Artículos Relacionados con Commodities

El Centro de Noticias de HTX ofrece los artículos más recientes y un análisis profundo sobre "Commodities", cubriendo tendencias del mercado, actualizaciones de proyectos, desarrollos tecnológicos y políticas regulatorias en la industria de cripto.

Copper, the Gold of 2026

Copper: The New Gold for 2026? Market focus has shifted from AI chips to underlying infrastructure, with copper emerging as a key narrative. Its role is evolving beyond "Dr. Copper"—a traditional indicator of economic cycles—due to structural demand growth from AI data centers (requiring massive electrical infrastructure), grid expansion, EVs, and re-industrialization. Estimates suggest data centers alone could require 300,000 tons of copper by 2050. The core bullish thesis is not just demand but a severe supply constraint. New copper mines take ~17 years to develop, while ore grades are declining and new discoveries are scarce, potentially leading to a 30% supply deficit by 2035. This supply rigidity, coupled with strategic importance, is giving copper a "gold-like" scarcity narrative. Major macro investors, including Stanley Druckenmiller, are allocating to copper as a hedge against dollar weakness and for its exposure to energy transition and geopolitics. Traders like Pierre Andurand have projected prices could reach $40,000/ton. Capital inflows are visible in surging futures trading volumes. Copper mining stocks act as leveraged plays on copper prices. Companies like Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and Southern Copper (SCCO), as well as Chinese miners like CMOC, have seen significant volatility, offering high upside but also steep drawdowns, reflecting operational and geopolitical risks. While copper remains cyclical and won't fully replicate gold's monetary role, its long-term fundamentals have shifted. Its new scarcity premium, driven by a tightening supply structure and expanding electrical demand, suggests its "goldification" is just beginning.

marsbit06/16 03:09

Copper, the Gold of 2026

marsbit06/16 03:09

Metrics Ventures Market Watch: The Brewing Storm

In the past month, the market has been actively trading contrasting expectations, balancing global supply chain disruptions fueling re-inflation against both actual and anticipated (Walsh) interest rate hikes. This volatility has impacted commodities and most equities, though tech has temporarily benefited from concentrated short-term liquidity. Fundamentally, as previously analyzed regarding the Strait of Hormuz situation, the US faces deep-seated balance sheet issues beyond what any single Fed chair can resolve. Hypotheses around a figure like Walsh could only materialize if AI fundamentally reshapes production relations. Until then, most non-AI-leading nations (effectively all except the US and China) risk fiscal and monetary policy collapse, rendering the identity of the Fed chair ultimately irrelevant. For crypto assets, there is currently no clear role in these dominant narratives. The market remains strongly capped by the 200-day moving average. While trends may shift from "anything but AI" to "anything but mines," this phase is dominated by the silicon vs. carbon (AI vs. traditional) dichotomy, leaving little room for crypto—though its time will come. **Market Overview & Commentary** The crypto market lacks significant catalysts beyond hype, plagued by low volume and scarce innovation, with clear technical resistance. Currently, crypto struggles for attention as global focus lies elsewhere. Assets like gold, oil, and grains are more direct hedges against supply-chain-driven inflation/stagflation. Bitcoin needs more time for capitulation and consolidation; this reset is expected to last until at least Q4 2026. Looking ahead, three factors will likely drive future market volatility: 1. Whether Walsh repeats the patterns of predecessors like Bassant or Musk, shifting stance into a new policy cycle. 2. The market underestimates the severity of global supply chain damage and the prolonged time needed for repair, which will eventually lead to recognition of acute resource shortages and price swings. 3. AI non-beneficiary, high-inflation nations (e.g., UK, Japan) will face severe fiscal and monetary crises. Rapid AI-driven displacement could trigger a collapse of existing credit and welfare systems. Ultimately, the market may realize that an AI bubble burst could spark contagious sovereign credit crises. The monetary and fiscal responses to such a scenario could serve as the ultimate catalyst for Bitcoin's next major bull run.

marsbit05/26 07:43

Metrics Ventures Market Watch: The Brewing Storm

marsbit05/26 07:43

21Shares Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Only Half That of CME, Bull Market Target Price $70

21Shares Research Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Half of CME's, Bullish Target $70 A recent report from 21Shares highlights Hyperliquid's evolution from a crypto derivatives DEX into a 24/7 "everything exchange" for perpetual contracts across various asset classes. The platform gained prominence during a February geopolitical incident when it provided real-time price discovery for WTI crude oil while traditional markets like CME were closed. Non-digital assets now account for approximately 35% of its volume, with traditional commodities and indices featuring among its top-traded assets. Hyperliquid's business model is rapidly diversifying, significantly reducing its dependence on crypto market cycles. Its cumulative trading volume and revenue are approaching levels comparable to CME Group's crypto derivatives segment. A key feature is its Assistance Fund, which directs 97%-99% of protocol fees to automated HYPE token buybacks, creating a deflationary mechanism with an implied buyback yield significantly higher than CME's traditional share repurchase program. Despite strong fundamentals, HYPE currently trades at a Price-to-Revenue (P/R) ratio of ~10x, roughly half of CME's ~17x. The report outlines valuation scenarios: a bullish case targets $62-$70 based on annualized revenue reaching $12-$15B and applying CME's P/R multiple. A bear case considers $15-$19 if growth slows. Key risks include platform centralization during crises, regulatory uncertainty for on-chain commodities, dependence on geopolitical volatility for non-crypto volume, and the need for sustained high trading volume to offset token unlocks. The analysis concludes that HYPE is increasingly being valued as a legitimate exchange business rather than a speculative crypto asset.

