SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Odaily星球日报Publicado a 2024-03-05Actualizado a 2024-03-05

Resumen

数字货币方面，BTC 一度扩大涨幅至历史最高点附近后遭遇阻力回调 3% 左右，收报 66638.05 （+ 4% ）；ETH 上行势能不减，继续挑战近期新高，收报 3682.71 （+ 6.1% ）。

昨日（6 MAR）亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克在文章中表达了对过快降息可能会加剧价格压力的担忧，并在问答中进一步提到预计首次降息后将暂时按兵不动以评估其影响的看法。美国三大股指轻微收跌。美债方面，对利率政策较为敏感的两年期美债收益率上涨至 4.583% ，十年期下行现报 4.188% 。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

数字货币方面，BTC 一度扩大涨幅至历史最高点附近后遭遇阻力回调 3% 左右，收报 66638.05 （+ 4% ）；ETH 上行势能不减，继续挑战近期新高，收报 3682.71 （+ 6.1% ）。期权方面，两币种隐含波动率均在高位大幅震荡，BTC 70000-C 成为市场成交热点，市场的 FOMO 情绪推动短期（8 MAR/15 MAR）持续涌现买涨建仓， 29 MAR 则多为看空的卖单，整体买卖较为均衡，形成了日历组合。ETH 的成交集中体现在三月 4000-C 的买单，其稳步增长的行情为买涨交易提供了信心，且相比 BTC 来说，ETH 离他的历史最高点（4800）也还有不少的上行空间。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: Binance & TradingView，BTC 在接近 ATH 的位置受到阻力

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: Deribit （截至 5 MAR 16: 00 UTC+ 8）

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: SignalPlus, ATM Vol 变化

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Data Source: Deribit，BTC 成交分布；70000-C 成为交易热点

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Data Source: Deribit，ETH 成交分布；三月份的 4000-C 被大量买入

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240305)：BTC在历史高点前遭遇回调，ETH稳步上行追赶

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