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The Brutally Honest Truth About Bitcoin That Most People Miss

A crypto analyst warns of brutal truths about Bitcoin that many investors overlook. Despite recent price declines, most market participants remain overly optimistic about a major rally, though positive indicators like retail investor returns are scarce. Google searches for Bitcoin are rising as people consider buying during the downturn. The analyst notes widespread bullish sentiment, driven by factors like the CLARITY bill and hopes for interest rate cuts, with figures like Cathie Wood predicting Bitcoin could reach $1 million. However, the analyst highlights that the market heavily follows institutional players, and this cycle may be especially difficult for retail investors. A contentious issue involves quantum computing threats, with proposals to enhance security potentially targeting Satoshi Nakamoto's wallet, which holds 1 million BTC. The analyst cautions that the coming years could bring significant surprises and challenges.

bitcoinistHace 4 hora(s)

The Brutally Honest Truth About Bitcoin That Most People Miss

bitcoinistHace 4 hora(s)

The Bitcoin Playbook To Know: Step 4 Says A Crash Is Coming, But Where’s The Bottom?

A crypto analyst's six-step framework, based on the 2021 market cycle, suggests Bitcoin is approaching a critical phase. According to Merlijn The Trader, BTC has already completed the distribution, small consolidation, and redistribution phases. The next projected step is a significant price crash into an accumulation range between $45,000 and $59,000, representing a potential decline of 24% to 42% from current levels near $77,500. However, a key condition exists: if Bitcoin can maintain a weekly close above the $78,000 level, this deeper correction phase could be skipped entirely, allowing the cycle to advance directly toward re-accumulation and a potential future rally.

bitcoinistHace 7 hora(s)

The Bitcoin Playbook To Know: Step 4 Says A Crash Is Coming, But Where’s The Bottom?

bitcoinistHace 7 hora(s)

XRP Whales Have Just Set An 8-Year Record, Is This The Start Of The Next Bull Run?

Large XRP holders, or "whales," have accumulated a record 68.5% of the token's circulating supply, an eight-year high according to Santiment data. This aggressive buying is reportedly absorbing supply from exchanges. Analysts suggest this concentration could lead to a thin sell-side, potentially setting the stage for a major price breakout if XRP can decisively close above its current trading range of $1.29-$1.50. Market expert Ali Martinez identifies this as a key compression zone; a break above $1.50 could trigger a rally toward $1.80, while a close below $1.29 might invalidate the bullish structure.

bitcoinistHace 11 hora(s)

XRP Whales Have Just Set An 8-Year Record, Is This The Start Of The Next Bull Run?

bitcoinistHace 11 hora(s)

Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst

Bitcoin is testing a key technical level that could signal the start of a new bull market, according to analyst Crypflow. The focus is on the "bull-bear ribbon," formed by the 21-week moving average (21 WMA) and the 21-week simple moving average (21 SMA) on a two-week chart. Historically, a crossover where the 21 WMA moves above the 21 SMA has confirmed bull markets, while the opposite crossover has confirmed bear markets. Bitcoin recently experienced a bear market confirmation in 2025 after its peak above $126,000. Currently, the price is attempting to push back into this critical ribbon but faces rejection at the 21 WMA, located around $81,974. Although BTC briefly touched $82,000 last week, it has since pulled back, trading near $76,914 at the time of writing and remaining below both moving averages. According to the analyst, a sustained reclaim of the 21 WMA is needed to begin the next bull market confirmation phase.

bitcoinistHace 2 días 03:32

Bitcoin Bull Market Confirmation Will Be Completed Once This Level Is Reclaimed, Analyst

bitcoinistHace 2 días 03:32

Chat with the Godfather of Crypto: $60k Bitcoin is Definitely Not the Bottom, the Real 'Capitulation Moment' is in October

**Summary: Interview with "Crypto Godfather" Michael Terpin on Bitcoin Outlook** Michael Terpin, founder of Transform Ventures and author of "Bitcoin Supercycle," discusses his market views in a podcast. He argues that Bitcoin's price around $60K is likely not the cycle bottom, with odds favoring a further decline to the $48K–$57K range, potentially bottoming in October. Key points include: * **Saylor & STRC:** He clarifies Michael Saylor's recent statement about potentially selling Bitcoin to pay dividends is driven by STRC's retail/ hybrid structure requiring an "escape valve," not a strategic shift. Saylor's large-scale OTC purchases create a floor for Bitcoin's price. * **October Bottom Thesis:** Terpin cites historical patterns (e.g., ~1-year bear markets, Coin Days Destroyed indicator, 23/35-month cycles) pointing to an October bottom. Current selling pressure is largely from leveraged retail liquidations, not whales. * **Cycle Dynamics:** He notes diminishing returns per cycle (e.g., 3000x, 100x, 30x, ~8x) and converging drawdowns. The long-term $1M Bitcoin target by 2033 remains. * **Risks & Narratives:** The real near-term "FTX moment" risk is an advanced AI model attacking a major Ethereum smart contract (e.g., Lido), not quantum computing breaking Bitcoin soon. AI tokens are expected to outperform Bitcoin in the next three years, with profits potentially flowing back into BTC. * **Market Mechanics:** He comments on reported systematic selling by firms like Jane Street and how Wall Street tactics (OTC buying, public market shorting) now influence Bitcoin. * **Supercycle & Design:** Terpin believes Satoshi intentionally aligned Bitcoin's 4-year halving cycle with US election years, influencing global liquidity cycles. He discusses Bitcoin's role in a potential new commodity supercycle driven by currency debasement.

