# Rate Cut Related Articles

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The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?

The Federal Reserve faces its most significant internal division in recent years as Chair Jerome Powell navigates a deeply split FOMC ahead of a key policy meeting. While a 25-basis-point rate cut is widely expected, the challenge lies in post-meeting communication. Powell is likely to adopt a "hawkish cut" strategy—lowering rates while avoiding strong signals about future easing, particularly for January. He will emphasize data dependency and may signal that rates are approaching neutral to reassure hawkish members concerned about persistent inflation. The decision is complicated by a government shutdown delaying key economic data and external political pressure. Regardless of the outcome, high uncertainty and market volatility are expected to persist, with future policy moves contingent on labor market conditions and inflation data.

marsbitHace 2 días 04:38

The Fed Faces Its Biggest Internal Divergence in Recent Years! Has Powell Stopped Being 'Hawkish' This Time?

marsbitHace 2 días 04:38

Former New York Fed Expert: Powell May Announce $45 Billion Bond Purchase Plan

Former New York Fed expert Mark Cabana predicts that, in addition to the widely anticipated 25 basis point rate cut, Fed Chair Powell will announce a $45 billion per month Treasury bill purchase program at the upcoming December FOMC meeting. This plan, set to begin in January 2026, aims to inject liquidity and prevent a further surge in repo market rates. Cabana warns that markets are underestimating the scale of the Fed's balance sheet actions, as money market rates indicate bank reserves are no longer "abundant." The move is seen as necessary to address liquidity shortages caused by previous quantitative tightening. UBS also forecasts a similar $40 billion monthly purchase program. The policy shift comes amid a critical leadership transition at the Fed, with Powell's term ending and expectations rising for Kevin Hassett to potentially succeed him.

深潮Hace 2 días 05:01

Former New York Fed Expert: Powell May Announce $45 Billion Bond Purchase Plan

深潮Hace 2 días 05:01

Macro Outlook This Week: The Decisive Battle Over the Fed's "Hawkish Rate Cut," A Crucial Test for the AI Narrative

This week (Dec 9-15) is dominated by two major themes: the Federal Reserve's final rate decision of the year and key developments in AI. The Fed is widely expected to cut rates by 25 basis points. The real focus, however, is on whether the move is accompanied by a "hawkish" tone. The central bank may signal a more cautious path for future cuts in 2025 to manage internal dissent and inflation concerns. The market's reaction is uncertain: it could either heed this warning (pressuring tech stocks and crypto) or ignore it, choosing instead to focus on anticipated aggressive easing under the incoming Trump administration—a scenario known as the "Hassett Trade." Concurrently, the AI narrative faces critical tests. Rumors suggest OpenAI may surprise-launch its GPT-5.2 model early, which could significantly boost sentiment across tech and crypto AI tokens. Furthermore, earnings reports from key AI infrastructure firms Broadcom and Oracle will serve as a crucial barometer for the strength of AI-related capital expenditure. Investors are warned of extreme volatility, particularly due to reduced liquidity from early market closures on Wednesday and a full U.S. market holiday on Thursday. The core events are the FOMC decision, updated economic projections (dot plot), and Chair Powell's press conference at 03:00 GMT on Thursday, followed by Broadcom's earnings. The advice is to reduce leverage ahead of this high-stakes volatility.

marsbitHace 2 días 06:59

Macro Outlook This Week: The Decisive Battle Over the Fed's "Hawkish Rate Cut," A Crucial Test for the AI Narrative

marsbitHace 2 días 06:59

Crypto Morning Brief: Hassett Hints at Rate Cuts, Stripe to Launch Stablecoin Payment Feature

