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Expert Outlines Possible Scenarios for Bitcoin Movement by End of Month

Bitcoin has been trading in the range of $61,220–$66,978 since July 6, indicating a consolidation phase following the high volatility of early summer. Financial analyst Andrey Poroshin from Bitbanker notes this sideways movement is influenced by seasonal market inactivity and geopolitical uncertainty, to which the crypto market is now less reactive. He points to two key fundamental factors shaping the long-term trend. First, Bitcoin's price remains below the estimated $73k–$75k production cost for major US mining companies, a condition historically associated with the late stages of a prolonged downturn. Second, the bankruptcy of the major retail exchange BitMEX mirrors past cycles where such events, combined with prices below US production costs, often preceded market recovery. Technically, a close above $66,200 could target $67.5k–$68k, with a firm break above $68k increasing the likelihood of a move toward $72k. Conversely, a loss of $64,500 could trigger a retest of the $61k–$62.5k range. The most likely scenario while Bitcoin stays within its current range is accumulation before the next medium-term impulse. Separately, a Russian deputy finance minister announced that unqualified investors in Russia will soon be allowed to legally purchase Bitcoin, Ethereum, and popular stablecoins, with an annual limit of 300,000 rubles per intermediary.

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 11:07

Expert Outlines Possible Scenarios for Bitcoin Movement by End of Month

cryptonews.ruHace 2 días 11:07

Hyperliquid loses mid-range support as short-term selling pressure builds

Hyperliquid recently hit a record $11.07 billion in total Open Interest on its chain, with HIP-3 markets contributing another high of $3.69 billion. This occurred despite a new Ethereum Layer-2, Robinhood Chain, briefly surpassing it in daily speculative interest, fueled by viral memecoin launches. A higher timeframe analysis shows HYPE maintains a bullish swing structure, having broken past a previous high to reach $76.955. Key Fibonacci levels suggest a long-term "golden pocket" support zone lies between $32.56 and $42.05. However, in the short term, the token is trading within a range of $53.3 to $74.6 and has recently fallen below its mid-range support at $64. Technical indicators like the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) and MACD signal increasing selling pressure and weakening bullish momentum, suggesting a potential drop toward the range's lower end near $53-$54. While the long-term uptrend appears intact, swing traders are advised to watch for a breakdown of the current range, which could lead to a deeper correction toward $32.

ambcrypto07/14 03:32

Hyperliquid loses mid-range support as short-term selling pressure builds

ambcrypto07/14 03:32

Is LIT’s burn worth $42 million enough to spur the altcoin’s next big rally?

Lighter (LIT) has experienced significant volatility, rallying 18% over the past week but facing potential overbought conditions. After a warning of a correction toward $2, the price dipped to $2.3 before recovering to $2.60. A major catalyst was the recent burn of over 15.6 million LIT tokens (worth ~$42 million), representing 6.3% of the circulating supply, which may have spurred short-term bullish momentum toward $3. Technical analysis on the 1-day chart shows a bearish divergence with the RSI, signaling a potential pullback despite strong demand. The key Fibonacci retracement level to watch is $2.30. On the 4-hour chart, LIT is forming a range between $2.31 and $2.68. The suggested strategy is to wait for a breakout above $2.70 to target $3.06-$3.21, or a breakdown below $2.31 for a likely deeper retracement below $2. In summary, while bullish momentum persists, traders should monitor the range boundaries for the next directional move.

ambcrypto07/12 03:02

Is LIT’s burn worth $42 million enough to spur the altcoin’s next big rally?

ambcrypto07/12 03:02

Will ONDO’s mid-range retest give bulls a chance to target $0.295?

ONDO has recently seen bullish developments, including a partnership with Franklin Templeton, though this news did not immediately impact its price. The token's long-term trend remains bearish, but it has been consolidating within a tight range ($0.237-$0.295) over the past six weeks—a potential preparation for a future bull run. Current data from Coinalyze shows rising Open Interest and spot demand, alongside a positive funding rate, suggesting speculative interest. However, the CMF indicates that buying pressure is inconsistent, and rallies toward $0.295 have been met with profit-taking. Traders are advised to consider selling near range highs and buying on a retest of the $0.23-$0.24 support zone.

ambcrypto03/29 02:03

Will ONDO’s mid-range retest give bulls a chance to target $0.295?

