SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

Odaily星球日报Publicado a 2024-02-28Actualizado a 2024-02-28

Resumen

昨天市场相对平静,经济数据好坏参半,资产价格在近期区间内盘整。在加密货币方面,价格持续上涨,在过去一天半的时间里,BTC期货的空头清算量接近3亿美元,随著加密货币市值回到$2万亿美元上方,除GBTC外的ETF交易量也在过去几天里创下新高。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

昨天市场相对平静,经济数据好坏参半,资产价格在近期区间内盘整。2 月份 Richmond 联储制造业指数反弹 10 点至 -5 ,主要得益于当前和未来就业指数的跃升,而支付价格增速则从 4.2% 降至 3.5% 。另一方面,美国耐用品订单环比暴跌至 -6.1% ,创 2020 年 4 月以来最大跌幅,主要是因为运输类耐用品订单(飞机)下滑 16.2% 。此外,消费者信心指数大幅低于预期,现况和预期指数以及就业类别均表现疲软。总而言之,尽管美国经济无疑仍然强劲,但我们可能正在接近正向数据的短期峰值,接下来我们可能会看到就业数据出现一些弱化的情况。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

本周五是美国政府部分“停摆”的期限,如果政客们决定再次将事情拖到最后一刻,可能会在 3 月 8 日面临更大规模的停摆,预计未来几天将解决融资法案的细节,持续决议案可能是一个选择,这将增加下周整体消息面的风险。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

在加密货币方面,价格持续上涨,在过去一天半的时间里,BTC 期货的空头清算量接近 3 亿美元,随著加密货币市值回到 $ 2 万亿美元上方,除 GBTC 外的 ETF 交易量也在过去几天里创下新高。市场 FOMO 情绪高涨,不同的 altcoin 都出现反弹,期货现货的价差也在扩大。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

不出所料,加密货币波动率大幅上涨, 1 周至 1 个月的波动率均位于 57-61% 左右的水平。交易商似乎在现货价格爆炸式上涨时陷入 short-gamms 的困境,不过随著价格接近 60 k,短期看跌期权也开始回涨。

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

SignalPlus宏观分析(20240228):BTC接近6W美元,市场FOMO情绪高涨

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:SignalPlus 123)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。

SignalPlus Official Website:https://www.signalplus.com

Lecturas Relacionadas

After the Fed's Interest Rate Decision and Comments from Kevin Walsh, Experts Gathered and Shared Their Latest Insights!

Following the Fed's decision to hold interest rates steady, experts highlight a potential shift towards more independent policymaking within the FOMC, as three members dissented. Market strategists note the slight decline in bond yields and a weaker dollar post-announcement, but caution that a rate hike in September remains possible. Experts like Mark Hackett point to the three dissenting votes as a sign of growing committee independence. While markets initially rallied in relief, the final direction hinges on Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's upcoming press conference. Analysts, including Audrey Childs-Freeman, interpret the dissent as the Fed maintaining a hawkish stance. They suggest the Fed will continue monitoring data, with a summer scenario of high bond yields supporting the dollar still in play. Chris Anstey emphasizes that markets will closely watch the 10-year Treasury yield during Warsh's conference. A continued rise could signal investor fears that the Fed is not acting aggressively enough on inflation, posing a challenge for the Chair. The long-term yield is also viewed as critical for mortgages and economic management. Diane Swonk of KPMG argues a September rate hike is likely, stating that an increase now would have been more appropriate given nearly five years of high inflation. She warns that prolonged high prices risk becoming embedded in the economic system. *This is not investment advice.

cryptonews.ruHace 2 hora(s)

After the Fed's Interest Rate Decision and Comments from Kevin Walsh, Experts Gathered and Shared Their Latest Insights!

cryptonews.ruHace 2 hora(s)

Trading

Spot
活动图片