Huobi's Weekly News(2.27-3.5)

HuobiPubblicato 2023-03-06Pubblicato ultima volta 2023-03-06

Introduzione

The Breaking News Last Week and Preview of This Week's News

The breaking news of last week:

1. Key Word: SEC, Gary Gensler, Coinbase CEO

According to New York Magazine, Gary Gensler, chairman of the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), said in an interview that pretty much every sort of crypto transaction already falls under the SEC’s jurisdiction except spot transactions in bitcoin itself and the actual purchase or sale of goods or services with cryptocurrencies. “Everything other than bitcoin,” Gensler said, “you can find a website, you can find a group of entrepreneurs, they might set up their legal entities in a tax haven offshore, they might have a foundation, they might lawyer it up to try to arbitrage and make it hard jurisdictionally or so forth.” In other words, there are people behind these cryptocurrencies using a variety of complex and legally opaque mechanisms, but at the most basic level, they are trying to promote their tokens and entice investors. (Bitcoin, because of its unique history and creation story, is fundamentally different from other crypto projects in this respect.) “They might drop their tokens overseas at first and contend or pretend that it’s going to take six months before they come back to the U.S.,” he continued. “But at the core,” he argued, “these tokens are securities because there’s a group in the middle and the public is anticipating profits based on that group.”

In a televised interview with Bloomberg, Armstrong said that almost all major financial hubs, including Singapore, Hong Kong, London, and most recently, the European Union, have introduced comprehensive crypto legislation, adding that the US should also follow suit if it doesn't want to lag behind.

2. Key Word: Ethereum Sepolia, ETH Upgrade

Data show that the Ethereum Sepolia testnet has reached epoch 56832, and the Shapella (Shanghai/Capella) upgrade has been activated. This upgrade follows The Merge and enables validators to withdraw their stake from the Beacon Chain back to the execution layer. It also introduces new functionality to both the execution and consensus layer. The Shapella upgrade combines changes to the execution layer (Shanghai), consensus layer (Capella) and the Engine API.

CryptoQuant, a community-based data analysis platform for cryptocurrencies, claims that there will be a low ETH selling pressure even after the upcoming Ethereum Shanghai upgrade.

3. Key Word: Solana, FMCBG, Improve the Network Upgrades

Solana, the public blockchain platform, has released its plan to improve the network upgrades as an immediate response to the network-wide slowdown in block production experienced after the recent 1.14 network update of February 25.

4. Key Word: UK Central Bank, Britcoin

Broadbent’s comments come three weeks after the Bank of England (BoE) and British Treasury announced they were exploring the feasibility of a CBDC, which they’ve dubbed “Britcoin.”

“At this stage, we judge it likely that the digital pound will be needed in the future. It is too early to decide whether to introduce the digital pound, but we are convinced preparatory work is justified,” the consultation paper says.

5. Key Word: Neel Kashkari, "Open-Minded" on High Interest Rate

Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari said Wednesday he is "open-minded" on either a 25 basis point or a 50 basis point rate hike at the U.S. central bank's next meeting, adding that rates may ultimately need to go higher than the 5.4% level he had thought in December would be adequate.

6. Key Word: U.S. Treasury Department, CBDC

Nellie Liang, the U.S. Treasury Department's undersecretary for domestic finance, suggested that the federal government’s work on a potential digital dollar is accelerating, saying leaders from various agencies and White House offices are starting meetings in the “coming months.”

7. Key Word: Visa and Mastercard, Stop Partner with Crypto Firm

U.S. payment giants Visa and Mastercard are slamming the brakes on plans to forge new partnerships with crypto firms after a string of high-profile collapses shook faith in the industry, people familiar with the matter told Reuters. The crypto industry saw a stunning reversal of fortunes in 2022 as bankruptcies of industry majors FTX and BlockFi rattled investors and increased regulatory scrutiny on the sector. Both Visa and Mastercard have decided to push back the launch of certain products and services related to crypto until market conditions and the regulatory environment improve.

8. Key Word: SilverGate Bank、Annual Report

The crypto-friendly bank has said it would have to delay the filing of its annual 10-K report for the 2022 fiscal year, and would need more than an additional two weeks to complete it.

"The Company is currently analyzing certain regulatory and other inquiries and investigations that are pending with respect to the Company," the filing said. Silvergate's accounting firm is also requesting further information, as are its independent auditors.

