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Bitcoin rises as ETF inflows hit February highs amid crisis – But will it last?

Bitcoin ETFs saw significant inflows amid the West Asia crisis, with March net inflows reaching $1.3 billion. On April 6, daily net inflows hit $471.3 million, the highest since February. BTC rallied 8% over the past month, outperforming gold, suggesting its role as a safe-haven asset. A short squeeze on April 8 wiped out $424 million in shorts, lifting BTC from $67.7K to $72K. Analysts warn that the focus may shift to macro factors if geopolitical tensions ease. The upcoming U.S. PCE inflation data on April 9 could drive volatility, as markets anticipate a hawkish Fed pause. Profit-taking reached $257 million during the rally, but the response was seen as modest. The inflation report is expected to set the next direction for BTC.

ambcrypto04/08 14:03

Bitcoin rises as ETF inflows hit February highs amid crisis – But will it last?

ambcrypto04/08 14:03

Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Fell Below The $70,000 Level Again

The Bitcoin price fell below the critical $70,000 support level due to a sharp market pullback triggered by the Federal Reserve's decision to maintain current interest rates. This reinforced a "higher for longer" monetary policy stance, extending the expected timeline for rate cuts to 2026. High interest rates make money more expensive, reducing investment in risky assets like cryptocurrencies. The drop erased the week's gains as BTC fell 3% from $72,400 to under $70,000 shortly after the announcement. Despite the bearish sentiment, data shows a 3.9% increase in large whale addresses holding 100+ BTC over the past three months, indicating continued institutional confidence. Macro events, including upcoming Fed meetings, CPI and PCE data, and geopolitical tensions, will continue to influence Bitcoin's price trajectory.

bitcoinist03/21 04:02

Here’s Why The Bitcoin Price Fell Below The $70,000 Level Again

bitcoinist03/21 04:02

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

In September 2024, the Federal Reserve began its rate-cutting cycle, projecting a median federal funds rate of 3.4% by the end of 2025—implying four additional cuts. However, six quarters later, the March SEP (Summary of Economic Projections) reveals a significant shift: the rate now stands at 3.50%-3.75%, 25 basis points higher than initially expected. The median projection for 2026 has also risen from 2.9% to 3.4%. The Fed’s internal consensus has fractured. Out of 19 FOMC participants, seven now expect no rate cuts in 2026, while seven anticipate only one cut. This 7:7 split reflects a fundamental disagreement over the direction of monetary policy, moving from debates over the magnitude of cuts to whether cuts should occur at all. Persistent inflation is the core issue. The Fed has consistently revised its PCE inflation forecasts upward over the past six quarters, with the 2026 projection now at 2.7%—up 0.6 percentage points from initial estimates. Core PCE, a key indicator of underlying inflation, was revised up sharply to 2.7%, signaling entrenched price pressures. Despite slightly raising its GDP growth forecast to 2.4% and holding unemployment steady at 4.4%, the Fed’s unchanged median rate projection conflicts with its own rising inflation outlook. Market expectations remain more dovish, pricing in around 50 basis points of cuts, but the Fed’s internal division and consistent underestimation of inflation suggest continued uncertainty. The central bank is effectively chasing reality, with no clear consensus on the path ahead.

marsbit03/19 02:30

After 6 Quarters of Calling for Rate Cuts, Rate Expectations Are Instead Moving Upwards

marsbit03/19 02:30

Must-Watch Next Week｜Iran Conflict Continues to Impact Global Situation; February CPI Data Approaches (Mar 9-15)

Key Events to Watch Next Week (March 9-15): Iran conflict enters its second week, with global attention on the selection of a new Supreme Leader and Israel’s military stance. Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to threaten global oil supply and economic stability. Economic data releases include U.S. February CPI on March 11 and January PCE on March 13, which will be closely monitored for inflation trends. Other notable events: SharpLink holds its 2025 earnings call on March 9; Neutron pauses order book functions due to a security vulnerability, with services expected to resume the same day. The UK’s Financial Services Regulation Committee is accepting submissions on stablecoin regulation until March 11.

