The Post-Plunge Panorama: Institutions Cry 'Buy the Dip' as Traders Turn to U.S. Stocks

Foresight NewsPublicado a 2026-06-08Actualizado a 2026-06-08

Resumen

Amidst a significant market correction, Bitcoin (BTC) briefly fell below the $60,000 mark to around $59,130 on June 6th. While it later rebounded to near $63,000, breaking the key psychological level severely impacted market confidence, with the current sentiment index indicating "extreme fear." Altcoins followed the broader downturn. Market participants offer mixed views on whether this is a buying opportunity. On the bullish side, analysts from Glassnode and Strive Asset Management point to Bitcoin touching its 200-week moving average—a historically reliable buy signal—and suggest a higher-probability bottom zone between $46k and $54k. Standard Chartered's digital assets head believes the bottom is "almost in," anticipating large-scale buybacks. Analysts Darkfost and trader Killa also see current levels as a generational or long-term accumulation opportunity, citing deeply oversold technical models. Conversely, NYDIG's research highlights capital rotation from crypto into outperforming AI stocks as a headwind, noting the current ~53% drawdown is milder than historical cycles. Polymarket prediction data shows a 72% probability of BTC falling below $55k, though odds for a drop below $35k-$40k are seen as lower. Notably, some traders, like Eugene Ng, have pivoted away, citing more attractive opportunities in equities and unresolved systemic risks (referencing a major entity's BTC sales), and are avoiding attempts to "catch a falling knife." In summary, while several institu...

Written by: Ma He, Foresight News

On June 6, BTC briefly lost the $60,000 level, dropping as low as $59,130. By June 8, the price of Bitcoin had recovered to around $63,000. Although the price had rebounded several thousand dollars, the earlier breach of the critical integer support level continued to weigh heavily on market confidence and sentiment in the cryptocurrency space. Its Fear & Greed Index currently sits at 15, indicating the market mood remains 'Extreme Fear.' Most altcoins have moved in lockstep with the broader market, also experiencing deep pullbacks.

Is this the buying zone? Institutions, traders, and others have shared their views.

Glassnode Co-founder: $46k to $54k as Key Bottom Range

Rafael, co-founder of Glassnode, stated that Bitcoin has retraced roughly 50% from its all-time high. On-chain data shows BTC is currently trading near a significant support zone formed by the Realized Price Median ($64.1k) and the 200-week moving average ($61.7k). Historically, Bitcoin has traded below this level for only about 7% of the time.

Looking at long-term valuation models, below the 200-week moving average lie the Realized Price (~$54k), CVDD (~$46.2k), Balanced Price (~$40k), and Delta Price (~$35k) in descending order. Previous bear market bottoms have all touched this cost range before reversing, with CVDD considered the historically most accurate bottom anchor point. Based on current model projections, the $46k to $54k range constitutes a higher-probability bottom area, while the $35k to $40k range belongs to a deep capitulation zone under extreme panic scenarios, historically representing less than 3% of trading days.

However, as the Bitcoin market matures, the magnitude of cyclical drawdowns shows a narrowing trend. Previous bear market maximum drawdowns were 85%, 84%, and 77%, respectively, while this cycle has only seen a decline of about 50% from the all-time high so far. This suggests the potential for further downside exists, but a more probable bottom may lie in the $46k to $54k range. In the event of a subsequent rebound, the $75k to $79k zone will become the first significant recovery region, with greater resistance near the 50-week moving average at approximately $93k and the previous all-time high.

NYDIG Global Head of Research: AI Siphoning Significant Crypto Capital

Greg Cipolaro, Global Head of Research at NYDIG, stated in a research report that he believes the overlap between AI and crypto investors is far greater than many realize. Both attract investors seeking exposure to emerging technologies and excess returns. As AI-related stocks continue to outperform the broader market, capital flows follow, rotating out of the crypto market. Investors are also preparing for what could be the largest tech IPO cycle in years. Quantum computing, Strategy selling BTC have also intensified market concerns.

Greg Cipolaro noted in his report that several metrics are approaching levels historically coincident with major bottoms. Bitcoin's MVRV ratio has dropped to 1.2, and the percentage of supply in profit recently fell below 50%, another metric often associated with capitulation. However, the magnitude of this retracement remains relatively mild by historical standards. He pointed out that Bitcoin is down about 53% from its peak ($126k in October), significantly shallower than the 75%-90% drawdowns of past cycles. Whether the low is already in likely depends on whether institutional demand has structurally altered the cycle or merely delayed a deeper realignment.