9. Key Word: House Financial Services, Regulatory Framework for Crypto

French Hill, the chair of a recently created House Financial Services panel focused on digital assets, said the panel plans to work with the House Agriculture Committee on a regulatory framework on cryptocurrency. “We’re going to do our best to work in tandem with House Ag on this process because I think that is effective,” said Rep. French Hill on Thursday at a Milken Institute Future of Digital Assets Symposium. The House Agriculture Committee has jurisdiction over the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and one of the largest regulators of crypto, bitcoin. Committee Chair Glenn "G.T." Thompson, R-Pa., introduced a bill to allow crypto exchanges to register with the CFTC last year. Hill was picked to chair the subcommittee on Financial Assets, Financial Technology and Inclusion earlier this year. Hil also said on Thursday “our goal” is to create a regulatory framework for crypto. A first step could be a focus on stablecoins, Hill said, though he expressed some hesitancy.

10.Key Word: FTX, Asset

FTX debtors publish second presentation for stakeholders. The presentation shows a massive shortfall. Using spot prices at the Petition Time, $2.2 billion of total assets have been located today in the wallets of the accounts associated with the FTX.com exchange, of which only $694 million constitutes "Category A Assets". Other assets at FTX.com include $385 million of customer receivables and substantial claims against Alameda Research LLC and related parties. The presentation shows a $9.3 billion net borrowing by Alameda Research LLC from the FTX.com wallets and accounts at the Petition Time.

Events coming in this week:

1. The US SEC and Grayscale will present their case on Grayscale’s lawsuit against the SEC at 9:30 EST on March 7th.

2. The U.S. House of Representatives Subcommittee on Digital Assets will hold its first hearing on March 9.

3. South Korea’s financial intelligence unit will conduct an on-site inspection of the exchange GDAC on March 6.

4. The blockchain storage protocol Arweave 2.6 is released, and the hard fork is scheduled to be activated on March 6.

5. Canaan plans to announce its financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2022 on March 7.

6. Waves will take a snapshot on March 10 to airdrop POWER.

Letture associate

Micron Shuts Up the Bears, Makes India's 'Buffett' Regret: Sold Too Early, Missed Out on $2 Billion

Indian value investor Mohnish Pabrai, a disciple of Warren Buffett, revealed his costly mistake of selling shares in Micron Technology too early. He initially invested in 2017, holding it for six years and building a position as large as 77% of his portfolio, based on a thesis that the memory chip industry would consolidate into a stable oligopoly of Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron. However, he sold his entire stake in September 2023, fearing oversupply after Samsung announced production expansion. Shortly after his exit, demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM) surged with the rise of AI, and Micron's stock price skyrocketed over 15 times in two years. Pabrai estimates this premature sale cost him roughly $20 billion in potential gains. He expressed similar regret over selling his investment in SK Hynix too soon, stating he violated his own principle of holding companies forever. Reflecting on these errors, Pabrai emphasized his core investment checklist principles: avoiding leverage, focusing on the durability of a company's competitive moat, and assessing management's character. Despite these personal trading missteps, his long-term view on the remaining memory chip leaders remains bullish, advising current holders not to sell as "the party is just getting started." He concluded by sharing his philosophical outlook, prioritizing character over wealth, and his goal to donate his entire fortune before his passing.

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Micron Shuts Up the Bears, Makes India's 'Buffett' Regret: Sold Too Early, Missed Out on $2 Billion

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Mihoyo's Next Protagonist Is Her, Who Plays the Piano

Mihoyo, widely recognized for its hit game Genshin Impact, has long harbored a grander ambition: creating a virtual world where one billion people would want to live. While its character design is unparalleled, the company recognizes a fundamental limitation—these beloved virtual characters are not truly "alive." Their dialogue and actions are pre-scripted. This drive for authentic "living" characters has guided Mihoyo's strategic investments in cutting-edge fields like brain-computer interfaces, AI (including an early investment in MiniMax), and nuclear fusion. Following the release of ChatGPT in late 2022, co-founder Cai Haoyu stepped down from management to lead a new overseas AI venture, Anuttacon, focused on creating AI-driven virtual beings. Mihoyo's path has involved experimentation and iteration. Anuttacon's early project, *Whisper of the Stars*, showcased real-time AI conversation but revealed limitations in underlying language models. The team subsequently focused its resources on developing a sophisticated "emotional" large language model, distinct from purely utilitarian AI. Co-founder Liu Wei (Dawei) announced plans to invest up to 100 billion RMB in this AI pursuit. The first tangible product of this vision is *BSide: Olivia Lin*, a free Steam application featuring a piano-playing virtual companion. Unlike typical AI chatbots demanding constant interaction, Olivia Lin operates on a slower, more deliberate rhythm—responding to letters, playing user-submitted melodies, and serving as a desktop presence. This design emphasizes "lifelikeness" over exhaustive conversation, strategically working around current technological constraints while building a sense of authentic connection. The company's journey traces back to its name, "miHoYo," where "mi" pays homage to the virtual singer Hatsune Miku. For nearly two decades, fans have loved Miku, a character unaware of their devotion. Mihoyo's ultimate goal, now backed by massive investment and AI research, is to bridge that gap—to create virtual beings that can truly know they are loved.