Crypto Morning Brief: Kevin Hassett, a top contender for the next Fed chair, signaled openness to significant interest rate cuts if economic data permits. In regulatory news, SEC Chair Paul Atkins stated that most ICOs should not be classified as securities, limiting the SEC’s role to tokenized securities. Hong Kong plans to begin automatic tax data exchange for crypto transactions with partner jurisdictions starting in 2028. Stripe will launch stablecoin payments on December 12, supporting USDC on Ethereum, Base, and Polygon, with a 1.5% transaction fee. It also opened public testing for its blockchain project Tempo with new partners Kalshi and UBS. Circle introduced a privacy-focused stablecoin, USDCx, in partnership with Aleo, and received a financial services license in Abu Dhabi. In other developments, Coinbase partnered with PNC Bank to offer Bitcoin trading to private clients. A TRUMP meme token announced an upcoming mobile game. Meta is reportedly developing a new AI model named Avocado, and SpaceX is planning a potential record-breaking IPO in 2026.

深潮Hace 21 hora(s)

Crypto Morning Brief: Hassett Hints at Rate Cuts, Stripe to Launch Stablecoin Payment Feature

深潮Hace 21 hora(s)

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

This week's Federal Reserve policy meeting is set to be one of the most contentious in recent years. With key economic data missing due to a 43-day U.S. government shutdown, the meeting has evolved into a stress test of the Fed’s independence and decision-making process. Market expectations for a rate cut have surged from 30% to 97%, reflecting both data uncertainty and growing political influence. Internally, the Fed is deeply divided, with a 4-4 split among key officials between holding rates and cutting. The dot plot shows a rare "bimodal distribution," with 7 officials favoring no change and 8 supporting a 50-basis-point cut. Doves point to a weakening labor market—unemployment rose to 4.3% in August, a four-year high—while hawks emphasize persistent inflation, with core PCE at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Political pressure has intensified, notably through appointments like Stephen Milan, who voted for a deeper cut just one day into his role, aligning with former President Trump’s public demands. The upcoming Fed leadership transition adds further uncertainty, as officials may be positioning for future roles. Amid data gaps and political interference, the Fed faces a complex risk-management dilemma: balancing concerns over slowing employment against inflation risks and soaring government debt interest costs. Communication challenges are heightened by internal divisions, forcing the Fed to rely more on high-frequency and alternative data. This meeting may mark a shift toward a new monetary policy framework where data scarcity and political pressure become persistent challenges to the Fed’s independence.

marsbitHace 20 hora(s)

Fed Rate Cut Tonight Almost Certain, This Meeting More Like a 'Political Pressure Test'!

marsbitHace 20 hora(s)

Key Bitcoin (BTC) Price Levels to Watch Ahead of the Final FOMC Meeting of 2025

The 2025 final FOMC meeting is approaching, with Bitcoin (BTC) showing continued volatility ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision. Market expectations, as per Polymarket, indicate a 96% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut. However, any potential bullish momentum from the rate cut may already be priced in. Key BTC price levels to monitor include the $94,000 resistance, which has repeatedly capped upward moves. A break above this level could target the psychological $100,000 barrier, though this area may trigger selling pressure similar to February's market behavior. Further resistance is seen at the 200-day simple moving average near $108,000. On the downside, critical support lies at $91,500. A break below this level could lead to a test of the $87,500 area, and potentially the $84,000 low from November 21st, which would erase the gains of the past three weeks. The $93,000 to $96,000 range shows significant liquidity concentration, indicating a potential zone for price volatility. Market participants are closely watching Fed Chair Jerome Powell's post-meeting commentary for any shifts in tone, which could trigger further market movements. The overall market direction will likely be determined by the FOMC meeting outcome and subsequent market reaction.

cointelegraph_中文Hace 11 hora(s)

Key Bitcoin (BTC) Price Levels to Watch Ahead of the Final FOMC Meeting of 2025

cointelegraph_中文Hace 11 hora(s)

