24小时内暴跌5000美元!比特币为何突然崩了?

jin10Pubblicato 2024-04-02Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-04-02

受美国国债收益率上升的影响,比特币在新的月份和季度开始之际连续第二天下跌。

周二,这一全球最大加密货币一度失守65000美元/枚,为3月24日以来首次,过去24小时暴跌约5000美元。比特币目前已从3月14日创下的历史高点下跌约11%。以太坊也随之下跌,当前交易价格为3315/美元/枚左右。

与此同时,10年期美国国债收益率达到今年最高水平,此前与比特币价格呈反比关系的美元也达到了近五个月来的最高水平。美国国债收益率和美元的走强主要得益于周一公布的美国经济数据。数据显示,制造业自2022年9月以来首次扩张,导致投资者对美联储6月降息的押注开始降温。

LMAX Group市场策略师乔尔·克鲁格(Joel Kruger)表示:“在一季度表现如此火爆之后,比特币不需要太多借口就可能进入一段调整期”。

话虽如此,随着美国经济数据最近表现强劲,而通胀仍令人担忧,导致市场重新定价美联储的利率前景,这也提振了利率更具吸引力的美元,从而不利于比特币。

比特币的跌势还可能因一名大型比特币持有者的异常行为(或称“比特币巨鲸”)而加剧,他在周一深夜向Bitfinex交易所转移了超过4000枚比特币。CryptoQuant的数据显示,该交易所的储备量激增,这通常预示着抛售活动的增加,刚好与当时比特币价格的突然下跌相吻合。

与比特币表现挂钩的股票受到拖累。加密货币交易所Coinbase下跌了4%,比特币最大的企业持有者微策略(MicroStrategy)下跌了近7%。比特币矿业巨头马拉松数字(Marathon Digital)和暴乱平台(Riot Platforms)分别下跌了7%和6%。今年表现最好的比特币矿商之一CleanSpark下跌6%。

四月对于加密货币和相关股票(尤其是比特币挖矿公司的股票)来说可能是动荡的一个月。投资者正在关注比特币减半事件,这将在本月下半月大幅削减比特币矿工的奖励,从而减少他们的收入。这一事件可能会损害比特币矿商的表现,但从历史上看,比特币在接下来的几个月里会上涨300%或更多。2024年迄今,比特币仍上涨了53%。

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