Standard Chartered Bank's Head of Digital Assets Research: Bitcoin Bottom Is Almost Formed

Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Assets Research at Standard Chartered Bank, stated that the Bitcoin bottom is "almost certainly in," and the current price range could be the long-awaited buying opportunity for investors. An important catalyst for this decline was Strategy's sale of 32 BTC, but referencing historical experience from late 2022, Strategy is likely to soon engage in much larger-scale repurchases, potentially 10 or even 100 times the amount previously sold. If such buy-side pressure is confirmed, it could be a significant signal of a market bottom.

Strive CEO: Bitcoin Touches 200-week Moving Average (Fifth Time in History), Previous Four Times Were Perfect Buying Opportunities

Matt Cole, CEO of asset management firm Strive, told CNBC's Squawk Box Europe that Bitcoin has touched the 200-week moving average (the fifth time in history), with the previous four times being "perfect buying opportunities." He also emphasized that Bitcoin fundamentals have "never been better" and views this touch of the 200-week MA as a historic buying opportunity.

Trader Eugene: Temporarily Left Crypto for U.S. Stocks, Won't Attempt to Catch Bitcoin's Falling Knife

Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio posted on his personal channel that he has largely exited the cryptocurrency market since May 13 this year, shifting his main focus to stock market research. He believes that compared to the current crypto market, the stock market offers greater depth of research, cognitive challenge, and trading and investment opportunities. Based on his assessment of the industry's current state, he expects to maintain this strategy for the foreseeable future, only continuing to monitor crypto industry developments without active trading participation.

Eugene further stated that unless the market presents a highly attractive risk-reward opportunity, he has no plans to return to the crypto market for now, and such conditions have not yet emerged. He believes the trajectory of the crypto market is diminishing its appeal as a trading and investment arena, thus he will continue to focus on traditional stock markets in the near term. Discussing Strategy, Eugene believes the associated risks are just beginning to surface. He noted that even if Strategy sold more Bitcoin recently, it merely postpones the problem rather than solving it. Until the high correlation between Strategy and Bitcoin is broken, he is not bullish on long opportunities for Bitcoin. Regarding the market bottom, he admitted he cannot predict it but stated he has stopped attempting "catching a falling knife" trades.

Trader Killa: This Is a Generational Buying Opportunity

Trader Killa tweeted during Bitcoin's decline on June 6 that this is a generational buying opportunity. On June 8, he stated that BTC has entered the "final phase" and "final extension," and he has deployed 90% of his capital. Additionally, Killa mentioned that the "protective buy walls" that appeared during last weekend's crash have not been withdrawn, and he believes the likelihood of quickly hitting those support levels in the short term is low. Killa is a quantitative trader focused on BTC, having previously predicted the peak of this bull cycle in May 2025.

Analyst Darkfost: Bitcoin Has Entered Extremely Undervalued Territory

According to analyst Darkfost's data, Bitcoin has retested and broken below the 4th percentile line of the Power Law model, entering an extreme undervaluation zone. Historically, it has spent only 4% of the time at such valuation levels. Darkfost emphasized that this is a suitable period for long-term accumulation, not a short-term price prediction.

Polymarket Data: 72% Chance BTC Falls Below $55k

Latest data on Polymarket shows the probability of BTC falling below $45k is 41%, below $50k is 56%, and below $55k is 72%. The probability of falling below $40k is 31%, and below $35k is only 21%.

Most market participants currently believe the probability of BTC falling to the $35k – $40k range is not high.

Preguntas relacionadas

QAccording to the article, what is Rafael from Glassnode's forecast for the potential bottom range of Bitcoin, and why?

ARafael forecasts a higher probability bottom range of $46,000 to $54,000 for Bitcoin. He bases this on long-term valuation models like the Realized Price (around $54,000) and the CVDD (around $46,200), which have historically been accurate bottom anchors. An extreme panic scenario could see a deeper correction to the $35,000-$40,000 range.

QWhat key factor does NYDIG's Greg Cipolaro identify as drawing capital away from the crypto market and contributing to the downturn?

AGreg Cipolaro identifies the outperformance of AI-related stocks as a key factor. He states that both AI and crypto attract investors seeking exposure to emerging tech and alpha. As AI stocks continue to outperform, capital is rotating out of the crypto market into this sector.

QWhat event does Geoffrey Kendrick from Standard Chartered cite as a major trigger for the recent Bitcoin sell-off, and what potential positive signal does he see?

AGeoffrey Kendrick cites the sale of 32,000 BTC by Mt. Gox (referred to as 'Strategy' in the article) as a major trigger for the sell-off. He sees a potential positive signal if Mt. Gox trustees initiate large-scale buybacks, which could indicate the market bottom is forming.

QHow does the trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio's current view and strategy regarding the crypto market differ from the 'buy the dip' sentiment?

