Самсон Моу в 10 раз снизил прогнозируемую цену биткоина

cryptonews.ruPublicado a 2024-02-26Actualizado a 2024-08-26

Многие члены криптосообщества посчитали, что известный биткоин-максималист Самсон Моу в 10 раз снизил прогнозируемый курс BTC.

В июле 2024 года Моу сказал, что биткоин подорожает до $1 млн в течение года. Таким образом он полагал, что цена криптовалюты увеличится почти в 16 раз от показателя, зафиксированного на момент публикации сообщения. Однако от недавнего заявления Моу у людей осталось впечатление о том, что он разуверился в мощном бычьем ралли.

Пока курс биткоина остаётся ниже $0,1 млн, монеты продают со скидкой, — написал Самсон.

Самсон Моу

Пользователи соцсети сразу заметили противоречия в словах Моу, который раньше предрекал рост стоимости биткоина до $1 млн. Исходя из его же заявления следует, что скидкой можно назвать любую цену BTC, оказавшуюся ниже $1 млн, а не $0,1 млн. Поэтому можно предположить, что Моу теперь предсказывает повышение курса биткоина лишь до $100 000.

Среди людей, отреагировавших на публикацию Самсона, нашлось множество биткоин-максималистов, считающих, что BTC дороже денег, и покупку монет за любую цену в фиатной валюте можно рассматривать как выгодную сделку. Однако нашлись и скептики, прогнозирующие крах курса монеты или хотя бы его стагнацию в районе $58 000.

Lecturas Relacionadas

Trillion-Dollar Credit Market Driven by Stablecoins, Constrained by Off-Chain Risk Management

The trillion-dollar private credit market, once exclusive to institutional investors, is being democratized by yield-bearing stablecoins, which function similarly to money market funds by pooling retail capital for investment in high-yield private loans. Protocols like Apollo's ACRED and Figure's YLDS tokenize credit funds, allowing seamless integration with DeFi for leverage and liquidity, rapidly growing the on-chain private credit sector to $5.87 billion. However, this innovation faces a fundamental risk:链下风控. The case of Goldfinch, which collapsed with $56 million trapped in Kenyan motorcycle loans, highlights the critical flaw. While capital allocation occurs on-chain, essential credit functions—due diligence, monitoring, and recovery—are offline and localized. Goldfinch lacked the physical infrastructure and local expertise to manage loans, leading to undetected fund diversion and defaults. The incident underscores that tokenization solves distribution but not the inherent, location-specific risks of credit underwriting. The sector's growth depends on building robust offline风控 frameworks alongside on-chain efficiency.

marsbitHace 10 min(s)

Trillion-Dollar Credit Market Driven by Stablecoins, Constrained by Off-Chain Risk Management

marsbitHace 10 min(s)

High-Yield, No Debt, No Dilution: Why Bitcoin Treasury Companies Are Aggressively Promoting Preferred Stock Financing?

Bitcoin-backed preferred shares, led by companies like Strategy and followed by newer entrants such as Strive, have grown to a roughly $13 billion market in under two years. These instruments offer high yields, attracting significant capital. A 2026 report by BitcoinTreasuries.net and Apyx projects this segment could grow from nearly 1% to 3-5% of the global $1.3 trillion preferred share market by 2030, with long-term potential reaching 10%. This financial tool addresses a core dilemma for companies holding Bitcoin as a treasury asset. It allows firms like Michael Saylor's Strategy to raise long-term capital for purchasing more Bitcoin without diluting common shareholders or taking on debt with fixed repayment schedules. In exchange, preferred shareholders receive priority dividends, converting Bitcoin's volatility into a stable income product for yield-focused investors. Yields on these securities, ranging from 10.8% to 15.2%, far exceed traditional savings accounts. Strategy's issues dominate the market, with Strive's offering being a smaller player. The report identifies strong institutional demand, potentially reaching $10.9-$21.8 billion, but supply is constrained by the limited pool of corporate-held Bitcoin available as collateral—approximately 1.26 million BTC valued around $83 billion. A key safety feature is the high collateral coverage ratio of 3.8x to 4.5x, meaning each dollar of preferred equity is backed by $3.8-$4.5 in Bitcoin. Issuers require clean balance sheets and substantial scale. Risks are structural: companies like Strategy act as volatility amplifiers, and dividend sustainability relies on continued capital raises during Bitcoin price appreciation. However, both Strategy and Strive maintain cash reserves to cover at least 12 months of payments. The market is currently in a "0 to 1" phase where demand significantly outpaces supply, favoring early issuers.