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Mihoyo's Next Protagonist Is Her, Who Plays the Piano

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Citrini Research: Taking Stock of 5 Major Investment Themes Overshadowed by the AI Trade

Citrini Research identifies five under-the-radar investment themes potentially overshadowed by the dominant AI trade. With capital and analyst attention overwhelmingly focused on AI infrastructure, these overlooked areas present alpha opportunities as market dynamics shift. **Theme 1: Airlines** – Despite strong fundamentals, stocks like Delta and United have been penalized for 18 months due to macro concerns (tariff-inflation, oil prices), not profitability. A rebound is expected as these headwinds fade, aided by trends like premiumization and the 2026 World Cup. **Theme 2: Senior Housing** – A pure demographic play. The U.S. population over 80 is projected to grow 56% in the next decade, drastically outpacing supply. This creates a compelling need for facilities, benefiting REITs like Welltower and operators like Brookdale. **Theme 3: Live Events & Entertainment** – "Being there" is becoming a luxury. This sector has outperformed even tech over the past decade. Companies like TKO Group (WWE/UFC), Cinemark, and IMAX are capitalizing on demand for premium, in-person experiences. **Theme 4: Exchange Competition** – CME Group's ~98% monopoly in U.S. interest rate derivatives faces its first real challenge from FMX Futures Exchange. Backed by major Wall Street banks, FMX offers lower fees and margin savings. While CME's deep liquidity remains an advantage, FMX provides a competitive alternative. **Theme 5: Fintech Recovery** – Heavily sold off in 2026, fintech stocks like SoFi, Robinhood, and Upstart are showing signs of a rebound based on improving fundamentals—SoFi's stablecoin launch, Robinhood's transformation into a "financial super app," and Upstart's renewed AI lending narrative—rather than a change in sector outlook. The report advises maintaining some AI exposure but diversifying into these neglected "small themes" where mispricing exists due to a simple shortage of investor attention.

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Citrini Research: Taking Stock of 5 Major Investment Themes Overshadowed by the AI Trade

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21Shares Mid-Year Key Report: Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Remains Intact, Stablecoins and Tokenization Emerge as New Growth Engines

21Shares Mid-Year Report 2026: Bitcoin Cycle Intact, Stablecoins & Tokenization Emerge as New Engines This mid-year review assesses progress against 21Shares' ten predictions for 2026. While the overarching shift from narrative to fundamentals holds, performance varies. Key findings show Bitcoin's four-year cycle remains evident despite market maturation. Global crypto ETP AUM has declined to ~$140B, lagging the $400B target, though product innovation continues. Stablecoin supply surpassed $320B, demonstrating non-cyclical demand but falling short of the $1T forecast due to slower regulatory clarity. DeFi TVL, stalled at ~$140B, was hindered by major security incidents. Corporate crypto treasuries hold ~1.28M BTC ($100B), with consolidation pressuring weaker players. Prediction markets are on track, with $57.5B volume already surpassing half the $100B annual target. AI agent infrastructure is ready, but adoption is early. Ethereum L2 consolidation is underway, with the top 5 capturing nearly 90% of activity. Compliant token launches have a platform but lack mainstream volume. Tokenized RWAs total ~$31B on public chains, but institutional pipeline growth is strong. In summary, fundamentals like stablecoins, tokenization, and prediction markets are advancing, but targets require faster adoption or price appreciation. The market is maturing, yet cyclical patterns persist.

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21Shares Mid-Year Key Report: Bitcoin's Four-Year Cycle Remains Intact, Stablecoins and Tokenization Emerge as New Growth Engines

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