Trading Moment: South Korean Stocks Fall into Technical Bear Market, Hong Kong Tech Leads Strongly, BTC Pulls Back Slightly

marsbitPublicado a 2026-07-08Actualizado a 2026-07-08

Resumen

Market Roundup: Tech Leads in Hong Kong, South Korea Enters Technical Bear Market, BTC Dips Global markets displayed divergent trends. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tech Index surged over 5%, led by major tech stocks like Alibaba (+12%) and Xiaomi (+10%), as southbound capital inflows exceeded HK$11 billion. In contrast, South Korea's KOSPI tumbled 5.35%, entering a technical bear market (down >20% from June peak), heavily dragged by chip giants Samsung and SK Hynix. Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 2.11% for a third day, pressured by tech and rising bond yields. Bitcoin saw a slight pullback after its recent rebound, testing key support near $63,000. Analysts note the rally appears corrective, driven by macro factors rather than a structural shift. Sustained ETF inflows are seen as crucial for a trend reversal. Key near-term levels are support at $63,000 and resistance at $64,600-$65,000. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a third consecutive day of net inflows (+$21.44M). In mainland China, A-share indices closed lower, though semiconductor and computing power sectors saw gains. Market focus now turns to upcoming U.S. Fed minutes, Chinese macroeconomic data, and global liquidity conditions, which will be pivotal for near-term direction across these asset classes.

Every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday, we focus on the crypto market, Japan, South Korea, A-shares, and Hong Kong stocks, reviewing the market with data and seizing opportunities through trends. Presented by PANews.

BTC Tests 200-week Moving Average After Days of Rebound

Bitcoin has entered a period of consolidation and repair after rebounding over 11%, with market sentiment easing from extreme panic but still facing tests of support. The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been in negative premium for 50 consecutive days, setting a record for the longest duration, reflecting significant selling pressure in the U.S. market and an overall risk appetite that has not fully recovered. Market maker Wintermute noted that this rebound is more of a "textbook repair" driven by macro easing, a dovish Fed tone, and institutional adoption benefits for Ethereum, rather than a structural shift. Short-term prices may rise slightly, but continued capital inflows are needed to confirm the trend.

On-chain data also fails to give a clear optimistic signal. A CryptoQuant analyst indicated that the Bitcoin NUPL indicator remains at 0.158. Although close to levels seen in early 2023, the 30-day and 100-day EMAs have not yet entered the negative territory typical of historical bear market bottoms, suggesting there may be further downside risks in this cycle. The Galaxy research team believes Bitcoin is gradually entering a value zone with limited downside, but prices could still fall back to the $40,000-$46,000 range if global liquidity tightens.

From a technical perspective, several traders are watching the support level near $63,000. If it holds steadily, there is potential to challenge the resistance zone around $64,600 to $65,000 again. If it falls below $63,000, the market may retest support near $60,000 or even $58,000. Short-term movements will remain highly dependent on capital flows and macro policy changes.

Looking ahead, Federal Reserve policy will be the core variable affecting the trend of digital assets. The market will focus on the latest meeting minutes, the U.S. Dollar Index, Treasury yields, and ETF fund flow changes. If institutional funds resume net inflows and U.S. market risk appetite improves, Bitcoin may continue its challenge towards $65,000 or higher. Conversely, the $63,000 support level will face a test.

Key Points Today:

Bitcoin L2 network Botanix will gradually shut down, users need to withdraw assets by July 9.
Base will activate the B20 token standard on the mainnet on July 9.
Movement (MOVE) will unlock approximately 165 million tokens worth about $2 million on July 9.
Upbit 24-hour trading volume ranking: XRP, SLX, BTC, ETH, AI.
Bitcoin Spot ETF: +$21.435 million, net inflows for 3 consecutive days.
Ethereum Spot ETF: +$26.9252 million, net inflows for 4 consecutive days.
HYPE Spot ETF: +$4.3227 million.
SOL Spot ETF: +$1.6720 million.

Today's Biggest Gainers among Top 100 Cryptos by Market Cap: M up 8.7%, ZEC up 4.6%, MORPH up 4.3%, BDX up 2.8%, JST up 2.7%.

