今日币价06/07:美联储发布6月会议纪要后,比特币出现回调迹象,山寨币和美股小幅下跌

Tap Chi BitcoinPubblicato 2023-07-06Pubblicato ultima volta 2023-07-06

Introduzione

随着华尔街审查最新的美联储会议纪要,比特币回调了 30,000 美元左右。

随着华尔街审查最新的美联储会议纪要,比特币回调了 30,000 美元左右。

BTC 价格图表 – 1 小时 | 来源:TradingView

美股

道琼斯工业平均指数周三(7月5日)下跌,华尔街回顾了美联储最新会议纪要,以更好地了解货币政策形势。

截至收盘,道琼斯指数下跌 129.83 点(或 0.38%)至 34,288.64 点。标准普尔 500 指数下跌 0.2%,至 4,446.82 点。纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.18%至13,791.65点。道琼斯指数和标准普尔500指数均结束了三连涨。

投资者查看了周三下午公布的美联储6月会议纪要,其中大多数官员表示未来可能会进一步加息。

会议纪要称,“在去年迅速收紧货币政策立场后,委员会放慢了收紧步伐,并进一步放慢了步伐,以便有更多时间观察和评估其对政策的影响。”

上个月的会议记录显示,各国央行仍然对持续的通胀感到担忧。6月,委员会成员投票维持利率不变,标志着央行15个月来首次暂停加息。

AXS Investments 首席执行官 Greg Bassuk 表示,毫无疑问,美联储加息将继续主导下半年市场和经济轨迹的投资者情绪。

周三公布的数据显示,2023 年 5 月工厂订单低于预期。本周晚些时候,投资者将关注一系列就业和工资数据,以更好地了解劳动力市场的实力。

由于美国独立日假期,周一(7 月 3 日)市场早盘休市,周二(7 月 4 日)休市。上周,纳斯达克综合指数录得自 1983 年以来最好的上半年表现,标准普尔 500 指数录得自 2019 年以来最好的上半年表现,因为对人工智能的兴趣飙升激发了投资者对证券的乐观情绪。今年前 6 个月道琼斯指数仅上涨 3.8%。

周三(7月5日)金价下跌,因美联储6月会议纪要提振了黄金前景,美元和美债收益率上涨,预计利率将在较长时间内保持较高水平。

截至尾盘,现货黄金合约下跌0.5%至1,916.49美元/盎司。黄金期货下跌 0.1%,至每盎司 1,927.1 美元。

周三(7月5日),受沙特和俄罗斯宣布减产的影响,WTI油价大幅上涨。目前,市场参与者正在等待美国的需求数据。

截至收盘,WTI石油合约较周一(7月3日)收盘上涨2美元(相当于2.9%)至71.79美元/桶。布伦特原油合约周二上涨 1.6 美元/桶后,上涨 40 美分,即 0.5%,至每桶 76.65 美元。

比特币和山寨币

比特币连续第 12 个交易日处于 30,000 美元上方。自6月15日至6月23日价格上涨22%以来,BTC价格已下跌1.3%。

周三晚间美国股市开盘时,交易量激增。小幅上涨趋势与最后一小时的下跌同时发生,比特币盘中触底为 30,200 美元,小时图上的相对强弱指数 (RSI) 跌破 30,表明比特币已受到打击。 。

短期交易者可能会将此次下跌视为以正确估值购买长期比特币的机会。希望持有比特币更长时间的投资者需要查看日线图上的 RSI,该指数位于 62。

RSI 是一种常用的技术指标,范围为 0-100,高于 70 的水平意味着资产被高估,低于 30 的水平意味着资产被低估。

尽管比特币现货价格下跌,但衍生品市场的投资者似乎押注比特币价格会走高。

根据 Glassnode 的数据,比特币期货市场的未平仓合约目前为 120 亿美元,高于 6 月初的 104 亿美元,并于 5 月 29 日达到 134 亿美元的峰值。 6. 未平仓合约的上升可能表明投资者的乐观情绪。

期货交易量仍保持在 190 亿美元左右,但预测不稳定,没有形成一致的趋势。

自5月11日以来,比特币资金费率已连续29天为正。

来源:Glassnode

在比特币回调至接近 30,000 美元区域后,山寨币市场短期内继续小幅下跌。

Zilliqa (ZIL) 是当天表现最差的项目,其价值蒸发了超过 10%。然而,在 7 天的时间范围内,该代币仍显示出超过 12% 的上涨势头。

其他山寨币如 BitDAO (BIT)、Mina (MINA)、Fantom (FTM)、Render Token (RNDR)、Trust Wallet Token (TWT)、Theta Network (THETA)、Pepe (PEPE)、Aave (AAVE)、Optimism ( OP),……扭转了局面,从 4-7% 下降了。

资料来源:Coinmarketcap

继7月4日跌破1950美元大关后,以太坊(ETH)昨日继续回调逾1.5%。第二大市值资产已接近 1,900 美元区域,目前交易价格约为 1,909 美元。

ETH 价格图表 – 1 小时 | 来源:TradingView

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