Blur 创始人回应“刷量”:我们为NFT市场引入做市商,将推动整个行业向前发展

FPubblicato 2023-03-01Pubblicato ultima volta 2023-03-01

Introduzione

“Blur的策略为 NFT 市场引入了做市商,从而带来了更高的流动性。”

近期因为 Blur 第二阶段的空投预期,使得 NFT 市场的交易变得史无前例地旺盛。然而这种因「刷空投」而带来的交易量上涨引发了市场对其不可持续性以及市场操控的担忧。对此,Blur 的创始人认为 Blur 的激励机制实际上是为 NFT 领域引入「做市商」概念,并进一步推动 NFT 行业向前发展:

1/5 传统市场和代币市场的绝大部分交易量来自少量做市商(实际上不到 10 家)。做市商的交易活动与收藏家的交易活动是完全不同的。我看到了很多关于该方面的误读,所以在此进行解释。

2/5 在 Blur 之前 NFT 领域鲜有做市商的存在。Franklin 和 Machi Big Brother(黄立成)是最早一批有一定交易规模(相较而言)的「做市商」,他们相当于是 NFT 领域的 Jump Trading 和 Jane Street。而当该领域成熟后你会看到越来越多的做市商。

3/5 大家需要了解的是,做市商不是刷量交易员。它们提供流动性并从围绕资产真实价值波动的价差中获利。他们进行的每笔交易都会向创作者支付版税。

4/5 他们的交易活动与 NFT 爱好者习惯的交易活动不同。但是他们的加入可以让更多的玩家进入这个领域。它们提供的流动性使购买新的收藏品变得更加安全,从而带来更高的交易量和更高的创作者收入。

5/5 随着基础设施和流动性的改进带来的推动力,代币的世界呈现出爆炸式增长。未来 NFT 也将迎来大规模的增长,而做市商的加入仅仅是个开始。

除了上述的推文之外,Pacman 还引用了此前在芝加哥期权交易所的做市商工作的 Sugar Shane 的一些观点。Sugar Shane 认为,传统领域的做市商通过低买高卖还获取利润,并为新建立的交易平台提供流动性,因此对做市商而言需要专业的交易策略来实现。

不过 Sugar Shane 也直言,对于 Blur 来说,在过去几个月时间里该平台上的大量的交易者不能称为真正的交易员,因为他们的出价和卖价并未设置合理的价差,这部分用户只是希望获取更多的代币空投。但是,究竟是保持合理的利差的获利更高,还是唯「刷空投」是图的获利更高,只能等 Blur 下一轮空投发放时才能见分晓了。

总体而言,Pacman 认为其项目运营的策略为 NFT 市场引入了做市商,从而带来了更高的流动性,但这些流动性很有可能随着空投活动的结束而极速萎缩。Blur 能否在如此短暂的时间内建立起稳定的做市商机制以及用户习惯,仍有待继续观察。

Letture associate

ETH Bull and Bear Views Compilation: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?

Titled "ETH Bull and Bear Views: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?", this article synthesizes the current heated debate around Ethereum's native token, ETH, following Bankless co-founder David Hoffman's decision to sell his entire ETH holdings. The **bullish case**, represented by figures like Tom Lee (BitMine CEO) and Raoul Pal, argues that ETH's core thesis remains intact. They contend Ethereum is the essential, secure, and neutral foundational layer for future finance—encompassing stablecoins, RWA, DeFi, L2s, and Agentic AI. Bulls bet on ETH's long-term revaluation as institutional adoption of on-chain finance grows, with significant buying activity from entities like BitMine and Consensys cited as evidence. Conversely, the **bearish perspective**, led by Hoffman and analysts like Markus Thielen, questions ETH's value capture mechanism. They acknowledge Ethereum's network success but argue that the value created by L2s, DeFi, and applications does not sufficiently accrue to the ETH token itself. Bears point to ETH's prolonged underperformance versus the broader crypto market, lack of traditional cash flows, weakening "ultrasound money" narrative, and apparent institutional retreat (e.g., Harvard Management Company exiting its ETH ETF position) as key concerns. The debate highlights a pivotal shift: ETH is no longer just a community belief asset. The central question is whether ETH can transition from being a "**used infrastructure**" to a "**continuously bought and held core asset**" as more value enters the Ethereum ecosystem. The market is now critically examining the direct link between network growth and ETH's value.

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ETH Bull and Bear Views Compilation: Can Ethereum's Value Flow Back to ETH?