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

The Federal Reserve lowered the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%-3.75% on December 10, 2025, marking the third consecutive rate cut. The decision was approved by a 9-3 vote. The policy statement removed the description of unemployment as "low," and the latest dot plot maintained the projection of an additional 25 basis point rate cut in 2026. Additionally, the Fed will purchase $40 billion in Treasury bills over 30 days starting December 12 to maintain ample reserve levels. The policy stance reflects concerns over moderating economic activity, a rise in unemployment, and inflation that remains elevated. The committee emphasized its commitment to achieving maximum employment and a 2% inflation target, noting increased downside risks to employment. Voting against the decision were Stephen Miran, who preferred a 50 basis point cut, and Austan Goolsbee and Jeffrey Schmid, who favored no change. The Board also unanimously approved a reduction in the primary credit rate to 3.75%.

比推Hace 3 hora(s)

Full Text of the Fed Decision: 25 Basis Point Rate Cut, $40 Billion Treasury Bill Purchases Within 30 Days

比推Hace 3 hora(s)

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on 10 December, shifting its policy stance toward easing amid rising employment risks and moderating inflation. The FOMC lowered the federal funds target range to 3.50–3.75%, emphasizing growing uncertainty and increased downside risks to the labor market. While inflation remains elevated, the Fed signaled that recession concerns now outweigh price pressures. The rate cut is expected to lower funding costs, weaken the dollar, and boost risk assets like Bitcoin. Crypto markets may benefit from improved liquidity if this marks the start of a sustained easing cycle. Further guidance from Chair Powell and upcoming economic data will determine the policy trajectory.

ambcryptoHace 3 hora(s)

Federal Reserve cuts rates by 25bps in first decisive pivot—what it means for crypto markets

ambcryptoHace 3 hora(s)

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

The Federal Reserve approved a 25-basis-point rate cut amid internal divisions, but Bitcoin remains stuck below $100,000 due to structural weaknesses and persistent selling pressure. Despite a pre-FOMC rally to $94,000, the "hawkish" tone of the rate cut and concerns over inflation and economic slowdown limited upward momentum. According to Glassnode, BTC is trapped in a fragile range between $81,300 and $102,700, with unrealized losses rising and realized losses hitting $555 million daily—levels last seen during the FTX collapse. Long-term holders are realizing over $1 billion in profits daily, while new buyers face capitulation. The rally has been driven by spot demand rather than leveraged speculation, but sustained growth may require renewed derivatives activity. The Fed's rate cut is unlikely to provide significant short-term bullish momentum for Bitcoin.

marsbitHace 3 hora(s)

Fed Cuts Rates Amid Divisions, but Bitcoin's 'Fanger Zone' Keeps BTC Below $100K

marsbitHace 3 hora(s)

Fed Cuts Rates and Buys Short-Term Bonds: US Stocks, Short-Term Treasuries, Gold Rise; Dollar Falls; Bitcoin Fluctuates

On December 10, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points and announced a plan to purchase $40 billion in Treasury bonds over the next 30 days. Before the announcement, U.S. stocks were mixed, the dollar and gold declined, and Treasury yields edged lower. After the release, equities and gold initially fluctuated before rising, short-term Treasury yields fell briefly, while longer-term yields eventually climbed. During the press conference, Chair Powell indicated that Treasury purchases would remain elevated in coming months but downplayed expectations for another imminent rate cut. His comments drove stocks higher, with major indices extending gains. Bond yields trended downward overall, and the dollar weakened further. Gold recovered early losses to hit a daily high, while Bitcoin experienced volatility before climbing toward the end of the event. By the end of the press conference, the S&P 500 and Dow were up 0.7% and 1.1% respectively, short-term yields hit session lows, the dollar index fell over 0.6%, and gold advanced 0.6% to approach $4,239. Bitcoin also rose, nearing $94,500.

华尔街日报Hace 1 hora(s)

Fed Cuts Rates and Buys Short-Term Bonds: US Stocks, Short-Term Treasuries, Gold Rise; Dollar Falls; Bitcoin Fluctuates

华尔街日报Hace 1 hora(s)

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