Different Choices After the Plunge: Institutions Buy the Dip, Traders Shift to US Stocks

marsbitPublicado a 2026-06-08Actualizado a 2026-06-08

Resumen

Title: Diverging Strategies After the Crash: Institutions Buying the Dip, Traders Shifting to US Stocks Following a sharp decline where Bitcoin briefly fell below $60,000 on June 6th, market sentiment remains "extreme fear" despite a partial recovery. This has led to varied responses from major market participants. Several institutional figures and analysts present a cautiously optimistic long-term view for Bitcoin. Glassnode's co-founder identifies $46k-$54k as a probable key bottom range based on historical on-chain models, while a Standard Chartered executive suggests the bottom is nearly formed. Strive's CEO points to Bitcoin touching its 200-week moving average as a historically reliable buy signal. Analysts highlight metrics like MVRV ratio and the "Power Law" model indicating Bitcoin is in an extremely undervalued zone. Conversely, some traders are exiting the crypto space. One trader cited a more attractive risk/reward profile and deeper research opportunities in US stocks, particularly with AI-related equities outperforming and capital rotating away from crypto. This shift is partly attributed to perceived ongoing risks, including those related to Strategy's Bitcoin sales. Market prediction data suggests a high probability (72%) of Bitcoin falling below $55,000, but lower odds for a deeper crash below $35k-$40k. The overall picture is one of division: institutions and long-term analysts see a accumulating opportunity, while some active traders are seeking alpha e...

On June 6th, BTC once fell below the $60,000 mark, dipping as low as $59,130. By June 8th, the Bitcoin price had recovered to around $63,000. Although the price has rebounded several thousand dollars, the earlier breach of the key psychological integer level continues to weigh heavily on market confidence and sentiment in the cryptocurrency space.

The current Fear & Greed Index stands at 15, indicating that market sentiment remains in "Extreme Fear." Most altcoins have also followed suit, plunging into a deep correction alongside the broader market.

Is it now a dip-buying zone? Institutions, traders, and others have shared their perspectives.

Glassnode Co-founder: $46k to $54k is the Key Bottom Range

Rafael, the co-founder of Glassnode, posted stating that Bitcoin has retraced approximately 50% from its all-time high. On-chain data shows that BTC is currently trading near a crucial support zone formed by the Median Realized Price ($64.1k) and the 200-week moving average ($61.7k).

Historically, Bitcoin has traded below this level for only about 7% of the time.

Looking at long-term valuation models, below the 200-week moving average lie the Realized Price (~$54k), the CVDD (~$46.2k), the Balanced Price (~$40k), and the Delta Price (~$35k) in descending order. Historically, bear market bottoms have touched this cost basis range before reversing. Among these, the CVDD is considered the most historically accurate bottom anchor. According to current model projections, the $46k to $54k range constitutes a higher-probability bottom zone, while $35k to $40k belongs to a deep capitulation area under extreme panic scenarios, accounting for less than 3% of trading days in history.

However, as the Bitcoin market matures, the magnitude of cyclical drawdowns shows a narrowing trend. The maximum declines in previous bear markets were 85%, 84%, and 77% respectively, whereas the current cycle has only retraced about 50% from its all-time high so far. This suggests the possibility of further declines, but a higher-probability bottom may lie in the $46k to $54k range. If a subsequent rebound occurs, $75k to $79k will become the first significant recovery zone, with greater resistance likely around the 50-week moving average near ~$93k and the previous all-time highs.

NYDIG Global Head of Research: AI is Siphoning Significant Crypto Capital

Greg Cipolaro, Global Head of Research at NYDIG, stated in a research report that he believes the overlap between AI and crypto investors is far greater than many realize. Both attract investors seeking exposure to emerging technologies and alpha returns. As AI-related stocks continue to outperform the broader market, capital flows and rotates out of the crypto market. Investors are also preparing for what could be the largest tech IPO cycle in years. Sales by Mt. Gox creditors and increased market concerns have exacerbated the downturn.

Greg Cipolaro noted in his report that multiple metrics are approaching levels historically coincident with major bottoms. Bitcoin's MVRV Ratio has fallen to 1.2, and the percentage of supply in profit recently slipped below 50%, another indicator often associated with capitulation. However, the magnitude of this drawdown remains relatively mild by historical standards. He pointed out that Bitcoin's decline of about 53% from its peak ($126k in October) is much shallower than the 75%-90% retracements seen in previous cycles. Whether the low has already been formed likely depends on whether institutional demand has structurally altered the cycle or merely delayed a deeper realignment.

Standard Chartered Head of Digital Asset Research: Bitcoin Bottom is Almost Formed

Geoffrey Kendrick, Head of Digital Asset Research at Standard Chartered, stated that the Bitcoin bottom is "almost certainly formed," and the current price range may be the long-awaited buying opportunity for investors.

An important trigger for this decline was the sale of 32k BTC by Mt. Gox creditors. However, referencing the historical experience from late 2022, it's likely that Mt. Gox creditors will soon engage in much larger-scale repurchases, potentially reaching 10 or even 100 times the amount previously sold.