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Crypto is dead, Perps are forever

The crypto industry is shifting from a focus on creating native assets (like altcoins and protocol tokens) to becoming a "global asset pipeline." Native cryptocurrencies, except for Bitcoin, are seen as failing in their value storage and utility promises, with demand driven largely by speculation. Attention and liquidity are now moving toward real-world assets (RWAs) like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil traded on-chain via perpetual contracts (Perps). Stablecoins like USDT and USDC set the precedent, proving blockchain's core strength is efficient global settlement and transfer, not inventing new monetary systems. Meanwhile, assets like Ethereum and many DeFi tokens struggle as their narratives weaken against tangible traditional assets and the rapid real-world progress of AI. Perpetual contracts have emerged as a pivotal innovation. They simplify trading by offering pure price exposure to any asset, bypassing complexities of ownership, custody, and traditional market hours. Projects like Hyperliquid gained traction by combining CEX-like efficiency with on-chain transparency, capitalizing on post-FTX distrust, macroeconomic volatility, and the surge in demand for 24/7 stock trading. In conclusion, while the era of speculative native "crypto assets" may be over, perpetual contracts persist as the industry's most potent financial instrument—transforming all assets into globally accessible, constantly tradable instruments centered on price speculation.

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Tencent, Alibaba, ByteDance in a Battle for the Skill Store

Skill is becoming a key concept in the AI field, essentially serving as a structured "instruction manual" for AI Agents that specifies tool calls, decision logic, and output standards. This allows Agents to execute predefined tasks. As the number of Skills grows, distribution platforms have emerged. Major tech companies are swiftly entering this space. In March, Tencent, Alibaba, and ByteDance launched Skill stores within their respective Agent platforms. Subsequently, players like Zhipu AI, Meituan, and Xiaohongshu joined the fray. This competition for the "Skill store" is fundamentally a battle for the AI-era user entry point; whoever controls distribution controls the users. While ByteDance's Coze has experimented with paid Skills, most platforms offer them for free. The real value lies not in the stores themselves but in using them to attract and retain users within an ecosystem, driving revenue from services like cloud computing, model calls, or advertising. The landscape features three main player types: 1) **Internet giants** (e.g., Alibaba, ByteDance, Tencent, Meituan), leveraging Skills to drive traffic and monetize through their broader ecosystems (cloud services, transactions, ads). 2) **Large model companies** (e.g., Zhipu AI, Moonshot AI), using Skill stores to increase user engagement and monetize model API calls. 3) **Content platforms** (e.g., Xiaohongshu), treating Skills as a new content format to generate traffic and ad revenue. However, transforming Skill stores into a sustainable business faces significant hurdles. Key challenges include: the **difficulty in pricing Skills** due to inconsistent outputs across different models and contexts; **lack of cost transparency** (varying token consumption); **security risks** like Skill poisoning; and the **absence of standardized protocols** for development and evaluation. Unlike standardized mobile apps, Skills are often personalized workflows resistant to uniformity, which hinders the establishment of a reliable review and monetization system akin to the App Store. While there is genuine user demand for paid Skills—particularly in enterprise (e.g., contract review) and certain personal productivity scenarios—current platforms offer developers limited and unpredictable distribution. The future of Skill stores depends on overcoming these standardization, evaluation, and safety challenges to make acquiring a Skill as straightforward as downloading an app. For now, the stores function more as display shelves than robust marketplaces.

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Tencent, Alibaba, ByteDance in a Battle for the Skill Store

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The Crypto Scene Is Dead, Perpetual Swaps Are Eternal

The crypto industry is undergoing a fundamental shift. The era defined by minting novel, native digital assets (altcoins) is fading. These assets, lacking real-world cash flows or clear value, are losing relevance as attention and capital flow elsewhere. Two powerful external forces are reshaping the space. First, traditional assets like U.S. stocks, bonds, gold, and oil are being tokenized and traded on-chain. Second, the explosive growth of AI, with its tangible products, has overshadowed crypto's once-dominant "future narrative." This marks a critical pivot: crypto is transitioning from being a "factory for new assets" to becoming a "global conduit for existing assets." Its validated utility is not complex financial reinvention but efficient global settlement, transfer, and trading—the original promise of blockchain. Stablecoins like USDT and USDC exemplify this, offering faster dollar movement rather than replacing it. Consequently, native ecosystems like Ethereum face profound challenges. While still crucial infrastructure, ETH struggles to capture value as users interact with Layer 2s or trade traditional assets without needing to hold it. DeFi's grand narrative of rebuilding finance has narrowed to core needs like cheap transfers and deep liquidity. The true breakout innovation is the perpetual contract (Perp). It brilliantly bypasses the complexities of direct asset ownership (custody, compliance, dividends) by creating pure price exposure. Users can speculate on the price movement of *any* asset—NVIDIA, gold, oil—24/7, globally, and with leverage. This "price casino" model, while risky and ethically fraught, delivers unmatched liquidity and accessibility. Projects like Hyperliquid succeeded not by inventing new mechanics but by perfecting the timing and execution of this model. Key drivers included making on-chain Perps feel like centralized exchanges, post-FTX trust migration towards transparency, and rising demand to trade macro assets and equities round-the-clock. In conclusion, the crypto world's most enduring successes are the dollar (via stablecoins), Bitcoin, and trading. Its new frontier is not creating alternative assets but providing a seamless, perpetual trading layer—a new API—for the world's existing financial system. The age of native altcoins is over; the age of perpetual synthetic exposure has begun.

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