币圈叙事“一阵风”,不如 Perp DEX 炒美股?

比推Publicado a 2025-10-29Actualizado a 2025-10-29

链上美股”并非新鲜概念,但在近期加密市场持续盘整、主流币缺乏明确方向的背景下,这一赛道依旧是交易热土。

过去一年,市场上很多项目陆续尝试将美股指数、国债收益甚至单一股票带上链,然而这些产品大多停留在“影子资产”阶段:要么价格来源过度依赖预言机,要么交易深度不足,要么与传统市场仍存在明显价差,难以被视为真正意义上的“可替代市场”。

Hyperliquid的HIP-3升级似乎是个转折点,此次升级在技术上允许了无许可创建原生链上订单簿的永续市场,这在一定程度上结束了链上传统资产交易主要依赖合成资产或预言机驱动模型的局面,为在链上构建一个具备自我价格发现能力的、独立的市场提供了另一种可能。

以 TradeXYZ 推出的 XYZ100 为例:上线至今,其交易量持续攀升,单日成交额已稳定在数千万美元级别,未平仓量上限从最初的 2,500 万美元不断提高至 6,000 万美元。

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背景

TradeXYZ 作为 Unit 生态在 Hyperliquid 上孵化的原生协议,专注于将真实世界资产(RWA)——如美股、指数等——通过代币化形式引入链上交易场景。该协议同时支持现货与永续合约两类交易模式,并通过集成 Unit Protocol 处理现货资产流动性与结算。用户可使用 USDC 进行存款、提现与交易,当前其核心产品为基于 HIP-3 标准构建的股权类永续合约,旨在打通传统金融市场与去中心化交易体验。

XYZ100 是全链上 CLOB(中央限价订单簿)模型,支持最高 20 倍杠杆、24/7 交易。价格通过 CME(芝加哥商品交易所)的纳斯达克期货 oracle 锚定,非交易时段使用 8 小时 EMA(指数移动平均)平滑价格,避免剧烈波动。

HIP-3 于 2025 年 10 月 13 日左右正式启用,TradeXYZ 几乎同步推出 XYZ100,仅限前 100 名白名单用户(需在 Hyperliquid 上累计交易量超 500 万美元)先享 alpha 访问。

短短两天内,XYZ100 交易量突破 6300 万美元,OI 达 1500 万美元,远超其他 RWA 永续合约 DEX。

为什么加密交易者转向美股?

首先,加密的“高波动低确定性”正被美股的“稳健增长”碾压:BTC 虽有机构积累迹象,但 10.11 的“杠杆崩盘”让散户心有余悸。

而当前美股市场涨势如虹,本周,标普500、道琼斯与纳斯达克指数已连续三个交易日刷新历史高点。与此同时,链上交易平台正以其独特优势吸引全球投资者:通过24/7不间断交易、无需KYC验证、最高20倍杠杆等功能,来自亚洲、欧洲等不同时区的用户得以随时调整仓位,彻底摆脱传统市场T+1结算机制与周末休市的限制。

不过,传统纳斯达克 E-mini 期货在 CME 的日成交规模仍高达数千亿美元,链上资产规模在对比之下仍是“小数点后的数字”。

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链上美股赛道的竞逐

随着这波热潮的兴起,整个链上美股生态正在快速演进,多个协议从不同角度切入市场:

在Solana和BNB Chain上,xStocks通过其联盟生态提供80多种美股/ETF的现货交易,支持用户将苹果或特斯拉代币直接抵押借贷。该协议累计交易量已超20亿美元,占2025年代币化股票交易量的58.4%,日均活跃用户超3万,正在逐步瓜分Robinhood的零售份额。

Derive.xyz则专注于多链期权和永续合约,覆盖比特币、以太坊及部分RWA指数,以其机构级工具和实时预言机吸引着进阶玩家。虽然费用较高且学习曲线陡峭,但总交易量已达186亿美元,RWA永续子市场月均交易量保持在5亿美元水平。

Kraken xStocks凭借交易所的背书获得了SEC初步批准,正在向Arbitrum等二层网络迁移以提升可组合性。其累计交易量突破50亿美元,独特持有人超3.7万,覆盖60多种资产,不过非全链上托管的模式仍存在中心化风险。

Vest Markets另辟蹊径,专注于通过RFQ填充机制减少周末交易的滑点问题,24小时交易量达3405万美元。其区块链审计和LP激励模式虽具创新性,但当前市场深度仍显不足。

基于Arbitrum的Ostium则提供合成RWA永续合约的全链上体验,已从美股扩展至原油、黄金等大宗商品。该协议TVL增速超150%,Q1永续合约交易量23.6亿美元,为零KYC入门用户提供了重要选择。

风险与挑战

当然,这一切并不是没有争议。

Ostium Labs 联合创始人 Kaledora 指出,链上订单簿重建市场深度的模型更适用于加密原生资产,而不适用于传统金融资产,因为后者具有更稳定、更集中、更深层的流动性结构。在Kaledora 看来,更优解是“链上券商模式”:直接引用 TradFi 市场的价格深度,通过链上通道进行访问,而不是试图在链上重新建立一个与 CME 竞争的订单簿。

另外是Oracle & 操纵风险,在非交易时段,链上价格依赖算法来平滑走势,但这并非万无一失。此前PAXG黄金合约就曾因价格异常波动导致数百万美元的头寸被清算,这给所有RWA产品敲响了警钟——当市场休市而链上仍在交易时,价格偏离的风险确实存在。

监管的不确定性同样令人关注。美国证监会正在审视这些链上美股产品的合规性,如果最终将其定性为证券,那么现有的DeFi协议可能都需要申请相应的牌照。虽然很多项目已经在探索合规路径,但大多数仍然游走在监管灰色地带。

小结

加密世界曾经在自己的圈层里自娱自乐:新链、新币、新故事、新叙事。但真正的金融力量,来自谁能够承载全球资本真正想参与的市场。

纳斯达克始终在那里,万亿级的资金在那里流动,全球最具价值的公司在那里交易。

因此,真正的币圈玩家从不在意战场在哪里,只在意哪里有机会。

作者:seedly.eth


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