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Important Bitcoin Macro Cycle Durations You Should Know About

A crypto analyst identifies a consistent macro cycle pattern in Bitcoin's price history, characterized by long bull markets followed by shorter bear markets. Historical data reveals that each bull cycle lasts approximately 1,064 days, followed by a bear market lasting about 364 days. This pattern was observed in the 2015-2017 bull cycle (peaking in December 2017) and the 2018-2021 bull cycle (peaking in November 2021). According to the analysis, the current cycle, which began in 2022, ended its bull phase on October 6, 2025, with Bitcoin reaching approximately $126,000. The analyst predicts the ongoing bear market will last until October 5, 2026, with BTC potentially bottoming near $38,500—a decline of roughly 40% from current levels above $69,000. This recurring structure is used to anticipate Bitcoin's future major price movements.

bitcoinist02/10 12:22