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Anthropic Drops $19 Billion to 'Sponsor' a Bitcoin Miner

On July 6, 2026, Bitcoin mining company TeraWulf (NASDAQ: WULF) saw its stock surge 15% pre-market following the announcement of a landmark 20-year agreement with AI giant Anthropic. The deal grants Anthropic 401 MW of IT load capacity at TeraWulf's "Justified Data" campus in Kentucky and is projected to generate approximately $19 billion in contracted revenue for the miner over its duration. On the same day, TeraWulf also sold its 50.1% stake in a Texas joint venture for about $530 million. This dual move signals a strategic pivot: divesting non-core assets to fund its fully-owned Kentucky project and shifting focus from cryptocurrency mining to becoming a specialized infrastructure provider for AI. The agreement highlights a key advantage for Bitcoin miners transitioning to AI: their pre-existing access to land and critical power grid capacity, which is becoming a major bottleneck for data center expansion. Unlike peers who operate AI clouds, TeraWulf is adopting a "landlord" model, leasing only the physical space and power for clients' own servers. However, a significant gap exists between the deal's announcement and revenue generation, with the first phase of the Kentucky site not operational until late 2027. The $19 billion figure represents a long-term bet on both TeraWulf's execution and Anthropic's financial durability in the capital-intensive AI race. The market's positive reaction reflects the growing value of fundamental infrastructure—secured land and reliable electricity—in the era of AI compute scarcity.

marsbit07/08 03:56

Anthropic Drops $19 Billion to 'Sponsor' a Bitcoin Miner

marsbit07/08 03:56

In the AI Era, What's Left for Bitcoin?

As Bitcoin falls below $60,000, the author reflects on the relationship between AI and Bitcoin, seeing them as two sides of the same coin. In the AI era, the cost of generating content has plummeted, making fake text, images, and videos increasingly easy and cheap to produce. This has led to a fundamental shift: while AI dramatically lowers the cost of information production, it also undermines trust and authenticity online. What becomes truly valuable is not more content, but the ability to verify what is real—"verifiability." This perspective offers a new lens for Bitcoin. Its massive energy consumption, often criticized as wasteful, is reinterpreted. While AI burns energy to enhance "capability" and efficiency, Bitcoin burns energy to produce "verifiability." Its purpose is not to be trusted but to enable a system where no trust in intermediaries—banks, platforms, or developers—is needed. Every transaction and the entire ledger's history is secured by cryptography and a decentralized network of nodes, making it independently verifiable. AI cannot forge a transaction on the Bitcoin network because the system is designed for proof, not generation. The author draws a historical parallel to the Renaissance: the printing press drastically reduced the cost of copying knowledge, while double-entry bookkeeping reduced the cost of trust in commerce. Today, AI is the new printing press, reducing content creation costs to near zero. Blockchain, and Bitcoin as its pioneer, may be the modern equivalent of double-entry bookkeeping—a foundational technology for verifying digital asset ownership and historical records without centralized authorities. Thus, AI and blockchain are not competitors. AI lowers the cost of creation; blockchain lowers the cost of verification. In an age where AI can generate anything, true scarcity may lie not in more content, but in independently verifiable facts. Whether the market will reprice Bitcoin accordingly remains uncertain, but its core value proposition as a "machine for producing verifiability" becomes strikingly relevant.

marsbit06/30 15:57

In the AI Era, What's Left for Bitcoin?

marsbit06/30 15:57

Analysis of the Latest Portfolio Adjustment by the "Top Player" in the U.S. Stock Market: $9 Billion Short on NVIDIA, Shifting Focus to Power and Memory Sectors