Nikkei Technically Pressured, Falls for 3 Consecutive Days

Following a sharp overnight decline in the Nasdaq, the Tokyo Stock Exchange came under pressure today. The Nikkei 225 index experienced intense volatility throughout the day, ultimately closing down 2.11%, marking its third consecutive day of decline. Tech stocks led the losses, dragged down by U.S. chip stocks and in resonance with the South Korean market.

Worsening Middle East tensions have pushed up energy costs. Japan's reliance on crude oil from the Strait of Hormuz is as high as 93.5%, sparking fears of imported inflation that directly impacts corporate profits. High-valuation tech stocks suffered heavy blows: semiconductor giant Tokyo Electron fell 3.7%, capacitor maker Taiyo Yuden, a key supplier for AI servers, plummeted 8.5%, and Advantest dropped 4.7%, indicating market doubts about the sustainability of the semiconductor boom cycle.

Japan's macro-financial environment has entered a danger zone. The yield on 10-year government bonds rose to 2.86%, a 30-year high, while the 30-year bond yield exceeded 3.98%. A Daiwa Securities strategist pointed out that investor confidence in the AI sector has not recovered, and a Goldman Sachs economist warned Japan could fall into a vicious cycle of debt and high-interest payments. The market is highly focused on the potential for "fiscal dominance" by the Bank of Japan under fiscal pressure. The next 48 hours require close attention to U.S. wholesale inventory data and the Fed meeting minutes for guidance on global liquidity.

Chip Stock Volatility Drags Market, South Korean Stocks Fall into Technical Bear Market

South Korean stocks were among the most volatile markets in Asia. Affected by adjustments in the global AI industry chain, foreign capital profit-taking, and concentrated deleveraging, it closed down 5.35%. The index has now plunged more than 20% from its late-June all-time high, technically confirming entry into a technical bear market. The Ministry of Finance urgently stated it will closely monitor risks with the central bank and regulators, naming chip stock concentration as the main cause of market instability.

The previously profitable chip giants became the main source of market bleeding. Samsung Electronics shares plunged 6.25%, and SK Hynix fell 5.68%. Over-concentration in the semiconductor sector amplified volatility, with leveraged ETFs acting as volatility amplifiers. A South Korean economist publicly criticized that KOSPI has gradually become a "casino," and leveraged ETFs linked to single stocks are a policy failure, not only amplifying market fluctuations but also eroding corporate value and investor wealth.

IBK Investment & Securities researcher Byun Jun-ho noted that semiconductor stock prices are undergoing violent corrections following the inflection point of slowing earnings growth, and a peak in investment sentiment is an undeniable fact. A Fidelity International portfolio manager cautioned that the AI semiconductor boom entirely depends on annual capital expenditures of around $1 trillion by a few tech giants. Once this scale is proven unsustainable, the downside could be unimaginable.

A-shares Consolidate and Pull Back, Hong Kong Tech Leads Strongly

A-shares showed a consolidating and declining trend on Wednesday, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.49%, the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.87%, and the ChiNext Index down 1.7%.

More stocks fell than rose. Computing power, AI server, and cloud computing sectors bucked the trend and surged, with stocks like Inspur Information, Sangfor Technologies, Wangsu Science & Technology, and Yunsail Zhilian hitting the daily limit-up. Sectors like lithium batteries, lab-grown diamonds, and humanoid robots saw noticeable adjustments.

The semiconductor self-reliance theme saw a full-scale counterattack. CanSemi hit the limit-up, while Huahong Grace surged over 10% to a record high, driven by international investment banks raising target prices.

Hong Kong stocks, however, opened higher and rallied strongly. The Hang Seng Index rose about 700 points, reclaiming the 24,000 level, with the Hang Seng Tech Index surging over 5% and tech and internet stocks soaring across the board.

