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Shiba Inu Price Forecast: Small Steps to Big Jumps The strengthening medium-term trend suggests that the recent reversal could herald a new uptrend, with a breakout of the 21-month bullish descending 

Shiba Inu Price Forecast: Small Steps to Big Jumps

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!#Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge “我踏马来了”: The Meme Coin from Yi He's 2026 Tweet 比特币和以太坊交易者押注市场趋于平静 比特币 (BTC$91,928.94) 和以太坊 (ETH$3,12

#Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge 

“我踏马来了”: The Meme Coin from Yi He's 2026 Tweet

比特币和以太坊交易者押注市场趋于平静


比特币 (BTC$91,928.94) 和以太坊 (ETH$3,125.01) 的交易者近期忽略了包括地缘政治紧张局势和 ETF 资金流动在内的一系列催化剂，转而押注低波动性和短期风险的降低。


这一点从与比特币和以太坊相关的 30 天隐含波动率 (IV) 指数近期的下滑中可见一斑。这些指数反映了投资者对价格波动的预期。当这些指数下降时，交易者认为未来市场波动较小，较为平静；反之亦然。


根据 Deribit 的 DVOL 指数衡量，比特币的 30 天年化隐含波动率已降至 40%，为 10 月以来的最低水平。据 TradingView 数据显示，该指数在 11 月的抛售潮中曾达到 59% 的高点。Volme 的比特币波动率指数 BVIV 也显示出预期波动率的类似暴跌。


 以太坊隐含波动率指数 ETH DVOL 已跌破 60%，创下 2024 年 9 月以来的最低水平，较 11 月份 80.38% 的高点有所回落。


波动率的下降意味着交易员们不再像 10 月和 11 月那样蜂拥买入期权或对冲合约。换句话说，尽管美国上市现货比特币 ETF 的需求疲软以及美元指数走强暗示着可能存在下行风险，但交易员们仍预期未来市场将更加平静，风险更低。


与此同时，他们驳斥了有关美国袭击委内瑞拉和伊朗局势紧张后避险需求推动市场波动性上升的说法。


10x Research 创始人 Markus Thielen 在一份致客户的报告中表示：“从期权市场的角度来看，这种收窄反映了市场预期短期不确定性降低，盘整的可能性更大，而非出现大幅单边行情。”


 他补充道：“交易员似乎正在解除对冲或通过区间震荡策略来推高波动性，这与近期保护需求下降的情况相符。”


期权是一种衍生品合约，赋予购买者在未来某个日期以预定价格买入或卖出标的资产（在本例中为比特币和以太坊）的权利，但并非义务。看涨期权赋予买入权，代表对市场的看涨押注；而看跌期权则保护买方免受下行风险。


交易员通常在预期波动性趋于平静时卖出看涨期权和看跌期权，而在预期市场将出现大幅波动时买入两者。


上周，交易员在Deribit平台上卖出了这两种期权，以从波动性下降中获利。Thielen表示：“过去一周的期权交易活动主要集中在卖出看涨期权和看跌期权上，这表明很大一部分名义交易量与卖出波动性策略相关，而非直接押注方向性。”


 以太坊相对于比特币的风险感知大幅下降，表明交易员正在更快地平仓以太坊原生代币的对冲头寸。


以太坊和比特币30天隐含波动率指数之间的价差上周降至16，为2025年4月以来的最低水平，去年8月曾超过30。


“以太坊波动率​​的快速下降表明，投机性或事件驱动型仓位正在更积极地平仓，这进一步强化了短期尾部风险正在缓解而非加剧的总体信号，”Thielen表示。


值得注意的是，以太坊与比特币的波动率价差仍为正值，表明交易员预期以太坊的波动幅度将略大于比特币。


总体而言，比特币和以太坊预计都将趋于平稳，但以太坊的预期波动空间略大一些。






比特币和以太坊交易者押注市场趋于平静 比特币 (BTC$91,928.94) 和以太坊 (ETH

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!人生K线: The AI Fortune-Telling Meme CoinClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeXRP Attracts 4-Month Record Dip Buying as Price Falls 15% in a W

人生K线: The AI Fortune-Telling Meme Coin

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

XRP Attracts 4-Month Record Dip Buying as Price Falls 15% in a Week

XRP has been in a sharp freefall since peaking on January 6, dropping nearly 15% in just six days. Multiple support levels have already given way, and momentum remains weak. Yet beneath the sell-off, something unusual is happening. Conviction buyers are stepping in at a pace not seen since September 7.

