Ethereum – Here’s why this White House whale foresees +60% upside to $5.4K

ambcryptoPublicado a 2026-01-15Actualizado a 2026-01-15

Resumen

Ethereum's price has recovered by 14% in 2026, reaching $3,400 before a slight retracement. According to White House whale insider Garret Bullish, ETH could surge to $5,413—a 60% upside—based on Elliott Wave patterns. He also cites historical data suggesting geopolitical conflicts often coincide with crypto rallies, with ETH averaging +27% and +39% gains 30 and 90 days post-conflict, respectively. Standard Chartered Bank projects ETH could hit $7,500 by 2026 and $15,000 by 2027. Analyst DeFiIgnas notes that quantum risk may limit BTC's upside, allowing ETH to outperform. The ETH/BTC ratio has been rising since December, indicating ETH is strengthening against BTC. Improved macro conditions and liquidity could further push ETH above $4,000.

Ethereum’s price has recovered by 14% in 2026, hitting $3,400 for the first time since mid-December before retracing at press time. More than half of the rally was driven on 13 January, following a softer U.S. inflation print and President Donald Trump’s push for Fed interest rate cuts.

Still, the king of altcoins could offer more gains to investors. This, according to Garret Bullish, the White House whale insider who made millions of dollars shorting Bitcoin in October.

In his latest analysis report, Bullish projected that ETH could surge to $5,413, citing the Elliot Wave pattern.

“We believe ETH has re-entered the (5)th wave of the ascending channel that began in April last year. Theoretical targets: target 1: $5,413; aggressive target 2: $7,155.”

Based on Ethereum’s [ETH] press time value of $3.35k, this would mean a 60% upside for the base case scenario of $ 5.4k, or a 2x move for the aggressive target.

The White House whale has an over $600 million ETH long position and believes the Fed’s Powell-Trump conflict is bullish for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the crypto market overall. He recently said,

“Historically, geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East have coincided with crypto rallies. According to Gemini data: Avg PnL 30 days after conflict: BTC +14%, ETH +27%; Avg PnL 90 days after conflict: BTC +20%, ETH +39%”].”

Put differently, he expects ETH to outperform in Q1. And, he’s not the only mega-ETH bull in 2026.

Will ETH outperform BTC?

Standard Chartered Bank’s latest report projected that ETH could reach $7,500 by 2026 and double to $15k by 2027, with a long-term target of $40k by 2030.

However, quantum risk is likely to drag down BTC’s upside potential, giving ETH the opportunity to outperform it in 2026, according to DeFi analyst DeFiIgnas.

Interestingly, the ETH/BTC ratio, an indicator that tracks the relative price performance of ETH against BTC, also hinted at such an outlook at press time.

The 200-day Moving Average (blue line) has been a crucial support after the ratio dropped in H2 2025. It meant BTC outperformed ETH in H2 2025. However, the ratio has steadily risen since December – A sign that ETH strengthened against BTC over the same period.

A sustained recovery of the ETH/BTC ratio could push ETH higher above $4k. Especially if Q1 2025’s macro landscape and market liquidity improve.

Final Thoughts

Ethereum could front a 60% upswing in the next few weeks, according to a White House insider.
ETH has garnered bullish ratings from analysts, including Standard Chartered Bank.

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Preguntas relacionadas

QAccording to Garret Bullish, what is the projected price target for Ethereum in the base case scenario?

AThe base case scenario projects Ethereum could surge to $5,413.

QWhat two major events on January 13th contributed to more than half of Ethereum's 14% rally?

AA softer U.S. inflation print and President Donald Trump's push for Fed interest rate cuts.

QWhat historical data does the White House whale cite to support his bullish outlook for crypto during geopolitical conflicts?

AHe cites Gemini data showing that 30 days after a conflict, the average profit was BTC +14% and ETH +27%, and after 90 days it was BTC +20% and ETH +39%.

QWhat long-term price target for Ethereum by 2030 was projected by Standard Chartered Bank?

AStandard Chartered Bank projected a long-term price target of $40,000 for Ethereum by 2030.

QWhat technical indicator is mentioned as showing that Ethereum is strengthening against Bitcoin since December?

AThe ETH/BTC ratio, which has been steadily rising since December, indicating Ethereum is strengthening against Bitcoin.

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