If such buying is confirmed, it would serve as a significant signal for a market bottom.

Strive CEO: Bitcoin Touched 200-Week Moving Average (Fifth Time in History), First Four Times Were Perfect Buying Opportunities

Matt Cole, CEO of asset management firm Strive, stated in an interview with CNBC's Squawk Box Europe that Bitcoin touching the 200-week moving average (the fifth time in history) with the first four times being "perfect buying opportunities." He also emphasized that Bitcoin's fundamentals have "never been better" and views this touch of the 200-week MA as a historic buying opportunity.

Trader Eugene: Has Temporarily Exited Crypto for US Stocks, Won't Try to Catch the Bitcoin Falling Knife

Trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio posted on his personal channel that he has largely exited the cryptocurrency market since May 13th of this year and shifted his primary focus to researching the stock market. He believes that, compared to the current crypto market, the stock market offers greater appeal in terms of research depth, cognitive challenge, and trading/investment opportunities. Based on his assessment of the industry's current state, he expects to maintain this strategy for the foreseeable future, only continuing to follow crypto industry developments without active participation in trading.

Eugene further stated that unless the market presents an extremely attractive risk-reward opportunity, he has no plans to return to the crypto market in the near term, and he does not currently see such conditions materializing. He believes the trajectory of the crypto market is diminishing its appeal as a trading and investment arena, hence he will continue focusing on traditional stock markets for now.

Regarding Mt. Gox, Eugene believes the associated risks are just beginning to surface. He stated that even if Mt. Gox creditors have sold more Bitcoin recently, it merely delays the problem rather than solving it.

Until the high correlation between Mt. Gox and Bitcoin is broken, he is not optimistic about long opportunities for Bitcoin. As for the market bottom location, he admitted he cannot predict it, but he has stopped attempting "catching the falling knife" style dip-buying trades.

Trader Killa: Now is a Generational Buying Opportunity

Trader Killa tweeted during Bitcoin's decline on June 6th, stating that now is a generational buying opportunity. On June 8th, he indicated that BTC has entered the "final phase" and "final extension," and he has deployed 90% of his capital.

Additionally, Killa mentioned that the "protective buy walls" that emerged during last weekend's crash have not been withdrawn, and he believes the likelihood of quickly revisiting these support levels in the short term is low. Killa is a quantitative trader focused on BTC, who previously predicted the peak of this bull cycle in May 2025.

Analyst Darkfost: Bitcoin Has Entered Extreme Undervaluation Zone

According to data from analyst Darkfost, Bitcoin has retraced to fall below the 4th percentile line of the Power Law model, entering an extreme undervaluation zone. Historically, Bitcoin has only traded at such valuation levels 4% of the time. Darkfost emphasized that this is a suitable period for long-term position building, not a short-term price prediction.

Polymarket Data: 72% Probability BTC Falls Below $55k

Latest data on Polymarket shows the probability of BTC falling below $45k is 41%, below $50k is 56%, and below $55k is 72%. The probability of falling below $40k is 31%, and below $35k is only 21%.

Most market participants currently believe the probability of BTC falling to the $35k–$40k range is not high.

Preguntas relacionadas

QAccording to the article, what price range does Glassnode's co-founder identify as the key bottom zone for Bitcoin, and what model does he cite as historically the most accurate bottom anchor?

AGlassnode's co-founder, Rafael, identifies the key bottom zone for Bitcoin as between $46,000 and $54,000. He cites the CVDD model as historically the most accurate bottom anchor point.

QWhat is the main reason provided by NYDIG's Global Head of Research, Greg Cipolaro, for capital flowing out of the crypto market?

AGreg Cipolaro states that capital is flowing out of the crypto market because AI-related stocks are outperforming, attracting investors who seek exposure to emerging technologies and excess returns. This has led to a rotation of capital from crypto into AI and also in anticipation of a large tech IPO cycle.

QWhy does Standard Chartered's Head of Digital Assets Research, Geoffrey Kendrick, believe the Bitcoin bottom is 'almost formed'?

AGeoffrey Kendrick believes the Bitcoin bottom is 'almost formed' because he sees the current price range as a long-awaited buying opportunity. He points to Mt. Gox's potential large-scale buyback as a key signal, expecting it to be 10 to 100 times the size of their recent sales, similar to the pattern observed in late 2022.

QWhat is the primary reason trader Eugene Ng Ah Sio has shifted his focus from crypto to the stock market?

ATrader Eugene Ng Ah Sio has shifted his focus to the stock market because he finds it more attractive in terms of research depth, intellectual challenge, and the availability of trading and investment opportunities compared to the current crypto market. He believes the crypto market's development trajectory is diminishing its appeal as a trading/investment field for now.

QWhat does the data from the prediction market Polymarket indicate about the probability of Bitcoin's price falling to different levels?

AAccording to Polymarket data, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $55,000 is 72%, below $50,000 is 56%, and below $45,000 is 41%. The probabilities for dropping to $40,000 and $35,000 are 31% and 21% respectively, indicating that most market participants believe a drop to the $35,000-$40,000 range is less likely.