marsbit03/08 12:05

Must-Watch Next Week｜Iran Conflict Continues to Impact Global Situation; February CPI Data Approaches (Mar 9-15)

marsbit03/08 12:05

Crypto Watchlist: The Key Catalysts To Track This Week

This week is significant for crypto with key events including ETHDenver starting February 18, where Ethereum's ecosystem developments and partnerships will be showcased. On February 17, Jupiter DAO will vote on pausing token emissions to address supply dilution. Hyperliquid faces speculation about a potential second airdrop on February 18, though nothing is confirmed. Macro factors include US markets closed on February 16 for Presidents’ Day, potentially increasing crypto volatility. The FOMC minutes on February 18 and PCE inflation data on February 20 will influence rate-cut expectations and risk sentiment. A Supreme Court decision on tariffs could also impact macro markets and crypto. The total crypto market cap is $2.32 trillion.

bitcoinist02/17 05:02

Crypto Watchlist: The Key Catalysts To Track This Week

bitcoinist02/17 05:02

Rate Cuts Watch: FOMC Minutes, PCE Inflation and Jobs Data To Move Crypto

This week's crypto market focus is on key U.S. economic data that could influence Federal Reserve interest rate decisions. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes, due Wednesday, may reveal the Fed's internal debate on inflation and growth, potentially shifting rate-cut expectations without a policy change. Thursday's jobless claims will test whether the labor market is cooling, a crucial factor for the Fed's timing. Friday brings the core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data—the Fed's preferred inflation gauge—and the Q4 GDP report, which will provide insights into economic resilience. Markets have recently increased odds of a June rate cut, making any surprises in these releases highly impactful. Crypto, particularly Bitcoin, is sensitive to changes in rate expectations, as they affect Treasury yields, the dollar, and overall risk appetite.

ccn.com02/16 10:13

Rate Cuts Watch: FOMC Minutes, PCE Inflation and Jobs Data To Move Crypto

ccn.com02/16 10:13

Must-Follow During the Spring Festival Holiday｜PCE Reading May Disturb Interest Rate Cut Pace; Qian Zhimin Case Hearing Scheduled for February 16

The article outlines key events schedule during the Chinese New Year holiday period (February 16-23, 2026). Major events include a UK High Court hearing on February 16 regarding a 60,000 Bitcoin money laundering case involving 130,000 Chinese victims and over ¥30 billion. On February 17, 21shares will distribute staking rewards to Solana ETF holders. Polymarket will extend fees to NCAA and Serie A markets starting February 18. The Fed will release its meeting minutes on February 19. Critical U.S. economic data, including Q4 GDP and core PCE (the Fed's preferred inflation gauge), will be published on February 20; higher-than-expected PCE could impact rate cut expectations. The U.S. Supreme Court is also set to issue an opinion on Trump-era tariffs that day. Elon Musk announced the release of Grok 4.2 with significant improvements sometime during the week.

marsbit02/15 07:16

Must-Follow During the Spring Festival Holiday｜PCE Reading May Disturb Interest Rate Cut Pace; Qian Zhimin Case Hearing Scheduled for February 16

marsbit02/15 07:16

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

In his latest address, Federal Reserve Chair Powell highlighted a noticeable cooling in the U.S. labor market, marked by slower hiring and reduced layoffs, declining challenges in recruitment, and diminished household expectations for job opportunities. The unemployment rate has risen to approximately 4.4%, with employment gains significantly weaker than at the start of the year. This slowdown stems partly from reduced labor supply—due to decreased immigration and lower participation rates—but also reflects weakening labor demand itself. On inflation, core PCE remains at 2.8% year-on-year, above the long-term 2% target. While goods inflation has edged up due to tariffs, service inflation continues to moderate. Although overall inflation has declined substantially from its 2022 peak, it has not yet reached a level that fully assures the Fed. The FOMC responded by cutting rates by 25 basis points and initiating short-term Treasury purchases to maintain ample reserves and ensure effective policy transmission. Powell emphasized that, with rising employment risks and persistently elevated inflation, there is no "risk-free" policy path. The Fed must carefully balance its dual mandate constraints. He noted that interest rates are nearing a neutral range, and future policy decisions will be data-dependent, avoiding preset directions and instead being assessed meeting by meeting based on economic conditions and risks.

marsbit12/11 04:02

Powell: Weakening Employment, Inflation Still High, No One Talks About Rate Hikes Now

marsbit12/11 04:02

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