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Bitcoin: BTC loses half its value, yet THIS metric shows quiet accumulation

Bitcoin has lost over half its value since its October 2025 peak, currently trading in a $58,000-$63,000 range. The decline was driven by geopolitical tensions causing capital outflows. Despite this, on-chain data shows quiet accumulation, with apparent demand improving from -275,000 to -75,000 BTC over 30 days, though it remains negative. Technical analysis indicates limited downside, with price finding support at the Bollinger Bands lower band, but the MACD suggests further consolidation is likely. The Bitcoin Season Index reads 52, indicating no euphoric rally, and exchange reserves are declining, pointing to reduced selling pressure. Overall, the market shows signs of accumulation but not a confirmed bullish reversal, warranting a cautious outlook.

ambcryptoHace 3 hora(s)

Bitcoin: BTC loses half its value, yet THIS metric shows quiet accumulation

ambcryptoHace 3 hora(s)

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

CryptoQuant founder Ki Young Ju analyzes Bitcoin's current capital challenge. He notes that the cryptocurrency market has grown too large for retail-driven momentum alone to generate massive price increases as in past cycles. His calculations show that in 2011, approximately $2.7 million in capital inflow could push BTC's price up by 550x, whereas the current cycle requires an estimated $101 billion in new capital just for a 100% price increase. This shift underscores that sustaining a bull run now depends on attracting large-scale, long-term institutional capital rather than short-term speculative trading. Recent outflows from US spot Bitcoin ETFs, totaling nearly $10 billion since May, highlight the fragility of current demand and challenge the narrative of deep institutional support. While surveys indicate continued institutional interest, these entities prioritize regulated products, risk management, and portfolio integration over speculative gains. For the next significant bull market, Bitcoin must transition to being a core macro asset. The key drivers are no longer just more buyers, but capital allocation from larger, slower-moving entities like wealth advisors, corporate treasuries, banks, and sovereign wealth funds. This new phase pits Bitcoin against other major asset classes like AI for a share of institutional capital, making its growth trajectory dependent on sustained, high-quality inflows from diversified financial balance sheets.

marsbitAyer 05:07

CryptoQuant Founder: The Cost to Double BTC Has Increased by 20,000 Times, Where Will the $100 Billion Buying Power Come From?

marsbitAyer 05:07

ether.fi [ETHFI] eyes $0.40 next after an 11% rally – More gains ahead IF…

The article discusses a recent price rally for the ether.fi (ETHFI) token, which surged over 11% to trade at $0.37. Key technical indicators, including the reclaiming of the 20- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), suggest strengthening bullish momentum. The uptrend is supported by strong spot market demand, evidenced by consecutive days of negative Spot Netflow, indicating more tokens are being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited—a sign of accumulation. A bullish crossover in the Directional Movement Index (DMI) further supports this positive outlook, with the potential for ETHFI to target the 100-day EMA near $0.40. However, the article notes caution in the derivatives market. Despite the spot rally, data shows significant outflows from futures positions and elevated perpetual sell volume, suggesting traders are using price strength to reduce exposure rather than open new long positions. This persistent selling pressure in derivatives poses a risk to the rally's sustainability. If it continues, ETHFI could potentially fall back to retest the $0.30 support level. The overall picture is one of conflicting signals: bullish momentum in the spot market versus cautious, selling behavior among derivative traders.

ambcrypto07/04 22:02

ether.fi [ETHFI] eyes $0.40 next after an 11% rally – More gains ahead IF…

ambcrypto07/04 22:02

Metaplanet flips MARA with 43K BTC, but can it still reach 100K?

Japanese firm Metaplanet has become the world's third-largest corporate Bitcoin treasury, surpassing Marathon Digital (MARA) with holdings of 43,000 BTC. While receiving praise from MicroStrategy's Michael Saylor, the article questions whether Metaplanet can achieve its ambitious target of 100,000 BTC by the end of 2026. Its accumulation pace has slowed, with only about half the purchases in Q2 compared to previous quarters. The broader Bitcoin treasury sector showed mixed demand in the first half of 2026, with a peak in April followed by a significant slowdown by June as BTC's price struggled. Some firms, like Riot Platforms and K Wave Media, have reduced or exited their Bitcoin holdings to fund other ventures like AI infrastructure or debt repayment.

ambcrypto07/03 05:33

Metaplanet flips MARA with 43K BTC, but can it still reach 100K?

ambcrypto07/03 05:33

RaveDAO drops 12% – Will whales push RAVE prices even lower?

RaveDAO (RAVE) has declined 12% in the past 24 hours, with the downtrend potentially continuing due to intense selling pressure from whale investors. Key indicators point to a weakening market: the Bull Bear Power (BBP) shows bullish conviction fading, while the Accumulation/Distribution (A/D) line confirms dominant selling activity. Data identifies whales as the primary force behind the sell-off, with a whale-retail delta reading climbing to 0.272. Their influence is significant given their control over the vast majority of RAVE's supply on BSC, Base, and Ethereum chains. Concurrently, spot demand has collapsed, with net flows plunging to approximately -$269,000. With whale selling ongoing, spot demand absent, and technical indicators deteriorating, RAVE's price remains in a precarious position and is vulnerable to further declines.

ambcrypto07/01 23:03

RaveDAO drops 12% – Will whales push RAVE prices even lower?

ambcrypto07/01 23:03

Bitcoin faces $58K test as U.S. demand cracks – What’s next for BTC?

