"Big Short" Burry: Bitcoin Has Already Crashed 40%, If It Falls Another 10%, It Will Trigger "Disastrous Consequences"
Famed "Big Short" investor Michael Burry warns that a further 10% drop in Bitcoin, which has already fallen over 40% from its peak, could trigger "disastrous consequences." He argues Bitcoin has failed as a hedge asset and remains purely speculative, noting its inability to respond to typical drivers like dollar weakness or geopolitical risk.
Burry highlights that nearly 200 public companies hold Bitcoin, and a continued decline could force corporate treasuries to sell, exacerbating losses. He specifically cautions that a 10% drop would push aggressive corporate holder Strategy Inc. into billions in losses and cut off its access to capital markets.
Additionally, Burry warns that Bitcoin sell-off could spill over to broader markets, potentially causing a "collateral death spiral" in tokenized metal futures—which aren’t backed by physical metal—as investors liquidate positions. Despite the warning, the report notes Bitcoin’s relatively small market size may limit wider financial contagion.
华尔街日报02/04 01:03