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Can Bitcoin hold its ground after low activity, rising RVTS signal market imbalance?

Bitcoin is exhibiting a state of market imbalance, with its price holding firm near $66,940 despite a significant decline in on-chain network usage. This divergence is highlighted by the Realized Value Transaction Volume (RVTS) Ratio reaching a record high of 85, indicating that adjusted on-chain volume is shrinking relative to valuation. The current phase suggests that price discovery is being driven more by derivatives and liquidity flows rather than spot market activity, as capital circulates off-chain. Historically, such high RVTS levels have occurred during low-participation phases, often near cycle bottoms. However, the current reading exceeds previous spikes, pointing to deeper structural apathy. Despite this, the compression often precedes accumulation, as weaker hands exit and stronger, long-term holders absorb supply. Long-Term Holder supply has increased to 14.90 million BTC, while exchange reserves remain near multi-year lows at around 2.7 million BTC, reducing sell pressure. Although the market shows resilience and a tightening supply structure, a meaningful price upside still depends on the return of stronger demand and participation. For now, Bitcoin's stability appears sustained by positioning rather than organic network activity.

ambcrypto04/04 15:02

Can Bitcoin hold its ground after low activity, rising RVTS signal market imbalance?

ambcrypto04/04 15:02

Why Bitcoin’s supply imbalance is hinting at more downside before recovery

Bitcoin has been in a bearish trend since October 2025, declining 46% from its all-time high of $126K. Large and mid-sized investors still hold 68% of the BTC supply, indicating that a broader distribution phase and structural market reset have not yet occurred. Short-term holders are likely to sell on any price bounce, as seen in the recent rejection at $76K. The UTXO Profit Count Percent further suggests market weakness, with its 365-day moving average at 87.5%—well above levels seen in previous cycle bottoms. Based on historical post-halving cycles, the market bottom is estimated to occur around late September to early October 2026, implying further potential downside before recovery.

ambcrypto04/02 07:11

Why Bitcoin’s supply imbalance is hinting at more downside before recovery

ambcrypto04/02 07:11

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: The supply Imbalance Between The Assets Is Widening – Here’s What To Know

Amid heightened cryptocurrency market volatility, Bitcoin has fallen below $90,000 and Ethereum below $3,000, revealing a widening supply imbalance between the two assets. On-chain data indicates Ethereum’s supply dynamics are shifting more dramatically due to staking, fee burning, and network activity, while Bitcoin’s issuance remains stable. This divergence, occurring for the second time this cycle, may force investors to reassess their positions. Analysts note that without fresh capital inflows, liquidity is stagnating, and the imbalance may only correct through price declines. A significant rotation between BTC and ETH is anticipated, potentially mirroring Ethereum’s historical 50x surge. At press time, BTC traded near $87,920 and ETH hovered close to $2,968.

bitcoinist12/19 22:01

Bitcoin vs. Ethereum: The supply Imbalance Between The Assets Is Widening – Here’s What To Know

bitcoinist12/19 22:01

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