Key XRP price zones are still holding, and demand is quietly forming under pressure. This sets up a rare divergence between price action and behavior on the blockchain.

XRP’s Freefall Hinges on One Key Trend Line

The sell-off accelerated after XRP failed to reclaim its 200-day EMA at the January 6 peak. An EMA, or exponential moving average, gives more weight to recent prices and is often used to judge short-term and long-term trend strength. When the price stays below key EMAs, sellers usually stay in control.

From the peak, XRP first lost the 100-day EMA, then the 50-day EMA. It is now hovering near the 20-day EMA, which has become the last short-term trend support.

This level matters because it often separates controlled pullbacks from deeper downside moves.

Key XRP Support: TradingView

A similar setup played out in early December. When XRP lost the 20-day EMA on December 4, the price slid roughly 15% in the days that followed. That history explains why the current level is critical.

A hold keeps the structure alive, but a clean loss (daily close) risks extending the freefall.

Dip Buying Is the Strongest Since September — But From Select Holders

Despite the technical damage, dip buying, by long-term investors, or rather the conviction buyers, has intensified.

This appears in HODLer net position change, a metric that tracks whether long-term wallets are increasing or decreasing their coin balances. When the value is positive, holders are accumulati

XRP Attracts 4-Month Record Dip Buying as Price Fa

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!B: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVMDecoding netflows Significance of whale moves Advertisement A "Satoshi-era" miner has just moved 2,000 Bitcoin,

Decoding netflows Significance of whale moves  Advertisement A "Satoshi-era" miner has just moved 2,000 Bitcoin, according to recent data provided by Julio Moreno, head of research at cryptocurrency analytics firm CryptoQuant. As noted by Moreno, this is the first significant activity from this cohort of ancient holders since November 2024."Historically, Satoshi-era miners move their Bitcoin at key inflection points," Moreno said.  HOT Stories Is X Banning Crypto Posts? Elon Musk's Social Media Becomes Hostile to CT Crypto Market Review: Will Bitcoin Hold $90,000 Over the Weekend? Don't Write XRP off Here, Ethereum (ETH) $3,000+ Surge Plausible BNY Taps Ripple Prime to Pioneer Programmable Cash for Big Investors Morning Crypto Report: XRP Risks Becoming $2 Stablecoin, Coinbase Reveals 4 Proofs of Crypto Reset, '$10,000 Zcash' Advocate Ends Speculation on ZEC Developers' Scandal Decoding netflows The term "Satoshi-era" typically refers to those who produced their coins when Satoshi Nakamoto, the elusive creator of the original cryptocurrency, was still active on public forums.  Advertisement A miner from the Satoshi era moved 2K Bitcoin today, the first time this happens since November 2024, when Bitcoin was at ~$91K.Historically, Satoshi-era miners move their Bitcoin at key inflection points. pic.twitter.com/cUKIM5uXL6— Julio Moreno (@jjcmoreno) January 10, 2026 Back then, these were mined on simple CPUs, and BTC was not worth much.  Most coins from this era are considered "lost" or "frozen." Hence, instances when whales make such sudden splashes attract a lot of social media attention.  Advertisement The chart provided by Moreno shows the "netflow" of Satoshi-era coins. It measures the difference between coins entering and leaving miner wallets.  You Might Also Like Fri, 01/09/2026 - 08:05 Hayes: Bitcoin to $1M ByAlex Dovbnya The chart provided by the analyst shows that eve

Decoding netflows Significance of whale moves  Adv

B: Hybrid L2 with Bitcoin Security & EVM

“我踏马来了”: The Meme Coin from Yi He's 2026 TweetBrev: ZK Omnichain Data ProofZkPass: zkTLS Oracle Network Private Credit and Gold Position as Alternative Opportunities Business development companies now

Private Credit and Gold Position as Alternative Opportunities

Business development companies now offer compelling value after a difficult 2025, with yields reaching 9% amid concerns about floating-rate debt exposure and isolated fraud cases in private markets.