marsbitHace 2 días 01:13

Chat with the Godfather of Crypto: $60k Bitcoin is Definitely Not the Bottom, the Real 'Capitulation Moment' is in October

marsbitHace 2 días 01:13

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis

**Market Analysis: BTC Volatility and HYPE's New Highs** This week, markets experienced significant volatility. Macro pressures intensified with a bond market sell-off, rising rate hike expectations, and oil surpassing $110. Bitcoin (BTC) broke below $78K and is currently testing a critical range. The core debate centers on the nature of BTC's rally from its February low: Is it the start of a new uptrend (Path 1: bullish) or merely a B-wave rally within a larger monthly corrective structure (Path 2: bearish)? The outcome of the battle in the $78,500-$79,500 zone is key this week. * **For BTC:** * **Mid-term:** Maintain a neutral, cash position. * **Short-term:** Two contingency plans with ≤30% position size and strict stop-losses: * **Plan A (Bearish):** Sell if price rebounds but faces resistance in the $78,500-$79,500 zone. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell if price convincingly breaks below the $73,500-$75,000 support. * A break above $90,000-$93,100 would strongly favor the bullish Path 1 scenario. * **For HYPE:** HYPE continues its independent rally, hitting new highs with over 10% gains this week. The trend remains bullish as long as price holds above the key support at $38.41. * **Short-term Strategies (≤30% position):** * **Plan A (Bullish):** Buy on a confirmed break above $45.76. * **Plan B (Bearish):** Sell short on a confirmed break below $45.76. * **Plan C (Bullish):** Buy on a pullback finding support near $38.41. **Trade Review:** Last week, a disciplined 1x leveraged BTC long trade at $79,812, based on model signals, was closed at $81,426 for a ~2.02% profit. **Important:** Market conditions change rapidly. This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Trade with caution and proper risk management.

marsbit05/18 06:32

BTC on a Roller Coaster, HYPE Hits New Highs | Guest Analysis

marsbit05/18 06:32

Bitcoin Price Could Resume Its Downward Trend As Realized Profit Climbs To 2022 Level

Bitcoin's price may be poised for a downturn, according to on-chain analysis. Despite recent signs of recovery, a key metric—the Realized Profit/Loss Margin—has reached 17%. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlights that this level, last seen in March 2022, previously signaled a local market top before a downtrend resumed. The indicator suggests average Bitcoin investors are sitting on significant profits and may start selling to lock in gains. Currently trading around $78,070, Bitcoin faces a critical test at the $78,000 support level. A break below could trigger further downside, aligning with the historical warning from the overheated profit margins.

bitcoinist05/17 21:01

Bitcoin Price Could Resume Its Downward Trend As Realized Profit Climbs To 2022 Level

bitcoinist05/17 21:01

Analyst Who Predict Bitcoin Top And Bottom Reveals When Price Will Start To Rise Again

An analyst known for accurately calling Bitcoin's previous top and bottom warns of a prolonged bearish phase. Following a rebound above $82,000 and a subsequent rejection, Bitcoin is seen forming a "bull trap" within a broader bearish structure. The analyst, Kabuki, projects a steady decline to around $61,000, then $47,000, followed by a temporary bounce to $55,000 before a final crash to approximately $41,000 by June 2026. This level is marked as the potential cycle bottom, after which prices could begin to rise again. Another expert echoes the bull trap warning, suggesting a sharp correction to $51,000 could start soon. Bitcoin was trading near $78,474 at the time of the report.

bitcoinist05/17 07:02

Analyst Who Predict Bitcoin Top And Bottom Reveals When Price Will Start To Rise Again

bitcoinist05/17 07:02

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Basis Remains High Within Biggest Supply Cluster

Bitcoin's recent recovery from February lows is approaching a critical supply cluster between $84,000 and $88,000, which holds the largest concentration of Bitcoin supply on the current chart. This zone represents the cost basis for short-term holders (investors who bought within the last 155 days) and is stacked with "trapped" sellers who bought near those levels and are now at breakeven. Technical analysis suggests the rally faces significant resistance in this area. Two primary scenarios are outlined: a direct push into the $84k-$86k zone followed by a rejection and pullback to $70,000 support, or a more volatile path involving a dip before testing the supply cluster. A weekly close above $84,000 would weaken the bearish rejection case, but a decisive break above $86,900-$88,000 is needed for a stronger bullish confirmation. Bitcoin is currently trading around $80,430.

bitcoinist05/16 07:02

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder Basis Remains High Within Biggest Supply Cluster

bitcoinist05/16 07:02

Volume Shows Big Players Are Reloading On Solana As They Push For 4-Month Highs

Institutional investors are showing renewed bullish interest in Solana (SOL), driven by significant inflows into Solana ETFs. Since the beginning of the month, these ETFs have seen total net inflows of $90 million, including a single-day high of $26 million on May 11. This activity has pushed SOL to a four-month high near $97 and boosted total ETF net assets to $1.02 billion. While derivative data presents mixed signals—with a long/short ratio below 1 indicating some bearishness—trading volume has surged significantly. However, broader market pressure persists due to geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. Bullish fundamentals for SOL include the upcoming major "Alpenglow" network upgrade, Western Union's launch of its USDPT stablecoin on Solana, and potential regulatory clarity from the advancing CLARITY Act. Technical analysis suggests a strong buy sentiment with key resistance at $95, a breakout above which could target $100. Despite these positive factors, SOL's price was trading around $90 at the time of writing, reflecting a 5% daily decline.

bitcoinist05/14 22:09

Volume Shows Big Players Are Reloading On Solana As They Push For 4-Month Highs

bitcoinist05/14 22:09

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