ambcrypto03/29 02:03

Bitcoin Is Trapped In A Range, But Here’s What The Fundamental Index Is Saying

Bitcoin has reclaimed the $70,000 level but remains trapped in a narrow trading range. Despite the seemingly stable price action, underlying on-chain data suggests a lack of organic strength. The Bitcoin Fundamental Index continues to trend lower and remains below the strengthening zone, indicating that the current consolidation may not be healthy. A sustained medium-term recovery appears increasingly dependent on external catalysts like flow, short covering, or a reversal in the index, rather than genuine momentum. Additionally, large Bitcoin investors have become notably quiet. Whale activity has dropped to multi-month lows, with both $100,000+ and $1 million+ daily transfers hitting their lowest levels since late 2023 and 2024, respectively. This suggests that major stakeholders are adopting a cautious, wait-and-see approach amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty, placing them in a similar position to retail investors.

bitcoinist03/26 05:02

Bitcoin Is Trapped In A Range, But Here’s What The Fundamental Index Is Saying

bitcoinist03/26 05:02

Structural Weakness

Since recording an all-time high in early October, Bitcoin has entered a structurally weak phase, trading within a range bounded by the Realized Price near $55k and the True Market Mean around $79.2k. The market is currently testing the $60k–$72k accumulation range from H1 2024, where buyer support has emerged, but overhead supply and negative institutional flows pose significant resistance. Off-chain data shows broad de-risking, with Digital Asset Treasury flows turning negative and spot volume lacking sustained demand. Derivatives markets indicate reduced speculative activity, elevated implied volatility, and persistent demand for downside protection, reflecting a cautious and fragile sentiment. Without a strong catalyst or renewed institutional demand, Bitcoin is likely to remain range-bound with elevated volatility, as the market struggles to establish a durable foundation for upward momentum.

insights.glassnode02/11 18:28

Structural Weakness

insights.glassnode02/11 18:28

MYX Finance’s liquidity sweep holds, yet $6.40 caps price: How?

MYX Finance (MYX) has been trading in a consolidated range after a liquidity sweep between $4.58–$4.63 triggered a rebound. Despite this recovery, the price has faced strong rejection near the $6.20–$6.40 resistance zone, preventing an upward breakout. Each pullback has held above the $4.63 support level, indicating consistent spot demand. The MACD indicator shows flattening momentum, suggesting a cooling of bullish strength. For a sustained bullish trend, MYX needs a decisive break above $6.40 with high volume. Meanwhile, derivatives activity shows strong adoption with Perpetual Volume stabilizing around $250–$300 million daily, indicating a growing but balanced liquidity environment.

ambcrypto02/06 22:02

MYX Finance’s liquidity sweep holds, yet $6.40 caps price: How?

ambcrypto02/06 22:02

Assessing SUI’s price bounce as a $82.8mln token unlock looms

Sui faces an $82.8 million token unlock on January 1st, which could increase selling pressure and hinder a bullish reversal. Despite trading at $1.50 and showing short-term bullish momentum by flipping a key mid-range level, indicators like the On-Balance Volume (OBV) and low trading volume suggest weak buying interest. While a rally toward $1.68 is possible if support holds, the overall outlook is cautious due to potential sell pressure from the unlock. Traders are advised to remain sidelined or consider short positions if the price drops below $1.43, indicating a bearish shift.

ambcrypto12/29 13:02

Assessing SUI’s price bounce as a $82.8mln token unlock looms

ambcrypto12/29 13:02

Bitcoin sheds $716B since ATH – Here’s what’s weighing on BTC

Bitcoin's market cap has declined by $716 billion from its all-time high of $2.486 trillion, now standing at $1.77 trillion. The 28.8% drawdown is largely attributed to weakening capital inflows, with realized capitalization stalling for the first time in 2.5 years. Despite over $700 billion exiting the market, spot buyer activity has outweighed selling pressure, suggesting continued accumulation by retail investors. Additionally, Bitcoin’s price has been range-bound between $85,000 and $90,000 due to options-driven gamma effects, creating mechanical support and resistance. With $23 billion in options expiring on December 26th, a return to sentiment-driven price discovery may follow, potentially allowing a rebound if bullish trends persist.

ambcrypto12/22 11:02

Bitcoin sheds $716B since ATH – Here’s what’s weighing on BTC

ambcrypto12/22 11:02

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