Alibaba surged over 12%, with its market cap returning to HK$2 trillion, leading the market. Reports suggest Taobao Flash Sales' losses are narrowing faster than expected, and Agent product integration is progressing.
Xiaomi Group's stock skyrocketed over 10%, returning above HK$25. The company officially announced the launch of a new car brand "SkyNomad," with its first model set for release in the second half of the year.
At the sensitive moment of the first batch of cornerstone lock-up shares being lifted for Zhipu AI, instead of the usual sell-off, nearly 70% of national-level strategic capital and local government guidance funds pledged long-term holdings with strong backing. J.P. Morgan ruthlessly raised its target price to HK$2,000,刺激其股价盘中逆势暴涨18% (stimulating its stock price to surge 18% against the trend intraday).
SMIC, Lenovo, Kuaishou, and other chip and tech stocks rose broadly.

Southbound capital recorded a net purchase of over HK$11 billion, indicating funds flowing from South Korea and Japan to Hong Kong stocks' "import substitution" and low-valuation AI assets. Institutional views suggest a resonance between Hong Kong stocks' valuation attractiveness and fund rebalancing, with short-term catalysts including Fed minutes and Chinese macro data.

In the next day or two, focus on China's June CPI/PPI data. The central bank and market participants expect policy implementation in the third quarter to improve liquidity, making tech and consumption recovery worth tracking closely. Overall, the market is seeking a new balance amid global volatility, with Hong Kong's resilience likely to persist.

Criptos en tendencia

CitreaCTR

wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT

Velodrome FinanceVELODROME

BrevisBREV

ZRX（0X）ZRX

PancakeSwapCAKE

Preguntas relacionadas

QWhat major indexes and markets were discussed in the article, and what was their general performance trend?

AThe article discussed the performance of Bitcoin (BTC), the Nikkei 225 (Japan), the KOSPI (South Korea), and the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets. The trends were mixed: BTC rebounded but faced a slight pullback; the Nikkei 225 fell for three consecutive days; the KOSPI entered a technical bear market; A-shares experienced a volatile decline; while Hong Kong's Hang Seng Tech Index led gains with a strong rally.

QAccording to analysts and data in the article, what are the key technical support and resistance levels for Bitcoin mentioned?

AAnalysts in the article noted key technical levels for Bitcoin. The support level is around $63,000. If this holds, Bitcoin could challenge the resistance zone between $64,600 and $65,000. However, if $63,000 is breached, the market may test support near $60,000 or even $58,000.

QWhy did the South Korean KOSPI index fall into a technical bear market, and which sectors were most affected?

AThe South Korean KOSPI index fell into a technical bear market, dropping more than 20% from its recent peak, due to adjustments in the global AI supply chain, foreign capital taking profits, and leveraged fund liquidations. The semiconductor sector was the most severely impacted, with giants like Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix experiencing significant declines, amplifying market volatility.

QWhich specific stocks led the gains in the Hong Kong stock market, and what were the reasons for their strong performance?

AIn the Hong Kong stock market, technology stocks led the gains. Alibaba surged over 12% due to positive news about its Taobao flash sales reducing losses faster than expected. Xiaomi's stock soared over 10% following the announcement of its new car brand 'SkyNomad'. Zhipu AI's stock also surged nearly 18% after receiving commitments from strategic investors and an upgraded price target from J.P. Morgan.

QWhat are the future factors that the article suggests could influence the market trends discussed?

AThe article suggests several future factors could influence market trends. For digital assets like Bitcoin, the core variable will be Federal Reserve policy, including meeting minutes, the US dollar index, Treasury yields, and ETF fund flows. For Asian markets, key factors include US wholesale inventory data, Fed guidance on global liquidity, China's June CPI/PPI data, and potential policy support in the third quarter to improve liquidity.