marsbit05/22 05:56

21Shares Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Only Half That of CME, Bull Market Target Price $70

marsbit05/22 05:56

AI is Revaluing the Real World: Why Gold, Silver, and Copper are Becoming Important Again

AI is reassessing the value of the real world: why gold, silver, and copper are regaining importance. For over a decade, financial innovation centered on digitalization, from internet platforms to RWA tokenization. However, AI's rapid development highlights a deeper dependency: the physical infrastructure underpinning the AI era, not just code. Contrary to being "dematerialized," AI strengthens reliance on the real world. Every model training and deployment requires vast resources—data centers, energy grids, cooling systems, and critical industrial materials like copper, silver, and gold, which provide irreplaceable conductivity and durability. This shift is redefining the asset layer structure. A new "Asset Stack" is emerging: - Physical Layer: Metals, energy, and raw materials. - Financial Layer: Government bonds, ETFs, structured products. - Digital Layer: Tokenization infrastructure and programmable assets. The digital layer relies on the financial layer, which ultimately depends on the physical layer. While markets previously rewarded upper-layer assets like stocks and digital platforms, AI is redirecting attention to foundational real-world resources. S&P Global forecasts data center copper demand will surge from 1.1 million tons in 2025 to 2.5 million tons by 2040, amid a growing global supply deficit. This signals a long-term structural shift where energy, metals, and infrastructure form a critical "Physical Layer" that could limit AI's expansion. Tokenization alone doesn't create value; it connects markets to already-trusted assets. Successful tokenization requires mature demand, deep liquidity, and institutional consensus. Thus, the logical progression begins with sovereign debt (highest liquidity and trust), followed by gold (centuries of global consensus), then silver (blending reserve and industrial utility). Future expansion may include industrially critical materials like copper. Within gold, a key divergence is appearing. Gold ETFs solved "investability" but keep gold within traditional financial systems. Gold tokens, like Matrixdock's XAUm, explore making gold a functional part of the digital financial system—enabling instant settlement, cross-border collateral, and programmable utility without intermediaries. Looking ahead, industrial metals are evolving from commodities to strategic "functional assets." Silver faces a structural supply deficit, driven by demand from solar, EVs, and AI infrastructure. While gold represents a "Store of Value," metals like silver and copper are becoming "Stores of Function." Tokenizing them, as with Matrixdock's XAGm for silver, focuses not just on reserve value but on bridging physical commodity systems with digital infrastructure for efficient circulation. Ultimately, the asset layer is evolving to be more grounded in the strategic, physical realities of the economy. The most valuable assets for tokenization may not be the easiest to digitize, but those most essential for long-term economic and technological foundations.

链捕手05/13 11:00

AI is Revaluing the Real World: Why Gold, Silver, and Copper are Becoming Important Again

链捕手05/13 11:00

Podcast Notes: Hyperliquid Has Become the Top Interest Point for Traditional Hedge Funds

Empire Podcast hosts Jason Yanowitz and Santiago Santos discuss the surging institutional interest in Hyperliquid, a decentralized perpetual exchange, marking the highest level of engagement from traditional hedge fund managers since Paul Tudor Jones endorsed Bitcoin in 2020. The primary driver is the demand for weekend trading of commodities like oil, especially during geopolitical tensions such as the Iran conflict, as Hyperliquid provides the only active price discovery venue when traditional markets are closed. Trade XYZ, a front-end on Hyperliquid, has seen significant growth, with weekend oil price predictions having a median error of only 50 basis points. Santos predicts commodity trading volume on Hyperliquid will surpass Bitcoin within the year and that its market cap could rise from $25 billion to $100 billion. Other key points include Kraken raising $200 million at a reduced valuation of $13.3 billion, and the SEC clarifying that self-custodied DeFi frontends like MetaMask are not subject to broker-dealer rules, resolving a major regulatory uncertainty. The hosts also note the strong correlation between crypto and macro markets, with the S&P 500 posting one of its best 10-day rallies since 1950. They highlight MicroStrategy's continued Bitcoin acquisitions and the potential of real-world asset (RWA) tokenization as a key trend. The discussion concludes with skepticism towards many L2 projects, predicting a wave of protocols truly going to zero as capital concentrates in proven assets like Bitcoin and Hyperliquid.

marsbit04/18 07:23

Podcast Notes: Hyperliquid Has Become the Top Interest Point for Traditional Hedge Funds

marsbit04/18 07:23

活动图片