ATrader Eugene Ng Ah Sio has largely exited the crypto market since mid-May, shifting his focus to the stock market. He finds more research depth and opportunity there. He does not plan to re-enter crypto unless a highly attractive risk-reward opportunity appears, which he hasn't seen, and is no longer attempting to catch a falling knife (buy the dip).

QWhat does the Polymarket prediction data, as mentioned in the article, suggest about market expectations for Bitcoin's price floor?

APolymarket data suggests most market participants do not expect a catastrophic crash to the lowest historical levels. It shows a 72% probability of BTC falling below $55,000, but only a 21% probability of it falling below $35,000. This indicates the market consensus sees a higher probability floor above the $35,000-$40,000 extreme panic zone.

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En la actualidad, la identidad de los creadores y el equipo de desarrollo detrás de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) sigue siendo desconocida. Esta situación es típica entre muchos proyectos innovadores dentro del espacio blockchain, particularmente aquellos alineados con las finanzas descentralizadas y fenómenos de monedas meme. Si bien tal anonimato puede fomentar una cultura impulsada por la comunidad, intensifica las preocupaciones sobre la gobernanza y la responsabilidad. ¿Quiénes son los Inversores de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? La información disponible indica que ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) no tiene patrocinadores institucionales conocidos ni inversiones destacadas de capital de riesgo. El proyecto parece operar en un modelo de peer-to-peer centrado en el apoyo y la adopción de la comunidad en lugar de rutas de financiamiento tradicionales. Su actividad y liquidez se sitúan principalmente en intercambios descentralizados (DEX), como PumpSwap, en lugar de plataformas de trading centralizadas establecidas, lo que resalta aún más su enfoque de base. Cómo Funciona ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) Los mecanismos operativos de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) pueden elaborarse en función de su diseño blockchain y atributos de red: Mecanismo de Consenso: Al aprovechar el único proof-of-history (PoH) de Solana combinado con un modelo de proof-of-stake (PoS), el proyecto asegura una validación de transacciones eficiente que contribuye al alto rendimiento de la red. Tokenómica: Si bien los mecanismos deflacionarios específicos no se han detallado extensamente, el vasto suministro máximo de tokens implica que podría atender microtransacciones o casos de uso nicho que aún están por definirse. Interoperabilidad: Existe el potencial de integración con el ecosistema más amplio de Solana, incluyendo varias plataformas de finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi). Sin embargo, los detalles sobre integraciones específicas permanecen no especificados. Cronología de Eventos Clave Aquí hay una cronología que destaca hitos significativos relacionados con ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN): 2023: El despliegue inicial del token ocurre en la blockchain de Solana, marcado por su dirección de contrato. 2024: ORO DIGITAL gana visibilidad al estar disponible para trading en intercambios descentralizados como PumpSwap, permitiendo a los usuarios comerciar contra SOL. 2025: El proyecto presencia actividad de trading esporádica y potencial interés en compromisos liderados por la comunidad, aunque no se han documentado asociaciones notables o avances técnicos hasta el momento. Análisis Crítico Fortalezas Escalabilidad: La infraestructura subyacente de Solana soporta altos volúmenes de transacciones, lo que podría mejorar la utilidad de $BITCOIN en varios escenarios de transacción. Accesibilidad: El potencial bajo precio de trading por token podría atraer a inversores minoristas, facilitando una participación más amplia debido a oportunidades de propiedad fraccionada. Riesgos Falta de Transparencia: La ausencia de patrocinadores, desarrolladores o un proceso de auditoría conocidos públicamente puede generar escepticismo sobre la sostenibilidad y confiabilidad del proyecto. Volatilidad del Mercado: La actividad de trading depende en gran medida del comportamiento especulativo, lo que puede resultar en una volatilidad de precios significativa y en incertidumbre para los inversores. Conclusión ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) surge como un proyecto intrigante pero ambiguo dentro del ecosistema de Solana en rápida evolución. Si bien intenta aprovechar la narrativa del “oro digital”, su alejamiento del papel establecido de Bitcoin como refugio de valor subraya la necesidad de una diferenciación más clara de su utilidad y estructura de gobernanza previstas. La aceptación y adopción futura dependerán probablemente de abordar la actual opacidad y de definir sus estrategias operativas y económicas de manera más explícita. Nota: Este informe abarca información sintetizada disponible hasta octubre de 2023, y pueden haber ocurrido desarrollos más allá del período de investigación.

83 Vistas totalesPublicado en 2025.05.13Actualizado en 2025.05.13

Discusiones

Bienvenido a la comunidad de HTX. Aquí puedes mantenerte informado sobre los últimos desarrollos de la plataforma y acceder a análisis profesionales del mercado. A continuación se presentan las opiniones de los usuarios sobre el precio de BTC (BTC).