每周热搜 | ETF 梦圆,利好组合拳下的临界点到来?

foresightnewsPubblicato 2024-01-11Pubblicato ultima volta 2024-01-12

Introduzione

当年 CME 期货、BITO 通过的历史说明,或许传统资本的介入如何评估仍是未知之数。

当年 CME 期货、BITO 通过的历史说明,或许传统资本的介入如何评估仍是未知之数。


撰文:Frank,Foresight News

制图:Kiet,Foresight News


注:「每周热搜」统计自 Foresight News 上周五至本周五(1 月 5 日至 1 月 11 日)的用户搜索结果,同时对相同概念的大小写进行了合并处理。


美国的现货「比特币」「ETF」的靴子,本周终于落地,且通过审批 + 上市交易的一套组合拳行云流水:1 月 10 日 11 支 ETF 产品同时获批,1 月 11 日其中 9 支 ETF 就正式上市交易,交易量当天便迅速达到数十亿美元,堪称开门红(参见《时间线|新里程碑:比特币现货 ETF 终获通过》、《ETF 靴子落地,谁将接棒 2024 年的主流叙事?》)。


自从 2013 年 Winklevoss 兄弟首度尝试申请现货比特币 ETF 以来, 10 年间每年都有不同的机构提出申请,但都无一例外均以失败告终,如今美国证券交易委员会(SEC)的转向,也算是圆了加密行业坚持 10 年的一个执念,也有望为市场带来新的玩家和变量。


不过人们总是容易高估短期影响,目前现货比特币 ETF 对比特币的长远影响有待观察和验证,尤其是传统金融资本的介入该如何评估仍是未知之数,一味地利好解读或许并不健康,这不由得让笔者想起 2017 年 CME 期货通过、2021 年 BITO 通过的历史画面。


上个月 Arthur Hayes 也曾发言提醒「如果比特币 ETF 太成功,它将摧毁比特币」,大致观点主要是 ETF 将比特币彻底变为资产属性,异化比特币 P2P 支付网络的初心,最关键的是维护比特币网络的矿工将在日益缺少转账流动的环境中慢慢「渴死」。


甚至于华尔街等传统金融玩家可以通过 ETF、衍生品等手段不断积累筹码,最后完全控盘市场走向,不同的理解孰对孰错,或许只能交给时间验证。



「SEI」本周仍高居榜二,自从顺利接过 TIA 一棒,成为「币安」新币们的新晋拉涨标后,一直在高位震荡。


与此同时,另一个新币「XAI」也在本周正式开放「空投」领取并上线交易所,截止目前的表现和近期币安的新币一样并不尽如人意,按照此前观察到的规律,就看后续是否会稳在开盘价附近稍有下跌,然后逐步脱离下跌震荡转向大幅。


作为次新币的「SUI」的表现倒开始变得更加强势,昨日顺利突破 1 美元整数关口,截止发文时更是达到 1.1 USDT,24 小时涨幅超 20%。


如果从累计涨幅上看,自从 2023 年 10 月 20 日之后,SUI 已经从底部的 0.36 USDT 上涨 3 倍有余,悄无声息地回到刚上线时的高位区间。


「铭文」本周的热度依旧处于下降趋势,许多原本去年年底极其活跃的铭文交流群肉眼不仅消息清淡,甚至有开始沦为广告群的趋势。


「ORDI」「SATS」等龙头币种也鲜有特殊表现,关于币安 Web3 钱包的新动作近段时间以来一直有传言,但始终未得到事实验证。


「EigenLayer」则计划在 1 月 30 日重新开放,主要是引入三种新的流动性质押代币(LST),分别为 sfrxETH、mETH 和 LsETH,将允许以每种 LST 20 万枚 ETH 的现有上限进行再质押。


在美国通过并上市交易现货比特币 ETF 之后,「香港」相关人士也摩拳擦掌,除了监管维度的态度与参与美股 ETF 交易的探讨之外,其中 HashKey Group 首席营运官翁晓奇(Livio Weng)也表示约十家基金公司正筹备在香港推出虚拟资产现货 ETF。


此前 1 月 4 日,Foresight News 就曾对翁晓奇进行了专访,其中他全面回顾了 2023 年 HashKey Exchange 面临的众多挑战,并透露了 HashKey Exchange 2024 年的宏观目标,还专门分享了 HashKey Exchange 在 ETF 等有潜力的加密赛道上的相关业务进展(推荐阅读《对话 HashKey Exchange 新 CEO 翁晓奇:ETF 与 RWA,是持牌加密交易所「弯道超车」的机会》)。


「Aleo」官宣将于 1 月 15 日进行第二次压力测试,为期两周,旨在测试极限,并确保代码整洁及可靠。此前 Foresight News 的专访中,Aleo 副总裁 Joanna Zeng 就曾透露 Aleo 主网计划在 2024 年第一季度左右上线,且之前测试网上的应用,届时都可以直接迁移到主网上来(推荐阅读《专访 Aleo 副总裁 Joanna Zeng:4 年,3 亿美元,ZK 的「双重价值」将浮出水面》)。


此外「Bitget」本周也官宣了新的首席运营官 Vugar Usi Zade,此前曾担任 Beincrypto 首席营销官和 SONY 营销负责人,并在 Facebook、达能和嘉士伯等知名公司担任过高级职位,国际化履历十分亮眼,这也应该是 Bitget 计划在 2024 年深耕全球化发展的一个缩影。


除此之外,「Manta」推出空投计划,支持用户根据过去 3 年对生态系统的贡献来检查空投资格,其中奖励共 5000 万枚 MANTA ,占总供应量的 5%,3000 万枚空投奖励将分配给 Manta Atlantic 和 Manta Pacific 上支持者和用户,2000 万枚为 Great Treasure Hunt 奖励。


「Starknet」依旧是技术方面的进展,v0.13 升级已在主网上线,此次升级最大的亮点无外乎负责用 STRK 支付费用的技术准备工作,不过官方也表示这并不意味着现在可使用 STRK 作为 Gas。



本周 Mirror 热搜榜中的「Starknet」、「XAI」与站内热搜联动,作者榜方面,空投教程类的比例变化不大:


1.ZkSync 中文小助手(项目资讯)

2.深潮 TechFlow(行业媒体)

3.空投信息二手分享(空投教程)

4.话李话外(行业观察)

5.撸币养家(空投教程)

6.Dfax_official(行业观察)

7.丰密 Kuiqian(行业观察)

8.0xfaCf(空投教程)

9.ty1024.eth(空投教程)

10.0xzhaozhao.eth(空投教程)

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