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Here’s why Ethena [ENA] faces selling risk despite undervalued signals

Ethena (ENA) faces significant selling pressure despite showing signs of being undervalued. The token experienced a 12.82% drop on April 2, falling to $0.0789, though it later recovered slightly above $0.08. Long-term trends remain bearish. Key on-chain metrics, such as MVRV pricing bands, indicate ENA has been below lower extremes since October 2025, with a current market price of $0.08 compared to a realized price of $0.373. Only 0.018% of the supply is in profit, meaning most holders are at a loss. While accumulation behavior has been observed—with the holder accumulation ratio at 74% and an increasing 365-day mean coin age—network activity remains weak. Daily active addresses and network growth are near six-month lows. Despite undervaluation, any price recovery may be aggressively sold off as holders seek to exit or break even. The ongoing market downturn, including Bitcoin’s decline, adds further risk. Value investors should proceed with caution.

ambcrypto04/03 08:05

Here’s why Ethena [ENA] faces selling risk despite undervalued signals

ambcrypto04/03 08:05

Bitcoin Deeply Undervalued? ‘Yardstick’ Metric Hits Off-The-Chart Lows

Charles Edwards of Capriole Investments reports that the Bitcoin Yardstick, a valuation metric comparing market cap to network hashrate, is at "off-the-chart" lows, signaling the cryptocurrency is deeply undervalued. The indicator has fallen below -1 standard deviation, reaching levels even lower than during the 2022 bear market. While this suggests Bitcoin is in a "cheap value" zone, it does not necessarily indicate an immediate price bottom, as the metric can remain undervalued for extended periods. A temporary spike in the Yardstick occurred in late January due to a U.S. snowstorm that forced miners offline, reducing hashrate, but the metric quickly fell again following a sharp price drop in February. Bitcoin has since rebounded, trading near $71,000.

bitcoinist03/25 09:01

Bitcoin Deeply Undervalued? ‘Yardstick’ Metric Hits Off-The-Chart Lows

bitcoinist03/25 09:01

Analysis: HYPE at $37 Current Price, Still Undervalued in a Bear Market

Analysis: HYPE at $37 is undervalued even in a bear market. Hyperliquid's 2025 revenue is 15% of CME's, yet its market cap is only 10% of CME's. The market is not pricing in the trillion-dollar TAM potential from HIP-3, which enables permissionless perpetual contracts for any asset. The Iran war weekend served as a stress test, with Hyperliquid's oil futures providing real-time global pricing while CME was closed. A four-scenario DCF model shows that even in a bear case (0.01% capture of the $1.74T daily TAM), HYPE's implied price is $60—well above the current $37. This suggests the base exchange business alone is undervalued. The base case (0.10% capture) implies $72, and the bull case (0.50% capture) implies $124. HIP-3 already contributes ~10% of fees just five months after launch. Hyperliquid's liquidity depth, execution quality, and lack of US-centric regulatory dependency strengthen its position. With a P/S ratio of 10-13x vs. traditional exchanges at 20-25x, HYPE is poised for re-rating as it captures migrating traditional finance volume.

marsbit03/14 06:27

Analysis: HYPE at $37 Current Price, Still Undervalued in a Bear Market

marsbit03/14 06:27

Is Bitcoin Undervalued? MVRV Ratio Mirrors Post-FTX Stress Levels

Bitcoin is struggling to break above the $72,000 resistance level amid ongoing market uncertainty. Analysis by CryptoQuant highlights a significant drop in Bitcoin’s 365-day MVRV ratio—a key on-chain metric comparing market cap to realized value—to levels last seen after the FTX collapse in late 2022. Historically, such depressed MVRV readings have often preceded strong price recoveries, as was the case when Bitcoin rallied 67% in the three months following the FTX crash. While current conditions differ due to macroeconomic factors like high interest rates and increased institutional participation via ETFs, the compressed MVRV suggests Bitcoin may be undervalued and could signal a potential accumulation phase for long-term investors.

bitcoinist03/14 05:05

Is Bitcoin Undervalued? MVRV Ratio Mirrors Post-FTX Stress Levels

bitcoinist03/14 05:05

Aave: 31% revenue growth yet price slides toward $100 – Explained!

