监测韩国市场,帮助你寻找下一个 Pump

Foresight NewsPubblicato 2024-03-26Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-03-26

Introduzione

鉴于美国监管环境的不确定性,以及亚洲对加密货币的接受度不断提高,我们正在见证 Crypto「由西向东」的转变。

加密货币交易要学会利用市场数据和工具,比如 ARB 和 APT,从数据上看它们的波动都紧跟着韩国 crypto 交易市场的趋势,加密研究员 Miles Deutscher 撰写了关于「如何利用韩国市场来做加密交易」的文章,BlockBeats 编译如下:

韩国加密市场飞速发展

今年来最大的 pump 来自于韩国,比如 APT 和 ARB,经我观察后发现了一种方法,帮你尽可能早的发现下一个 pump,以下是指南:

韩国加密市场市值一直处于爆炸式增长阶段,韩本地对 Web 3 的支持、强劲的经济、对创新和技术的关注共同促成了韩国市场的发展。所以,韩国最终成为世界加密中心之一,也是交易量排名前四的国家。

当下最火爆的韩国加密货币交易平台当属 Upbit,也是迄今为止韩国最大的加密货币交易平台,占据韩总体加密市场份额的 76.6%。

监测市场趋势的工具

由于其主导地位,监测 Upbit 交易已成为跟踪韩国加密市场趋势的主要方式之一。以下 3 种工具可以帮助你抓住韩国的 Crypto pump:

Crypto Exchange Listing Bot

通过使用 Crypto Exchange Listing Bot 来监测新上线的 token,该网站可以在新 token 上线时即时给用户发送相关信息(通过 Email、Tel、Dc 等方式),可以帮助你快速找到下一个 listing pump。

CoinMarketCap

CoinMarketCap 想必大家都很熟悉,使用 CoinMarketCap 中的监测韩元相关交易对部分,该界面会按照交易量显示 token 排名以及其它相关指标,对于你追踪一些热门 token 很有必要。

Unusual Upbit Volume Bot

Unusual Upbit Volume Bot 允许用户使用交易数据机器人自动识别出异常的交易量峰值,可以作为加密货币交易的研究评判,该 Bot 会将 Upbit 数据与对应的 Binance 数据配对。

4 月 13 日,该机器人检测到 Upbit ARB 交易量增加了 102.9%。当天晚些时候,ARB 上涨 40%。

于我而言,如果出现交易量峰值,我不会立即开多单,我通常通过成交量的增加作为进一步交易该 token 的信号,确定价格行为背后的驱动因素,然后再进行交易。

一种 token 交易的评判机制

确定交易一种 token 时,我会通过 4 个方面来考量:

该 token 与韩国社区之间是否存在协同效应?

该 token 交易量的增长是否持续了一段时间?

是否有其它因素影响该 token 价格行为?

该 token 相关图表数据看起来不错吗?(这很重要)

寻找高 FDV 的 token,低流通量下交易量的增加会对 token 价格产生很大的影响,比如 APT 和 ARB,这也是他们成为 pump 的原因(尤其是 APT)。

结语

随着韩国市场的快速增长,关注基于交易的指标和发展方面数据是很有意义的。当然,我也在密切关注其他亚洲市场,如香港和日本。鉴于美国监管环境的不确定性,以及亚洲对加密货币的接受度不断提高,我们正在见证 crypto「由西向东」的转变。

Crypto di tendenza

Letture associate

With Labour Changing Leaders, Is the Long-Suppressed UK Crypto Market About to Turn Around?

Labour leader change: Hope for UK crypto market? With Keir Starmer's resignation as Prime Minister and Labour leader, a leadership contest has begun. Andy Burnham, the former Mayor of Greater Manchester and now the overwhelming favourite to succeed, has sparked cautious optimism within the UK cryptocurrency industry. Industry figures hope Burnham, seen as more receptive to digital assets than much of the Labour establishment, could shift the party's traditionally harder line. The leadership transition is expected to be swift, with prediction markets like Polymarket assigning a 97% probability to Burnham becoming the next Prime Minister. However, this political shift comes as a comprehensive regulatory framework for crypto, established by law earlier this year, is in its final implementation phase. The Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) is finalizing detailed rules covering trading, custody, stablecoins, and market abuse, with the full regime set to go live in October 2027. While a new Prime Minister can reshuffle ministers and adjust policy priorities, the core regulatory architecture is now law and unlikely to be fundamentally overturned without significant, deliberate government intervention. The main industry hope is that a Burnham government, focusing on economic growth, will ensure the FCA's implementation is pragmatic and growth-oriented. Industry advocates seek proportionate capital requirements, a streamlined licensing process, and clear rules for staking and stablecoins. They argue that embracing the crypto sector could attract investment and listings to London's struggling markets. Despite the optimism, concerns remain that regulatory implementation may still be influenced by more sceptical factions within the Labour party.

