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Ethereum: What $164mln whale accumulation means for ETH’s recovery

Ethereum's price faced rejection at $1,944, falling to around $1,823 at press time. Despite the decline, significant whale activity was observed. Data indicated large whale orders for seven consecutive days, and one specific entity aggressively accumulated 89,396 ETH (worth approximately $164.88 million) over three days, including a $37.72 million withdrawal from an exchange. While this suggests some whales are buying the dip, broader market indicators remained weak. Exchange netflows were negative, meaning more ETH was leaving exchanges, but the Balance of Power metric shifted to show seller control. The price action is currently vulnerable below $1,944. Ethereum's next moves depend on whether sustained buying can defend the $1,800 level for a potential recovery toward $1,928, or if continued weakness pushes it toward $1,774.

ambcryptoHace 6 hora(s)

Ethereum: What $164mln whale accumulation means for ETH’s recovery

ambcryptoHace 6 hora(s)

‘40% of long-term supply under loss’ – Why Fidelity foresees Bitcoin cycle bottom

Bitcoin is showing signs of potentially forming a market cycle bottom, according to Fidelity. Analyst Zack Wainwright notes that long-term holders now possess a near-record 15 million BTC, with over 40% of this supply held at a loss—a level historically associated with bottoming phases. Data shows the supply in loss recently climbed to 50% as Bitcoin fell below $63,000, mirroring patterns seen at past cycle lows like the 2022 bottom near $16,000. However, recovery may face headwinds. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF demand remains muted, with significant institutional outflows persisting, particularly from giants like BlackRock and Fidelity. Analysts suggest any sustained price recovery requires a reversal in this institutional selling pressure. Options market activity reflects caution, with high trading volumes for put options (bearish bets) targeting $62.5K and $56K, indicating hedging against further downside. While there is also call option interest at higher prices, signaling potential for a sideways range between $55K and $70K, the overall sentiment suggests $60K is a critical support level. Analysts warn that despite bottoming signals, sharp moves below $60K are possible amid ongoing macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures.

ambcryptoHace 16 hora(s)

‘40% of long-term supply under loss’ – Why Fidelity foresees Bitcoin cycle bottom

ambcryptoHace 16 hora(s)

Bitcoin Consolidation Underway: Selling Pressure from Long-Term Holders Eases, ETF Outflows Slow

Bitcoin is in the process of bottoming out, with key dynamics shifting. Long-term holder capitulation has cooled from its peak, and profit-taking has largely subsided. The sell-off at the June lows was absorbed by broad-based buying. The price is now recovering and testing towards key overhead resistance around the short-term holder cost basis near $69,000, where significant supply pressure is expected. Macro drivers are evolving: Bitcoin is increasingly reacting inversely to the US dollar and showing a more positive response to favorable economic data like soft inflation reports, while its correlation with equities has weakened. On-chain data shows that long-term holders are now mainly selling at a loss, a classic late-cycle signal. This primary source of sell-side pressure is no longer expanding. ETF outflows have slowed but haven't reversed, indicating institutional selling has paused but not turned into buying. In derivatives markets, bearish bets are being unwound as seen in falling put/call ratios and reduced crash protection costs, though this positioning adjustment hasn't yet translated into strong spot market buying. Volatility has compressed to yearly lows, a potential calm before the next decisive move. While the foundation for a recovery is being laid with seller exhaustion and demand absorption at lows, confirmation is still missing. A sustainable uptrend requires spot-driven buying to decisively break and hold above the short-term holder cost basis. Failure to do so, or a reacceleration of long-term holder losses, would signal a return to range-bound trading.

marsbitAyer 12:08

Bitcoin Consolidation Underway: Selling Pressure from Long-Term Holders Eases, ETF Outflows Slow

marsbitAyer 12:08

VELVET slides 18% – But key data points to consolidation, not sell-off

Velvet (VELVET) has dropped approximately 18% in the last day, though it retains its position as a top market performer with a 571% gain over the past 90 days. Analysis of its perpetual futures market shows a $24 million capital outflow over two weeks, indicating profit-taking and capital flight. However, despite this exodus, a positive funding rate suggests long positions remain in control, pointing to underlying bullish sentiment among traders. The price decline is thus interpreted more as a consolidation phase following massive gains rather than a bearish reversal. The token's immediate direction hinges on a key ascending support line; a hold could spark a rebound, while a break may see a test of the $0.45 demand zone.

ambcryptoAyer 01:02

VELVET slides 18% – But key data points to consolidation, not sell-off

ambcryptoAyer 01:02

Bitcoin ETFs end 8-week outflow streak with $197M inflows – Details

U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded net inflows of $197 million for the week of July 6-10, ending an eight-week outflow streak. BlackRock's IBIT led with $209.4 million in inflows on July 6 alone, while Grayscale's GBTC saw the largest outflows. The week was volatile, with daily flows shifting between net inflows and outflows. Bitcoin's price fluctuated between approximately $63,650 and $64,400 before settling near $62,750. Spot Ethereum ETFs mirrored the trend, posting net inflows of $84.42 million and also ending an eight-week outflow period. Other altcoin ETFs, including Solana and Hyperliquid, recorded inflows, while XRP ETFs saw net outflows.

ambcrypto07/13 09:02

Bitcoin ETFs end 8-week outflow streak with $197M inflows – Details

ambcrypto07/13 09:02

Bitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows – Why?

