。 

自消息传出以来,Coinbase 股票一直处于横盘整理状态,但不要误会:Coinbase 是快速增长的加密货币行业中的主导公司,并且发展稳健。然而,隐藏在笼统数字中的,却是一条鲜为人知的加密原生业务线,我们认为,从长远来看,它可能会成为该公司的“游戏破局者”——它被称为“Base”,在 2024 年第一季度中,占公司收入的份额不到 1% ,媒体或分析师对其关注有限。

但它自有其值得被关注的理由。

何为 Base ?

去年 8 月,Coinbase 正式推出了 Base,这是建立在以太坊之上的新的 L2 网络。L2 网络与传统的 L1 区块链网络相连接,如以太坊,它旨在增加 L1 区块链网络的吞吐量并降低运行成本。

了解 L2 网络如何运行的最佳方法是将其看做一个酒吧账单。如果你和朋友外出喝酒,酒吧每次为你提供饮品时都要使用信用卡并结算账单,这既昂贵又缓慢。所以,他们会开一张总的账单——他们会确定一个饮品总数,最后在一次交易中统一结算。

同样,直接执行以太坊等 L1 区块链网络交易可能昂贵且缓慢。在就过往历史来看,以太坊上的交易成本上从不到 1 美元到超过 200 美元不等,并且结算时间以分钟来单位,相对比较缓慢。

L2 网络的工作原理是,通过跟踪个别交易,将其记录在一个标签,然后定期将这些交易批量“发布”到以太坊。Coinbase 推出 Base 自始至终的目标都是,促成交易在不到一秒内结算且成本控制在 0.01 美元以内。

L2 网络的使用量正在飙升,这促使以太坊区块链上的交易活动呈爆炸式增长。这显而易见:如果某样东西更便宜、更快、更容易使用,人们就会更多地使用它。Base 是增长最快的 L2 网络, 2024 年第一季度的交易量环比增长 74% 。

但关键是:这只是一个开始。

仅在 4 月份,Base 处理的交易量就比第一季度多出 40% 。

(注:你可能想知道:为什么 Base 的交易数量会爆炸式增长?答案很简单:今年 3 月,以太坊区块链进行了坎昆升级,使 Base 等 L2 网络更加高效。许多专家表示,坎昆升级可以将 L2 网络的交易费用降低多达 90% ,帮助 Coinbase 实现其低成本交易的目标。坎昆升级已经大大降低了 L2 网络的交易成本,进而增加了其使用率。)

因此,Base 的交易量可能会更多。Coinbase 首席执行官 Brian Armstrong 表示,第一季度在 Base 上构建产品的开发人员数量增长了 8 倍。随着这些开发人员带来越来越多的新应用,用户数量可能会继续保持高速增长。

Base 对 Coinbase 意味着什么?

所有这一切都很重要的原因是,借助其极高的毛利率,Base 有可能成为 Coinbase 的巨大收入来源。

当人们使用 Base 时,他们会将交易提交到他们想要处理的网络。Coinbase 扮演着“排序器”的角色:验证这些交易,将它们排列成批次,并将它们发布到以太坊 L1 主网。值得一提的是,Coinbase 是目前 Base 网络上唯一的排序器。

Coinbase 借此收取相应费用。例如,在 2024 年第一季度,用户向 Base 支付了 2740 万美元的交易费用(所有费用计算在内),其中, Coinbase 能够获得 1550 万美元。仅在 4 月份,Coinbase 借此再度进账 1100 万美元。这些资金全部流入 Coinbase 的口袋。

如果 Base 继续增长,它可以每月为 Coinbase 带来相对稳定的 1000 万美元、 2000 万美元或更多的利润。从长远来看,如果 Base 成为开发人员构建应用程序的主要网络,Coinbase 最终可能会拥有加密基础设施的核心部分。

一些加密行业观察者指出,这可能会使 Coinbase 处于与亚马逊相似的地位。亚马逊最初是一家在线书店,后来扩展到提供各种零售商品。但目前,该公司一半以上的利润来自亚马逊网络服务(Amazon Web Services),其目前是世界上最大的云计算服务提供商。

人们认为 Coinbase 是一家加密货币交易所,而且它是世界上最大的交易所之一。

但从 Base 的早期回报表现可以看出,Coinbase 最终可能会扮演更强大的角色:加密生态系统的核心基础设施提供商。

这确实是一件影响深远的大事。

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