Aave generated $1.62 million in daily fees and $82.14 million over the past 30 days, demonstrating strong revenue growth in the DeFi credit sector. The protocol saw a 31% month-over-month revenue increase in February and 38% year-over-year growth. Despite this, the AAVE token price remained in a severe downtrend, sliding toward the $100 support level. Analysis using MVRV Pricing Bands indicated that the token was severely undervalued, with its price well below the realized value of $191.59. The lack of large whale orders and a low percentage of addresses in profit (30%) suggested continued bearish pressure and potential further price declines. A break below $100 could signal more downside, while a move above $132 is needed for a bullish shift.

ambcrypto03/09 08:02

Aave: 31% revenue growth yet price slides toward $100 – Explained!

ambcrypto03/09 08:02

Undervalued but structurally weak: Bitcoin’s current cycle paradox

Bitcoin has experienced significant volatility, recently falling to $66k after briefly touching $70k. Analysts attribute the ongoing pressure not to recent events but to a cyclical reset beginning in October. Key on-chain metrics present a paradox: the MVRV Z-score indicates Bitcoin is deeply undervalued, reaching historic lows, while the NUPL metric remains in the "hope" zone, suggesting a true market bottom, marked by a drop below zero, has not yet occurred. Furthermore, long-term holders, though still in profit on average, face pressure. This combination of statistical undervaluation and weak market structure suggests a risk of further decline toward $60k, with the potential for a full capitulation event still months away.

ambcrypto02/28 01:01

Undervalued but structurally weak: Bitcoin’s current cycle paradox

ambcrypto02/28 01:01

Bitcoin Approaches Its 4-Year SMA On This Key Market Metric – Here’s What To Know

Bitcoin's price remains below $70,000, with analysts warning of a potential bear market as key metrics signal a continued correction. A critical indicator, the Bitcoin Daily Price Analysis with SMA Multiplier, shows BTC approaching its 4-year Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $57,500. Historically, this level has marked the final stage of bear markets, where Bitcoin becomes undervalued. Analysts note that the closer the price gets to this SMA, the more likely a structural bottom may form. However, current market behavior shows persistent selling pressure, keeping the cryptocurrency at a decisive point between long-term support and further downside.

bitcoinist02/17 02:02

Bitcoin Approaches Its 4-Year SMA On This Key Market Metric – Here’s What To Know

bitcoinist02/17 02:02

Solana’s divergence explained – Is SOL undervalued or not?

Solana's recent price decline of 31% in 2026 contrasts with its strong on-chain fundamentals, suggesting a potential bullish divergence. Key metrics like a record DeFi TVL of $80 million and robust capital inflows into areas like RWAs indicate solid long-term investor conviction. However, this view is challenged by a surge in speculative memecoin trading, which saw $100 million in daily launchpad volume and 30,000 new tokens daily. While memecoins like PIPPIN surged over 100%, SOL dropped 8.5%, indicating that short-term speculation may be masking the network's strength and weakening the argument that SOL is undervalued. A rebound to previous highs appears challenging under these conditions.

ambcrypto02/15 05:02

Solana’s divergence explained – Is SOL undervalued or not?

ambcrypto02/15 05:02

How ‘undervalued’ Bitcoin’s sell-offs could help set up a long-term rally

Bitcoin's recent sell-off has pushed its price down significantly, but on-chain data suggests this could be a pivotal moment for a long-term rally. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio is nearing 1.1, approaching undervalued territory—a level that has historically preceded rebounds. While entering this zone doesn’t guarantee an immediate recovery, it often marks a period of accumulation before sustained upward moves. Sustained selling pressure, led by institutional investors and reflected in consistent outflows from U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs, is driving Bitcoin toward deeper undervaluation. However, long-term holders show relative calm, with limited large-scale distribution. If long-term holders continue to hold or accumulate while short-term selling exhausts itself, this undervaluation phase may set the stage for a broader market rebound and potential new highs.

ambcrypto02/14 06:01

How ‘undervalued’ Bitcoin’s sell-offs could help set up a long-term rally

ambcrypto02/14 06:01

Ethereum Sell Pressure Expands As Short-Term Holder Supply Flow Turns Negative

Ethereum is experiencing increased sell pressure as short-term holders shift into a distribution mode, contributing to the ongoing bearish price trend. On-chain data indicates that the short-term holder supply flow has turned negative, suggesting recent buyers are offloading their ETH holdings amid market volatility, reflecting declining confidence. However, while short-term investors are selling, large holders (whales) continue to accumulate ETH aggressively, even as the price drops below their initial accumulation price points. Analyst Michael Van De Poppe highlights that Ethereum's current Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio indicates significant undervaluation, presenting a major buying opportunity similar to past market bottoms.

bitcoinist02/11 23:02

Ethereum Sell Pressure Expands As Short-Term Holder Supply Flow Turns Negative

bitcoinist02/11 23:02

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