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With Labour Changing Leaders, Is the Long-Suppressed UK Crypto Market About to Turn Around?

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A 60-Day Window Depresses Oil Prices, So Why Is the Market Falling Instead?

International oil prices continued to decline on June 23, extending significant losses from the previous session. The market shifted focus from Middle East military risks to actual supply changes following a temporary U.S.-Iran arrangement. The immediate trigger was the resumption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil shipping chokepoint, with two tankers passing through, signaling eased near-term supply disruption fears. Prices retreated as the "worst-case scenario" was temporarily averted. A reported 60-day window in a U.S.-Iran understanding allows Iran to sell oil during this period, further dampening supply concerns. However, this arrangement is temporary, linked to nuclear talks, and does not guarantee a long-term solution. Market sentiment remains cautious because the deal could still unravel, potentially reinstating sanctions or disrupting shipping. While these developments have lowered immediate risk premiums, prices have not fully returned to pre-conflict levels. Geopolitical news, particularly regarding the stability of the Strait of Hormuz or the progress of negotiations, could quickly reverse the price drop. Additionally, low U.S. strategic petroleum reserves limit the emergency buffer available if supply shocks reemerge. Therefore, the current price decline reflects a reduction in near-term panic, not a complete elimination of Middle East supply risks.

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A 60-Day Window Depresses Oil Prices, So Why Is the Market Falling Instead?

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SK Hynix Market Cap Exceeds Samsung for First Time in 26 Years, Korean Broker Calls for 50% More Upside

SK Hynix's market capitalization surpassed Samsung Electronics for the first time in 26 years on June 22, reaching 208.1 trillion won. The shift reflects a market trend where companies directly benefiting from AI infrastructure, like SK Hynix, are receiving higher valuation premiums than diversified giants. The surge is driven by AI-driven demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), where SK Hynix holds a dominant 70-80% market share. Its Q1 2026 revenue exceeded 50 trillion won for the first time, with an operating profit margin of 72%. Hanwha Investment & Securities significantly raised its price target for SK Hynix to 430,000 won, the highest among Korean brokerages. The key rationale is that Long-Term Supply Agreements (LTAs) and robust HBM demand have fundamentally reduced the company's historical profit volatility. Several other brokers have also raised targets, arguing the valuation framework for memory semiconductors is being rewritten, moving away from a cyclical model. Despite the bullish outlook, the stock experienced a pullback of over 5% in regular trading on June 23 after briefly surpassing 3 million won pre-market, amid broader tech sector weakness. Some analysts caution that the市值 overtaking Samsung, whose profit scale and growth forecasts remain higher, could signal short-term overheating. However, high-return investors viewed the dip as a buying opportunity.

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SK Hynix Market Cap Exceeds Samsung for First Time in 26 Years, Korean Broker Calls for 50% More Upside

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GPU rental prices for Nvidia's flagship B200 chip have fallen by approximately 30% over three weeks, dropping from a high of $6.11/hour to $4.22/hour. This decline signals a potential easing of the "compute scarcity" narrative that has long supported AI hardware valuations. Concurrently, the semiconductor market is witnessing a significant divergence: while the VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has risen 15% in the past month, with memory giants Micron and SanDisk each surging nearly 60%, Nvidia's stock has declined about 3% over the same period. Analysts suggest this shift indicates that the AI value chain's bottleneck and profits are migrating from compute (GPUs) to memory. Demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) remains intensely strong, with contract prices soaring over 100% in H1 2026, granting memory manufacturers significant pricing power. In contrast, increased B200 supply from improved manufacturing yields and competitive pressure from new cloud providers are softening GPU rental rates. While long-term contracts, like SpaceX's $30 billion deal with Google, show sustained large-scale demand for Nvidia hardware, the softening spot prices pressure the margins of cloud providers and could eventually impact Nvidia's order flow if chip prices don't adjust. The key takeaway for investors is not a weakening AI thesis, but a recalibration within the sector: pricing power appears to be strengthening for memory chipmakers while showing signs of strain for leading GPU suppliers.

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324 Totale visualizzazioniPubblicato il 2024.12.12Aggiornato il 2026.06.02

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