king0000
2 giorni fa 09:16

$BTC Interesting way of viewing traders' outlook of the market, according to prediction markets like Kalshi.
Just to be clear: This market will resolve as yes when price hits that specific level somewhere in 2025. So this doesn't mean these traders think it will be at those prices by the end of 2025. Which obviously makes it easier for the market to hit that point.
So what we're seeing here is the current price calculated with the average volatility you'd see in a month. Then it can either skew higher or lower based onn sentiment, trend or potential upcoming catalysts.
Going to watch these markets more in 2026 to see if there's any alpha to be taken from it. These are kind of like options, but made very straight forward.
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