marsbitHace 20 min(s)

High-Yield, No Debt, No Dilution: Why Bitcoin Treasury Companies Are Aggressively Promoting Preferred Stock Financing?

marsbitHace 20 min(s)

Robinhood Layer 2 integration fuels 14% Uniswap price jump

Uniswap has deployed its V2, V3, V4, and UniswapX protocols on the Robinhood Chain, a new Layer 2 network built by Robinhood Crypto, where Uniswap will serve as the automated market maker (AMM). The integration, aimed at programmatic and AI-driven ecosystems, sparked a 14.2% surge in the UNI token's price and an 81% increase in daily trading volume over 24 hours, buoyed by a broader 2.3% crypto market rally. Technical analysis reveals a contrasting long-term bearish trend. Despite the short-term bounce, the weekly chart shows UNI broke below the key $4 support level, which has now turned into resistance, with a recent swing low at $2.316 in early June. While the RSI has moved above 50, indicating momentum, the On-Balance Volume (OBV) has not recovered to June highs, suggesting a lack of sustained buying pressure. A Fibonacci retracement analysis places the current rally within a broader bearish structure. The liquidation heatmap shows a high concentration of leveraged short positions up to the $3.52 level, increasing the likelihood of a short-term price move towards $3.5. The analysis suggests traders could use a potential bounce to $3.5 or even $3.77 (the 78.6% retracement level) as a selling opportunity. The overall bearish bias remains intact unless UNI breaks above the $4.17 swing high. In summary, while the Robinhood news triggered a rally, it is viewed as a minor rebound within a dominant long-term downtrend.

ambcryptoHace 27 min(s)

Robinhood Layer 2 integration fuels 14% Uniswap price jump

ambcryptoHace 27 min(s)

The Market Trades on Expectations, But You're Waiting for Answers

The market trades on expectations, not on waiting for answers. A common misconception is that prices react after data is released. In reality, sensitive capital moves based on anticipated changes in policy, capital flows, and sentiment. Once an expectation forms, prices adjust in advance. For example, if the market expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, assets like gold, growth stocks, or BTC may rise ahead of the actual announcement. When the cut finally happens, the market might show little movement or even pull back—not because the news isn't significant, but because it was already priced in. The same applies to reports like non-farm payrolls. If weak employment data is anticipated, gold and bonds may rally beforehand. When the data confirms the weakness, prices may not rise further, as it merely validates existing expectations. This explains why markets sometimes appear irrational: good news doesn't always lift prices, and bad news doesn't always cause declines. The key is to assess whether an event was already anticipated and whether capital has begun to price it in or is now taking profits. The market is always trading the future, not the present. Price movements reflect bets on what comes next. Therefore, focusing solely on headlines can lead to losses. Instead, investors should ask: Was this news already expected? Is the market still pricing it in, or is it time to cash out? In short, the market doesn't wait for answers—it acts on the future it believes in, often long before the news becomes public.

marsbitHace 32 min(s)

The Market Trades on Expectations, But You're Waiting for Answers

marsbitHace 32 min(s)

Can Pendle sustain 12% gain and breakout past $1.45? If not, what’s next?

Pendle (PENDLE) gained 12% with a surge in trading volume, attempting to break key resistance near $1.475. A sustained move above this level could target $1.53, while failure may keep it range-bound. Technical indicators like the Money Flow Index and Parabolic SAR suggest bullish momentum, though overbought conditions risk profit-taking. Fundamentally, a new protocol upgrade with Curvance added utility for PT-AUSD holders, boosting community sentiment. The combination of technical strength and improved fundamentals supports demand, but a confirmed breakout depends on overcoming the immediate resistance.

ambcryptoHace 56 min(s)

Can Pendle sustain 12% gain and breakout past $1.45? If not, what’s next?

ambcryptoHace 56 min(s)

Trading

Spot