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Solana ETF inflows hit 2% of SOL’s market cap, beating Bitcoin’s record

U.S. Spot Solana ETFs have reached nearly $1 billion in inflows, representing 2% of SOL's market cap, in just 18 weeks since their October debut. This milestone was achieved faster than Bitcoin ETFs, which took 55 weeks to reach the same level. Despite the bear market, institutional demand for SOL remains strong, with 50% of assets under control by institutions. Unlike Bitcoin ETFs, Solana ETFs show limited basis trade activity, suggesting inflows are driven by conviction rather than speculation. ETF flows now account for 25% of SOL's price variance. Recent outflows coincided with a price drop, though SOL recovered partially. The Choppiness Index indicates a potential breakout, with key levels at $100 or $78 depending on market direction and ETF flow trends.

ambcrypto03/10 09:17

Solana ETF inflows hit 2% of SOL’s market cap, beating Bitcoin’s record

ambcrypto03/10 09:17

Capital Outflow, Long-Short Balance: Ethena's Ebb Reveals a Rare Signal

The cryptocurrency market has been in a risk-off mode for months. Ethena, a key player in crypto basis trading, has seen its deployed capital—acting as a proxy for excess long demand—plummet to $791 million, just 71% of its 2025 low and 12.9% of its previous peak. This sharp decline reflects a rare market structure where active longs and active shorts are nearly balanced, a historically unstable condition. Ethena’s business model involves taking the short side of perpetual swaps against leveraged long traders, earning funding rates. The drastic reduction in its deployed capital—down over 60% in a month despite relatively stable Bitcoin prices—suggests either unprofitable basis trades are being unwound or increased hedging activity (e.g., VCs and projects hedging small-cap token exposure) is crowding out opportunistic basis traders like Ethena. Perpetual futures, central to crypto leverage, require a 1:1 match between longs and shorts. The current equilibrium indicates exceptionally low speculative long interest and a rise in structural short hedging. This balance is fragile and unlikely to persist, potentially leading to increased volatility. Ethena’s retreat serves as a clear signal of shifting risk appetite and crowded hedging strategies in crypto markets.

比推03/09 14:30

Capital Outflow, Long-Short Balance: Ethena's Ebb Reveals a Rare Signal

比推03/09 14:30

What Does Ethena's Trend Reveal About the Cryptocurrency Market?

The article analyzes the perpetual futures market structure and risk sentiment in the cryptocurrency market using Ethena's transparency dashboard as a key indicator. It reveals that Ethena's deployed capital has dropped to $791 million, only 71% of its 2025 low and 12.9% of its peak, reflecting extremely low net long demand in the market. A key insight is that directional long positions are nearly equal to directional short positions—a rare and historically unsustainable balance in crypto. The analysis breaks down perpetual contract holders into four categories: directional longs, directional shorts (including hedgers), basis traders (like Ethena), and arbitrageurs. Ethena’s role as a basis trader provides a proxy for excess long demand. The sharp decline in its deployed capital—over 60% since February 2026—suggests either the unwinding of unprofitable basis trades, increased hedging activity from directional shorts, or weak leveraged long demand. Current negative funding rates and stable open interest indicate growing short or hedge demand, possibly from VC firms and crypto companies managing risk in a bearish market. This equilibrium between longs and shorts is unusual and may signal a market regime change, though it remains uncertain whether this balance can persist.

marsbit03/09 10:12

What Does Ethena's Trend Reveal About the Cryptocurrency Market?

marsbit03/09 10:12

Bitcoin shorts drop 82%, hedge funds cut exposure – Rally or more caution?

Leveraged hedge funds have reduced their Bitcoin futures short positions on the CME by 82%, from $444 million in August to $78 million by mid-January. While this decline may appear bullish, analysts caution that these funds engage in basis trades—buying spot ETFs while shorting futures—and the recent drop in yield from 10% to 5% has made these positions less attractive. Consequently, reduced short exposure may not necessarily signal a bullish trend unless accompanied by renewed spot ETF inflows. Recent ETF outflows totaled $1.33 billion, reflecting weakened institutional demand. However, easing geopolitical risks and potential liquidity injections could support a short-term BTC recovery. At the time of writing, Bitcoin traded at $89.7k.

ambcrypto01/24 12:02

Bitcoin shorts drop 82%, hedge funds cut exposure – Rally or more caution?

ambcrypto01/24 12:02

XRP ETFs Attract Global Pension Funds And Insurers, Canary CEO Reveals

Canary Capital CEO Steven McClurg reports that XRP ETFs are attracting significant institutional interest, including from global pension funds and insurance companies, alongside retail investors. He notes that while retail adoption surged in the initial weeks, institutional and fast-moving capital now represents about 70% of flows. McClurg attributes the success to XRP's role as understandable financial infrastructure and the cost efficiency of the ETF structure, which reduces trading fees and complexity compared to direct crypto exchanges. He also highlights the importance of the basis trade in driving demand, emphasizing that the XRP ETF has not experienced a single day of outflows since launch, even during market downturns.

bitcoinist12/22 18:02

XRP ETFs Attract Global Pension Funds And Insurers, Canary CEO Reveals