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A diferencia de Bitcoin, que proporciona un papel de almacenamiento de valor ampliamente reconocido, este token parece centrarse en aplicaciones y características más amplias. Aspectos notables incluyen: Infraestructura Blockchain: El token está construido sobre la blockchain de Solana, conocida por su capacidad para manejar transacciones de alta velocidad y bajo costo. Dinámicas de Suministro: ORO DIGITAL tiene un suministro máximo limitado a 100 cuatrillones de tokens (100P $BITCOIN), aunque los detalles sobre su suministro circulante no se han divulgado actualmente. Utilidad: Si bien las funcionalidades precisas no están delineadas explícitamente, hay indicios de que el token podría ser utilizado para diversas aplicaciones, potencialmente involucrando aplicaciones descentralizadas (dApps) o estrategias de tokenización de activos. ¿Quién es el Creador de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? En la actualidad, la identidad de los creadores y el equipo de desarrollo detrás de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) sigue siendo desconocida. Esta situación es típica entre muchos proyectos innovadores dentro del espacio blockchain, particularmente aquellos alineados con las finanzas descentralizadas y fenómenos de monedas meme. Si bien tal anonimato puede fomentar una cultura impulsada por la comunidad, intensifica las preocupaciones sobre la gobernanza y la responsabilidad. ¿Quiénes son los Inversores de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN)? La información disponible indica que ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) no tiene patrocinadores institucionales conocidos ni inversiones destacadas de capital de riesgo. El proyecto parece operar en un modelo de peer-to-peer centrado en el apoyo y la adopción de la comunidad en lugar de rutas de financiamiento tradicionales. Su actividad y liquidez se sitúan principalmente en intercambios descentralizados (DEX), como PumpSwap, en lugar de plataformas de trading centralizadas establecidas, lo que resalta aún más su enfoque de base. Cómo Funciona ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) Los mecanismos operativos de ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) pueden elaborarse en función de su diseño blockchain y atributos de red: Mecanismo de Consenso: Al aprovechar el único proof-of-history (PoH) de Solana combinado con un modelo de proof-of-stake (PoS), el proyecto asegura una validación de transacciones eficiente que contribuye al alto rendimiento de la red. Tokenómica: Si bien los mecanismos deflacionarios específicos no se han detallado extensamente, el vasto suministro máximo de tokens implica que podría atender microtransacciones o casos de uso nicho que aún están por definirse. Interoperabilidad: Existe el potencial de integración con el ecosistema más amplio de Solana, incluyendo varias plataformas de finanzas descentralizadas (DeFi). Sin embargo, los detalles sobre integraciones específicas permanecen no especificados. Cronología de Eventos Clave Aquí hay una cronología que destaca hitos significativos relacionados con ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN): 2023: El despliegue inicial del token ocurre en la blockchain de Solana, marcado por su dirección de contrato. 2024: ORO DIGITAL gana visibilidad al estar disponible para trading en intercambios descentralizados como PumpSwap, permitiendo a los usuarios comerciar contra SOL. 2025: El proyecto presencia actividad de trading esporádica y potencial interés en compromisos liderados por la comunidad, aunque no se han documentado asociaciones notables o avances técnicos hasta el momento. Análisis Crítico Fortalezas Escalabilidad: La infraestructura subyacente de Solana soporta altos volúmenes de transacciones, lo que podría mejorar la utilidad de $BITCOIN en varios escenarios de transacción. Accesibilidad: El potencial bajo precio de trading por token podría atraer a inversores minoristas, facilitando una participación más amplia debido a oportunidades de propiedad fraccionada. Riesgos Falta de Transparencia: La ausencia de patrocinadores, desarrolladores o un proceso de auditoría conocidos públicamente puede generar escepticismo sobre la sostenibilidad y confiabilidad del proyecto. Volatilidad del Mercado: La actividad de trading depende en gran medida del comportamiento especulativo, lo que puede resultar en una volatilidad de precios significativa y en incertidumbre para los inversores. Conclusión ORO DIGITAL ($BITCOIN) surge como un proyecto intrigante pero ambiguo dentro del ecosistema de Solana en rápida evolución. Si bien intenta aprovechar la narrativa del “oro digital”, su alejamiento del papel establecido de Bitcoin como refugio de valor subraya la necesidad de una diferenciación más clara de su utilidad y estructura de gobernanza previstas. La aceptación y adopción futura dependerán probablemente de abordar la actual opacidad y de definir sus estrategias operativas y económicas de manera más explícita. Nota: Este informe abarca información sintetizada disponible hasta octubre de 2023, y pueden haber ocurrido desarrollos más allá del período de investigación.

83 Vistas totalesPublicado en 2025.05.13Actualizado en 2025.05.13

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Bienvenido a la comunidad de HTX. Aquí puedes mantenerte informado sobre los últimos desarrollos de la plataforma y acceder a análisis profesionales del mercado. A continuación se presentan las opiniones de los usuarios sobre el precio de BTC (BTC).