Van Eck noted management companies like Ares Capital have seen valuations compress from 50 times forward earnings to approximately 35 times, bringing them back within historical ranges.

“A famous Wall Street CEO said there was a cockroach in the private credit markets. And I think that those fears are overdone but well priced and again an opportunity,” van Eck stated, acknowledging previous caution while now seeing attractive entry points.

Gold continues its structural re-emergence as a global monetary asset, driven by central bank demand and a declining dollar-centricity worldwide.

VanEck characterizes recent developments in Venezuela as reinforcing geopolitical uncertainty that supports precious metals demand, as governments worldwide recognize the US’s willingness to seize assets or intervene militarily.

While gold appears technically extended in short-term charts, van Eck frames pullbacks as buying opportunities within a multi-year trend he expects to persist through 2028 and beyond, calling it a “paradigm change” akin to the 1971 transition off the gold standard.



Private Credit and Gold Position as Alternative Op

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Holds $90K as $343M ETF Outflows Raise One Big Question Bitcoin trades near $90,700 as ETF outflows hit $343M and price compresses below $91,520, signaling a potential br

Bitcoin Price Prediction: BTC Holds $90K as $343M

Цена биткоина переживает решающий момент: восстановится ли BTC до 105 000 долларов или опустится ниже 90 000 долларов? Цена биткоина снова находится в критической зоне, колеблясь около 90 000 долларов

Цена биткоина переживает решающий момент: восстановится ли BTC до 105 000 долларов или опустится ниже 90 000 долларов?


Цена биткоина снова находится в критической зоне, колеблясь около 90 000 долларов, уровня, который выступает в качестве психологической и технической поддержки.

После неудачной попытки удержаться выше недавних максимумов, цена BTC вошла в зону консолидации между 85 000 и 95 000 долларов, отражая нерешительность на более широком криптовалютном рынке.

Хотя цена биткоина не демонстрирует сильного направленного импульса, структура рынка предполагает, что под поверхностью назревает нечто большее.

На момент публикации цена биткоина оставалась стабильной выше поддержки 100-дневной EMA на уровне 90 550 долларов. Его рыночная капитализация... Карнавал конца года HTX: 150 000 USDT за 28 дней! Любовь и консенсус: 

Цена биткоина переживает решающий момент: восстано

Brev: Платформа ZK-доказательств

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days! 零售情绪驱动 ETH、XRP 及模因币在短期市场利好下强劲增长 数字资产市场在 2026 年伊始呈现出焕然一新的乐观态势。在经历了 2025 年底的长期调整后，受宏观经济转型、机构里程碑以及特定资产利好因素的共同推动，零售市场情绪正迅速回暖。根据社交分析平台 Santiment 的最新数据，虽然比特


零售情绪驱动 ETH、XRP 及模因币在短期市场利好下强劲增长

数字资产市场在 2026 年伊始呈现出焕然一新的乐观态势。在经历了 2025 年底的长期调整后，受宏观经济转型、机构里程碑以及特定资产利好因素的共同推动，零售市场情绪正迅速回暖。根据社交分析平台 Santiment 的最新数据，虽然比特币（BTC）仍是市场走向的核心驱动力，但包括以太坊（ETH）、瑞波币（XRP）及各类模因币（Meme Coins）在内的多元化山寨币正吸引着大量的散户关注。

宏观因素与比特币的影响力

比特币继续表现出强烈的宏观资产属性，其价格波动与传统金融指标紧密挂钩。近期市场的波动主要受到现货 ETF 资金流向的影响，特别是贝莱德（BlackRock）和富达（Fidelity）等主要发行商出现的显著资金流出。这种交易者的“避险”行为发生在关键美国经济数据公布及预期利率调整之前。尽管存在这种谨慎情绪，但在 X 和 Reddit 等平台上，主流社交叙事已从熊市疲劳转变为“错失恐惧症”（FOMO），因为比特币正在挑战关键的心理阻力位。