Bitcoin (BTC) faces a critical test around $58,000 as key pillars of its rally show significant weakness. The primary concern is a notable drop in U.S. demand, historically a major driver for BTC. The U.S. to Rest of World Reserve Ratio has fallen from a peak near 1.79 to around 1.59, indicating declining American capital inflows. This trend is confirmed by substantial spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, with the latest monthly net flow showing an outflow of approximately $4.29 billion, marking a sharp reversal from previous months of strong institutional buying. With BTC trading near $58,500 and sellers in control, technical indicators like the RSI point to continued market pressure. Analysts suggest that without a recovery in U.S. demand and a price move back above the $60,000-$62,000 range, BTC faces the risk of further decline to lower support levels.

ambcrypto07/01 07:02

Bitcoin faces $58K test as U.S. demand cracks – What’s next for BTC?

ambcrypto07/01 07:02

India’s USDT premium surges above 8.5% as regulatory pressure tightens supply

India's USDT premium has surged above 8.5% as regulatory pressure tightens the supply of stablecoins domestically. This has pushed the price of USDT to ₹102.88 against an official USD/INR rate of ₹94.65, widening the premium well beyond its typical 3-4% range. The supply contraction, driven by enforcement actions and increased oversight discouraging capital inflows, has created a significant imbalance. Demand from traders, cross-border users, and businesses remains strong for uses like payments and dollar-backed value storage, but compliance risks are hindering arbitrage and new USDT inflows. Market data shows high transaction counts but low volumes, with buy volume severely lagging sell volume, indicating constrained liquidity and reduced market-making capacity. Prolonged regulatory uncertainty risks sustaining elevated premiums, pushing activity toward informal channels or offshore liquidity. The summary concludes that while demand for USDT in India is resilient, clearer regulations and improved compliance pathways are needed to restore supply, efficient pricing, and market efficiency by narrowing the premium.

ambcrypto06/30 07:02

India’s USDT premium surges above 8.5% as regulatory pressure tightens supply

ambcrypto06/30 07:02

Ripple’s Bank Partner Count Does Not Mean 300 Banks Are Using XRP

The article clarifies a common misconception about Ripple's partnerships. While Ripple reports having over 300 institutional partners, the key point is that most of these banks and financial institutions do not use the XRP token directly for settlement. They may utilize Ripple's technology or join its networks without creating demand for XRP itself. This distinction is crucial for investors, as the value thesis for XRP relies on real token utility—such as for moving value or settling transactions—rather than just corporate relationships. The piece argues that Ripple's significant institutional footprint does not automatically equate to widespread XRP adoption. The narrative around XRP should therefore focus less on the number of partners and more on concrete evidence of how those partners are using the token. The truth lies between the extremes of supporter and critic claims: Ripple's partnerships matter, but they are not synonymous with XRP demand.

bitcoinist06/30 01:25

Ripple’s Bank Partner Count Does Not Mean 300 Banks Are Using XRP

bitcoinist06/30 01:25

No supply shock yet – Why Bitcoin’s price bottom may have to wait

The article argues that while typical bear market signals suggest Bitcoin may be nearing a bottom, a true price recovery likely requires a "supply shock" that hasn't yet materialized. Key signals point to a potential bottom: short-term holders are selling at a loss, miner stress is increasing as production costs exceed the spot price, and market sentiment is in "extreme fear." This weak hand capitulation is often seen as a late-stage bearish sign. However, a critical piece is missing: sustained demand. On-chain data shows Bitcoin exchange reserves have increased in 2026, meaning selling pressure is flowing onto exchanges rather than being absorbed by buyers. Institutional flows from spot ETFs remain negative. Therefore, until exchange balances decline and buyers absorb the excess supply, a meaningful supply shock—a prerequisite for a sustained price bottom and reversal—remains unlikely. The current consolidation may be premature for calling a definitive bottom.

ambcrypto06/29 09:03

No supply shock yet – Why Bitcoin’s price bottom may have to wait

ambcrypto06/29 09:03

Sharplink adds $62.4M in Ethereum despite ETH’s weak demand – Here’s why

Sharplink, the second-largest Ethereum treasury company, purchased an additional 29,196 ETH for $46.7 million on June 27. Over the past three days, its Ethereum holdings increased by 39,196 ETH, worth $62.4 million. This marks Sharplink's second major purchase after an eight-month pause, bringing its total ETH holdings to 868,699, including staked tokens. Concurrently, Sharplink's stock price rose 5.48% to $4.81. In comparison, the largest Ethereum holder, Bitmine, acquired 52,203 ETH for $92 million on June 22 and plans steady growth through 2026. These institutional accumulations occur against a backdrop of weak Ethereum market demand. ETH's price recently hit $1,568.75, its lowest since April 2025, with on-chain data indicating diminished aggressive buying momentum and signs of buyer exhaustion compared to the previous year.

ambcrypto06/28 10:02

Sharplink adds $62.4M in Ethereum despite ETH’s weak demand – Here’s why

ambcrypto06/28 10:02

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