Долгосрочные инвесторы могут протолкнуть цену ADA выше $1

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2022-09-12Actualizado a 2025-01-12

Cardano (ADA) сталкивается с ценовой волатильностью в последний месяц. Это мешает альткоину восстановиться над важным уровнем $1,00

Общие рыночные сигналы по Cardano остаются нейтральными или медвежьими, ограничивая восходящий импульс. Однако долгосрочные держатели (LTH) ADA оказывают активу важную поддержку, не допуская значительного падения цены.

У Cardano есть надежная поддержка

Индикатор дивергенции цены и суточного количества активных адресов (DAA) в сети последние несколько дней подает постоянные сигналы на продажу. Эта метрика помогает понять, поддерживается ли движение цены соответствующей активностью в сети. Положительная дивергенция DAA указывает на увеличение количества уникальных адресов, взаимодействующих с активом. Это бычий сигнал, свидетельствующий о росте вовлеченности пользователей и высокой активности в сети.

В случае с Cardano тенденция отражает снижение участия инвесторов, что вместе с отсутствием значимого роста цены ослабило бычьи настроения на рынке. Инвесторы проявляют осторожность, так как текущая рыночная ситуация ослабила оптимизм. Неопределенность вокруг перспектив ADA формирует подход «поживем-увидим». Активность покупок ограничена среди как розничных, так и институциональных участников.

Индикатор дивергенции цены и суточного количества активных адресов. Источник: Santiment

Индикатор MVRV Long/Short Difference для Cardano составляет 45%. Положительные значения MVRV указывают на то, что долгосрочные держатели (LTH) находятся в прибыли. Поскольку они склонны ходлить, а не продавать свои токены, их лояльность важна для стабильности цены.

В случае с Cardano они играют ключевую роль в снижении влияния потенциальных распродаж. Их устойчивая поддержка предотвращает резкие падения и укрепляет уверенность в том, что ADA может восстановиться в ближайшее время, если общие рыночные условия улучшатся.

Читайте также: Прогноз Cardano (ADA) на 2025 год. Мнение эксперта

Cardano MVRV Long/Short Difference. Источник: Santiment

Прогноз ADA: впереди консолидация

Cardano торгуется ниже $1,00 на момент написания. Превращение этого уровня в поддержку остается важной целью, но для этого цене нужно преодолеть упомянутые медвежьи сигналы и ограниченную активность участников рынка.

Если общие рыночные условия не изменятся, ADA, вероятно, продолжит консолидироваться в диапазоне $0,85 – $1,00. Эта ценовая зона исторически служила буфером для Cardano, позволяя инвесторам перегруппироваться в периоды неопределенности.

Анализ цены ADA. Источник: TradingView

Однако если бычий импульс вернется на рынок, Cardano может взять барьер на $1,00. Его превращение в сильную поддержку опровергнет медвежье-нейтральный прогноз и возобновит оптимизм в отношении долгосрочного роста ADA. Это создаст условия для возможного роста до $1,23.

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