以太坊与 XRP：不同的催化因素

以太坊（ETH）目前呈现出更为复杂的叙事特征。与其他资产纯粹的价格投机不同，围绕 ETH 的讨论主要集中在其基本面效用上，尤其是质押（Staking）相关的发展。受监管的质押投资产品的兴起为市场兴趣提供了稳固支撑，但分析师指出，在 2026 年初，ETH 仍缺乏一个强有力的单一价格催化剂来推动其实现决定性的突破。

相比之下，瑞波币（XRP）展现了强劲的短期动能，周涨幅达到两位数。这一涨势受到 1 月份 10 亿枚代币托管解锁的推动。尽管此类供应事件通常会引发波动，但其中大部分代币被主动重新锁定，极大地增强了零售投资者的信心。虽然交易员在回调期间积极买入，但该资产对短期获利了结仍保持高度敏感。

投机热潮的复苏

模因币再次成为高收益资产的焦点。狗狗币（DOGE）凭借两位数的涨幅领跑该板块，这主要得益于 21Shares 2x Long Dogecoin ETF 等专业金融产品的强劲表现。这类机构化工具在今年开年几天内涨幅接近 40%，为投机热潮增添了一份市场认可度。此外，索拉纳（Solana, SOL）也受益于摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）等大型金融机构探索 ETF 申请的报道，进一步缩小了零售炒作与机构采用之间的差距。




零售情绪驱动 ETH、XRP 及模因币在短期市场利好下强劲增长 数字资产市场在 2026 年伊始

B：比特币安全 + EVM兼容的混合L2

HTX Year-End Carnival: 150,000 USDT Over 28 Days!Love & Consensus: The Heart of $Broccoli Аналитик блокчейна Вилли Ву защищает четырехлетний цикл биткоина, опровергая утверждения о «смерти паттерна» В

Аналитик блокчейна Вилли Ву защищает четырехлетний цикл биткоина, опровергая утверждения о «смерти паттерна»

Вилли Ву отвергает заявления о завершении четырехлетнего цикла биткоина, утверждая, что данные о ценах по-прежнему подтверждают традиционный ритм как минимум до 2026 года. Он сравнивает неверные интерпретации в социальных сетях с предположением, что сердцебиение больше не существует, когда его частота меняется.

Аналогия с «сердцебиением»

Аналитик блокчейна Вилли Ву противостоит растущей волне скептицизма в отношении четырехлетнего цикла биткоина, отвергая утверждение о том, что паттерн подошел к концу. По словам Ву, данные не подтверждают теорию «смерти цикла» — по крайней мере, пока. Он утверждает, что до тех пор, пока цена биткоина не продолжит расти в 2026 году и не начнет демонстрировать действительно нециклическое поведение, традиционный ритм остается наиболее точной моделью для рынка.

Аналитик блокчейна Вилли Ву защищает четырехлетний

ZkPass: Oracle на zkTLS

Ripple President Monica Long Clarifies Company Strategy, Growth Plans, and IPO Prospects Ripple President Monica Long appeared on Bloomberg Crypto to provide an update on the company’s strategic prior

Ripple President Monica Long Clarifies Company Str

#Bitcoin Fake atarken artık Ulus devletlerde eldeki BTC ve ETH satma haberleri piyasaya servis ediliyor. Çok şirinsiniz 👿

<p>#Bitcoin Fake atarken artık Ulus devletlerde eldeki BTC ve ETH satma haberleri piyasaya servis ediliyor.

Çok şirinsiniz 👿</p>

Lazy Man's Financial Management Restart｜Ethereal Earns 27% APR While Farming Points; Huma Opens New 28% APY God Pool (January 6th)

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When Altcoins Lose Consensus, Excess Returns May Lie in the Neglected 'Ruins of Innovation'

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