Bitcoin (BTC) is recovering near $64,100 after falling below $60,000, but faces headwinds from Middle East tensions and persistent U.S. inflation concerns, keeping the Federal Reserve's interest rate at 3.50%-3.75%. According to CoinShares' James Butterfill, signs suggest Bitcoin may be nearing a cycle bottom despite a record 8-week streak of Spot Bitcoin ETF outflows totaling ~$8 billion. Recent small ETF inflows hint at easing institutional selling pressure. Notably, a large 3,588 BTC sell-off by a specific strategy in early July had minimal market impact. On-chain data shows new buyer support forming in the $60k-$63k range, while the $77k price level has shifted from support to a key resistance zone. Overall, the market is under pressure but not broken, with cautious sentiment prevailing as Bitcoin trades below major historical cost bases.

ambcrypto07/12 02:02

Bitcoin nears cycle bottom despite record $8B Spot ETF outflows – Why?

ambcrypto07/12 02:02

Bitcoin ETFs add $222M, but BlackRock sees outflows – Why it matters

On July 2nd, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $222 million, ending a 10-day outflow streak that totaled $2.709 billion. Fidelity's FBTC led with $166 million in inflows, while BlackRock's typically dominant IBIT recorded $40.4 million in outflows. Despite the fresh inflows, Bitcoin's price, which had fallen below $60k during the outflow period, only rebounded to around $62,713, failing to reclaim the $65k level. Ethereum ETFs followed a similar pattern, with nine days of outflows before turning positive on July 1st and 2nd. In contrast, other altcoin ETFs like those for Solana and XRP saw significant net inflows during the same period. Overall, total assets under management for U.S. crypto ETFs have declined to levels last seen in November 2024.

ambcrypto07/05 05:02

Bitcoin ETFs add $222M, but BlackRock sees outflows – Why it matters

ambcrypto07/05 05:02

Is ‘gold becoming roomies with Bitcoin’ and will a short squeeze trigger a rebound?

Gold and Bitcoin are experiencing significant investor outflows and rising short interest in the first half of 2026, with Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noting they are close to "becoming roomies" in terms of capital exits. Bitcoin, mirroring gold's weakness, saw its U.S. Spot ETFs post a net outflow of $5.4B in H1 2026—the first since their 2024 debut—while institutional positioning on the CME remained predominantly short. Despite this pressure and the potential for a prolonged downturn into Q4, a weaker U.S. jobs report recently triggered a brief recovery, with ETFs seeing net inflows and CME positioning turning positive. QCP Capital analysts suggest spot demand may be firming, but confirmation hinges on upcoming mid-July inflation data. Key short-term resistance levels are identified at $62.3K, the $65K-$67K zone, and $75K.

ambcrypto07/04 07:03

Is ‘gold becoming roomies with Bitcoin’ and will a short squeeze trigger a rebound?

ambcrypto07/04 07:03

Viewpoint: Why is Bitcoin Still Struggling to Break Above $60,000?

Bitcoin continues to struggle to decisively break above the $60,000 level, largely trading between $58,000 and $61,000. Three main pressures are identified for this consolidation. First, US spot Bitcoin ETFs experienced their worst month of net outflows in June, weakening institutional buying support. Second, the expiry of a massive batch of Bitcoin options around $100 billion on Deribit around June 26 created crowded trading and hedging activity near the $60,000 strike price, amplifying volatility. Third, a more hawkish Federal Reserve stance and resilient US economic data have tempered expectations for rapid interest rate cuts, strengthening the dollar and weighing on risk assets like Bitcoin. The current technical picture suggests a tug-of-war within a range. Key resistance is seen at $62,000; a sustained move above this level is needed to confirm a stronger recovery. On the downside, support lies around $58,000, with a break potentially opening the door to a test of the $55,000-$56,000 zone. For Bitcoin to sustainably reclaim $60,000 as support, a reversal in ETF fund flows, a more favorable macro environment, and a clear technical breakout above $62,000 are likely required. Until then, $60,000 remains a significant price barrier.

marsbit07/02 03:56

Viewpoint: Why is Bitcoin Still Struggling to Break Above $60,000?

marsbit07/02 03:56

BTC Hits Its Lowest Point Since 2024, But Is It Still Not the Right Time to Buy the Dip?

**Summary:** Bitcoin (BTC) has plunged to new lows in 2024, dropping over 50% from its all-time high to around $57,800, while Ethereum and Solana also show significant weakness. The market sentiment is at "extreme fear." The primary headwinds are identified as massive and sustained net outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs since May 2026, creating significant selling pressure, and the evaporation of expectations for a US Federal Reserve interest rate cut in 2026, which makes holding cash and bonds more attractive than risk assets like crypto. Analysts are actively debating the potential bottom. Key predictions include: * **glassnode's Rafael:** Suggests a bottom between $46,000 and $54,000, based on on-chain metrics like Realized Price and CVDD. He notes that institutional demand (via ETFs) is currently a net seller, not a buyer. * **BIT Analysis:** Argues the bear market is in its final stage, with a potential bottoming zone between $50,000 and $55,000, possibly aligning with the 2026 FIFA World Cup period (June-July). * **Wintermute:** Believes the market is in the late stages of a bear market but cautions the true bottom may not arrive until September-October 2026, contingent on renewed capital inflows. * **Liquid Capital's JackYi:** Posits that July-August 2026 could be the final capitulation and the best accumulation window, with potential bottom prices ranging from $51,000 to $43,000. * **Jiang Zhuo'er (BTC.TOP):** Predicts a bottom between $42,000 and $44,000 in October-December 2026, based on cycle analysis and MSTR's mNAV metric. * **Prediction Markets:** Polymarket data indicates a 79% chance BTC falls below $55,000 in 2026, a 65% chance below $50,000, and a 30% chance below $40,000. The consensus is that while bearish conditions are severe, the exact timing and price level of the ultimate bottom remain uncertain and depend on factors like ETF flows, macroeconomic policy, and potential market shocks.

Foresight News07/01 06:24

BTC Hits Its Lowest Point Since 2024, But Is It Still Not the Right Time to Buy the Dip?

Foresight News07/01 06:24

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