跌超10%!SK海力士赴美上市成功后,为何在韩国股市大幅下跌?

投研日志Publicado a 2026-07-13Actualizado a 2026-07-13

Resumen

新股供给、资金腾挪、市场套利、周期担忧等因素共振,带来SK海力士在美、韩两地股价表现的差异。

SK海力士上周五(10日)赴美上市后,7月13日周一在韩国开盘却股价下跌。截至韩国当地时间13日上午11点45分,SK海力士股价下跌10.18%至1958000韩元/股。

尽管存储芯片供不应求的基本面尚未发生改变,但是新股供给、资金腾挪、市场套利、周期担忧等因素共振,带来SK海力士在美、韩两地股价表现的差异。

“美股涨幅高,资金被吸到美国股市投资。”一位业内资深人士向第一财经记者说。

SK海力士在美国上市首日涨12.76%,收盘价为168.01美元,总市值达1.22万亿美元,市值已超越美国存储龙头美光科技。另外,SK海力士今年以来在韩国的最高股价涨幅已超3倍,6月创出历史高点后至7月中旬股价已回撤约30%,有进一步获利回吐压力。

一些投资者为控制整体持仓权重不变,在认购SK海力士美国ADR新股的同时,减持手里持有的韩国交易所的SK海力士的股票,这也带来一定的抛售压力。

“SK海力士成功登陆纳斯达克后,今天在韩国开盘股价不涨反跌是多种因素共同作用的结果。”对外经济贸易大学朝鲜半岛问题研究中心兼职研究员权小星向记者表示。

首先是SK海力士在美国纳斯达克上市首日大涨超过12%,这一利好消息已在预期中被部分消化,一些投资者选择在韩国股市开盘后获利了结,导致其股价承压。

其次是有韩国券商预测SK海力士第二季度营业利润可能低于市场预期。原因是其高带宽内存(HBM)收入占比较高,这反而限制了其存储产品平均售价的上涨空间。同时,外界期待的HBM4芯片大规模出货也并未在第二季度出现,市场开始冷静审视其短期业绩,为此韩国部分券商调低SK海力士的目标股价。

此外,内存芯片仍是周期性行业。市场担忧在经历长期价格上涨后,行业可能面临价格波动风险。全球AI硬件交易已显拥挤,资金向估值较低的软件板块转移。

另外,近期国际局势变化下,外资在包括韩国在内的亚洲市场大量流出,也影响了韩国龙头股的股价。

SK海力士上周在美国发行1.779亿份ADR新股,募资265亿美元,用于建设龙仁半导体集群一期晶圆厂、清州先进封装工厂及采购EUV光刻机等。SK海力士CEO郭鲁正预计2027年将是存储芯片供应最紧张一年,供不应求状况将延续到2030年后。

还有观点认为,海外资金更看重AI数据中心建设所需HBM的短期紧缺红利,而韩国投资者对大规模扩产可能引发的行业周期反转更为谨慎。

Lecturas Relacionadas

Tokenized Equity Is Unbundling Venture Capital's One-Stop-Shop Financing Business

Tokenized Equity Splits VC's One-Stop Financing Business The article explores how tokenizing company shares on the blockchain fundamentally reshapes the venture capital model. Traditionally, a VC's term sheet is a bundled service providing capital, valuation, curation/signaling, network access, governance, and implied follow-on funding. Tokenized equity, where shares are natively issued and registered on-chain, enables the unbundling of these services. Securitize exemplified this by listing on the NYSE while simultaneously issuing its native stock tokens on Solana and Avalanche. This creates continuous liquidity and price discovery, allowing startups to source services separately. Market-based platforms can handle funding and valuation; specialized service providers manage cap tables, token vesting, and programmable governance; and key individuals or smaller funds can offer brand credibility and network access. While this unbundling commoditizes transactional and administrative functions, core VC value persists in areas resistant to digitization: deep value judgment, strategic guidance, and using personal reputation to attract talent, customers, and future investors. Just as record labels survived by focusing on A&R (artist discovery) after music distribution was digitized, VCs will evolve to specialize in the nuanced, human-centric aspects of startup building. Founders gain the freedom to choose which services to source from the market versus which to obtain from trusted partners, fundamentally changing early-stage decision-making.

Foresight NewsHace 38 min(s)

Tokenized Equity Is Unbundling Venture Capital's One-Stop-Shop Financing Business

Foresight NewsHace 38 min(s)

The Success of Robinhood Chain Proves Ethereum Is Not Dead

The article argues that Robinhood's decision to build its own dedicated blockchain, Robinhood Chain, as an Ethereum Layer 2 (L2) using Arbitrum technology is a powerful endorsement of Ethereum's L1+L2 model, not a rejection of it. This move reflects a broader shift in the crypto industry from projects focused on token monetization to real-world businesses building cash-generating operations. Historically, many crypto projects chose infrastructure to support token sales and speculative value. In contrast, businesses like Robinhood and Coinbase (with Base) choose infrastructure based on commercial needs: security, liquidity, customer reach, and control. Ethereum's model provides a trusted, neutral, and liquid global settlement layer (L1) coupled with customizable, high-performance execution environments (L2s). This allows companies to maintain control and specialization without the cost and risk of building an independent L1 from scratch. The author contends that as more traditional enterprises enter the space to build sustainable businesses, they will rationally select Ethereum's L1 for maximum security and liquidity and its L2s for scalability and customization. This trend strengthens Ethereum's network effects and the utility of ETH as the native gas and asset within this expanding ecosystem. Robinhood's choice is thus seen as a landmark example of pragmatic business strategy aligning with Ethereum's architectural strengths.

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

The Success of Robinhood Chain Proves Ethereum Is Not Dead

marsbitHace 1 hora(s)

South Korean Broker's 'Below-Expectations' Forecast Triggers 12% Plunge in SK Hynix, Putting Pressure on Entire Storage Sector

South Korean brokerage KIS released a forecast for SK Hynix's Q2 2026 earnings, predicting operating profit of 60.4 trillion won, up 556% year-over-year. However, this figure was about 8% below the market consensus of 65 trillion won. The shortfall was attributed to SK Hynix's high proportion of HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) revenue. HBM is typically sold under long-term agreements (LTAs) with fixed prices, which limited the company's average selling price (ASP) growth compared to the soaring spot market prices for standard DRAM and NAND. KIS emphasized this was a methodological adjustment to include LTA pricing, not a fundamental deterioration, and maintained its buy rating and 3.8 million won target price. Nevertheless, the report triggered a sharp market sell-off. SK Hynix's stock plunged over 12%, falling below 2 million won and extending its pullback from recent highs. The sell-off spread to related assets: leveraged ETFs tracking SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics fell sharply in Hong Kong, and A-share memory stocks also declined. Analysts note the incident highlights market sensitivity to earnings misses versus high expectations. However, KIS argues the long-term investment thesis remains intact, with the industry shift toward LTAs potentially leading to more stable, sustained profitability rather than volatile quarter-to-quarter ASP gains.

链捕手Hace 1 hora(s)

South Korean Broker's 'Below-Expectations' Forecast Triggers 12% Plunge in SK Hynix, Putting Pressure on Entire Storage Sector

链捕手Hace 1 hora(s)

Trading

Spot
活动图片