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A diferencia de Bitcoin, que proporciona un papel de almacenamiento de valor ampliamente reconocido, este token parece centrarse en aplicaciones y características más amplias. Aspectos notables incluyen: Infraestructura Blockchain: El token está construido sobre la blockchain de Solana, conocida por su capacidad para manejar transacciones de alta velocidad y bajo costo. Dinámicas de Suministro: ORO DIGITAL tiene un suministro máximo limitado a 100 cuatrillones de tokens (100P $BITCOIN), aunque los detalles sobre su suministro circulante no se han divulgado actualmente. Utilidad: Si bien las funcionalidades precisas no están delineadas explícitamente, hay indicios de que el token podría ser utilizado para diversas aplicaciones, potencialmente involucrando aplicaciones descentralizadas (dApps) o estrategias de tokenización de activos. ¿Quién es el Creador de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? En la actualidad, la identidad de los creadores y el equipo de desarrollo detrás de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) sigue siendo desconocida. Esta situación es típica entre muchos proyectos innovadores dentro del espacio blockchain, particularmente aquellos alineados con las finanzas descentralizadas y fenómenos de monedas meme. Si bien tal anonimato puede fomentar una cultura impulsada por la comunidad, intensifica las preocupaciones sobre la gobernanza y la responsabilidad. ¿Quiénes son los Inversores de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? La información disponible indica que ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) no tiene patrocinadores institucionales conocidos ni inversiones destacadas de capital de riesgo. El proyecto parece operar en un modelo de peer-to-peer centrado en el apoyo y la adopción de la comunidad en lugar de rutas de financiamiento tradicionales. Su actividad y liquidez se sitúan principalmente en intercambios descentralizados (DEX), como PumpSwap, en lugar de plataformas de trading centralizadas establecidas, lo que resalta aún más su enfoque de base. Cómo Funciona ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) Los mecanismos operativos de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) pueden elaborarse en función de su diseño blockchain y atributos de red: Mecanismo de Consenso: Al aprovechar el único proof-of-history (PoH) de Solana combinado con un modelo de proof-of-stake (PoS), el proyecto asegura una validación de transacciones eficiente que contribuye al alto rendimiento de la red. Tokenómica: Si bien los mecanismos deflacionarios específicos no se han detallado extensamente, el vasto suministro máximo de tokens implica que podría atender microtransacciones o casos de uso nicho que aún están por definirse. Interoperabilidad: Existe el potencial de integración con el ecosistema más amplio de Solana, incluyendo varias plataformas de finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi). Sin embargo, los detalles sobre integraciones específicas permanecen no especificados. Cronología de Eventos Clave Aquí hay una cronología que destaca hitos significativos relacionados con ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN): 2023: El despliegue inicial del token ocurre en la blockchain de Solana, marcado por su dirección de contrato. 2024: ORO DIGITAL gana visibilidad al estar disponible para trading en intercambios descentralizados como PumpSwap, permitiendo a los usuarios comerciar contra SOL. 2025: El proyecto presencia actividad de trading esporádica y potencial interés en compromisos liderados por la comunidad, aunque no se han documentado asociaciones notables o avances técnicos hasta el momento. Análisis Crítico Fortalezas Escalabilidad: La infraestructura subyacente de Solana soporta altos volúmenes de transacciones, lo que podría mejorar la utilidad de $BITCOIN en varios escenarios de transacción. Accesibilidad: El potencial bajo precio de trading por token podría atraer a inversores minoristas, facilitando una participación más amplia debido a oportunidades de propiedad fraccionada. Riesgos Falta de Transparencia: La ausencia de patrocinadores, desarrolladores o un proceso de auditoría conocidos públicamente puede generar escepticismo sobre la sostenibilidad y confiabilidad del proyecto. Volatilidad del Mercado: La actividad de trading depende en gran medida del comportamiento especulativo, lo que puede resultar en una volatilidad de precios significativa y en incertidumbre para los inversores. Conclusión ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) surge como un proyecto intrigante pero ambiguo dentro del ecosistema de Solana en rápida evolución. Si bien intenta aprovechar la narrativa del “oro digital”, su alejamiento del papel establecido de Bitcoin como refugio de valor subraya la necesidad de una diferenciación más clara de su utilidad y estructura de gobernanza previstas. La aceptación y adopción futura dependerán probablemente de abordar la actual opacidad y de definir sus estrategias operativas y económicas de manera más explícita. Nota: Este informe abarca información sintetizada disponible hasta octubre de 2023, y pueden haber ocurrido desarrollos más allá del período de investigación.

110 Vistas totalesPublicado en 2025.05.13Actualizado en 2025.05.13

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Bienvenido a la comunidad de HTX. Aquí puedes mantenerte informado sobre los últimos desarrollos de la plataforma y acceder a análisis profesionales del mercado. A continuación se presentan las opiniones de los usuarios sobre el precio de BTC (BTC).