AI investor Leopold Aschenbrenner has made a significant portfolio shift, taking a $9 billion nominal short position against top AI infrastructure stocks like NVIDIA, ASML, and Oracle. Simultaneously, he is redirecting capital towards what he sees as the next critical bottlenecks in the AI boom: power, memory, and data center networking, alongside private investments in AI model companies like Anthropic. This move is interpreted not as a call that the AI bubble has burst, but as a rotation within the infrastructure stack. The analysis highlights NVIDIA's recent $25 billion bond issuance as a potential signal, questioning why a cash-rich company would seek external debt despite high profits and increased dividends/buybacks. The core investment thesis is that the initial, crowded "picks and shovels" trade in semiconductors is maturing. The next wave of capital is expected to flow into the physical and logistical constraints of AI expansion: electricity supply, memory chip capacity, data center construction, and enabling technologies like optical networking (fiber) for high-bandwidth communication, where copper remains crucial for short distances. Aschenbrenner's substantial (approx. 20% of fund) private stake in Anthropic is noted as a key part of his strategy—investing directly in the "mine" (AI models) rather than just the "shovels." The discussion concludes that while certain segments may be overvalued, the overarching AI infrastructure demand driven by real product usage remains robust. The most promising long-term investments are seen in essential, non-sexy infrastructure—particularly energy and power companies—whose demand is viewed as a global constant irrespective of AI's cyclicality.

marsbit06/20 03:07

Analysis of the Latest Portfolio Adjustment by the "Top Player" in the U.S. Stock Market: $9 Billion Short on NVIDIA, Shifting Focus to Power and Memory Sectors

marsbit06/20 03:07

US CPI Preview: Overall Inflation May Break Through 4% to Hit a Three-Year High, While Core Inflation Could Be Significantly Below Expectations

US CPI Preview: Headline Inflation May Top 4%, Hitting Three-Year High, Core Could Fall Short of Expectations. Wall Street's major institutions (Goldman Sachs, UBS, Deutsche Bank, Morgan Stanley) anticipate May's headline CPI year-over-year to rise sharply to the 4.17%-4.3% range from April's 3.81%, largely driven by a significant jump in energy prices due to recent geopolitical tensions. This could mark the highest level since April 2023. In contrast, core CPI (excluding food and energy) is forecast to increase only 0.17%-0.22% month-over-month, notably below the market consensus of 0.27%-0.30%. Key moderating factors include cooling shelter inflation (OER and rent) and weaker auto insurance prices, while used car prices are expected to be flat. However, upward pressures persist within core components. Airfare, IT goods, and some non-shelter services are expected to show strength, partially offsetting the cooling trends. This divergence makes the report complex for markets: high headline inflation from transient energy shocks versus a potentially softer underlying core trend. Market pricing via inflation swaps suggests a slightly higher-than-expected headline print, historically associated with a modest dollar rally post-release. Looking ahead, the trajectory for inflation remains highly dependent on future oil price movements.

marsbit06/10 10:15

US CPI Preview: Overall Inflation May Break Through 4% to Hit a Three-Year High, While Core Inflation Could Be Significantly Below Expectations

marsbit06/10 10:15

Arthur Hayes Analysis: AI Bubble Nears Burst, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

Arthur Hayes argues that the current AI market is a bubble poised to burst, which will exert downward pressure on the crypto market in the near term. The core trigger is rising oil prices due to the US-Iran conflict and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz. Higher energy costs directly increase the operational expenses of AI data centers, squeezing profit margins for companies like Google, Anthropic, and OpenAI. Hayes predicts that persistent inflation from high oil prices will force Trump, in a bid to win the November election, to turn public sentiment against the AI industry. He may propose regulations and taxes on data centers and AI companies to appeal to voters concerned about costs and job displacement. Such political rhetoric could shatter market confidence. Furthermore, the market is unlikely to healthily absorb the massive concurrent IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, which together seek valuations in the trillions. The combination of soaring energy costs, overwhelming equity supply, and negative political pressure will puncture the AI bubble. Hayes notes that nearly all new USD liquidity since 2022 has flowed into AI, leaving crypto like Bitcoin behind. When the AI bubble bursts, liquidity will contract sharply, pulling down all risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. In response, Hayes's fund, Maelstrom, has sold all AI-related stocks and non-core cryptocurrencies. It maintains core positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum while increasing exposure to energy sector equities, betting on rising oil and gas prices. He expects Bitcoin to bottom after the AI-led market decline, before rallying again with future monetary easing.

Foresight News06/09 06:17

Arthur Hayes Analysis: AI Bubble Nears Burst, Crypto Market Faces Short-Term Pressure

Foresight News06/09 06:17

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