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Arthur Hayes says crypto markets are crashing because the community can't agree on why they're Arthur Hayes says the crypto crowd is getting hit while still fighting over the reason for the drop. In h

Arthur Hayes says crypto markets are crashing because the community can't agree on why they're
Arthur Hayes says the crypto crowd is getting hit while still fighting over the reason for the drop. In his latest essay, Arthur warns that: “I don’t know anything about war fighting,” and makes clear he has no inside line into what global leaders may do next.
What he does say he has is public data, basic math, propaganda AI agents, and a portfolio to protect.
He says there are really four possible outcomes, but one is useless for investors. Nuclear destruction is not something he thinks anyone can trade around, so he throws it out. That leaves three main paths, plus one middle case tied to a US blockade. Arthur says he is trying to find a portfolio setup that can beat hydrocarbons, food, and fuel prices in the best case, and in the worst case still do better than most major assets.
Arthur Hayes says Bitcoin comeback is waiting for Fed liquidity injection
In the first case, Arthur says the war stops and things go back to what they were before, but that still would not solve the deeper problem because the bigger threat is AI replacing white-collar workers across the US economy.



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Arthur Hayes says crypto markets are crashing beca

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Bitcoin is testing a level that capped its rally in January, CryptoQuant says Bitcoin’s rally toward $75,000 is running into a wall of supply just as institutional demand is holding steady. The move h

Bitcoin is testing a level that capped its rally in January, CryptoQuant says

Bitcoin’s rally toward $75,000 is running into a wall of supply just as institutional demand is holding steady.

The move higher has been driven largely by macro flows rather than a broad surge in speculative activity. U.S.-listed spot bitcoin ETFs have continued to draw consistent inflows this month, including roughly $240 million in a single session following geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, according to market maker Enflux.

That bid helped lift $BTC from around $71,000 to the mid-$70,000s, even as traditional markets absorbed rising oil prices and shifting rate expectations. The pattern, Enflux noted, reflects allocation behavior rather than momentum chasing.

But as bitcoin pushes higher, the character of the market is starting to change.



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Bitcoin is testing a level that capped its rally i

HTX Community Spring Creation ContestBitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End? Blockchain Forum 2026, MoscowTrusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclos

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading industry experts and seasoned editors. Ad Disclosure X is pushing deeper into crypto and market infrastructure with a new Cashtags rollout that brings token discovery, price charts, and early trading functionality directly into the app. The feature is live on iPhone in the US and Canada, with web, Android, and a broader global launch slated to follow soon.X Launches New Crypto CashtagsThe pitch from X is straightforward: keep traders inside the timeline. In a post announcing the launch, X’s head of product Nikita Bier said, “𝕏 has always been the best source of financial news for traders and investors. Billions of dollars are allocated every day based on what people read on Timeline. Today we’re launching our new Cashtags feature in the US and Canada on iPhone, bringing real-time financial data to X.” Cashtags and contract addresses now trigger asset suggestions, allowing users to select the specific stock or crypto token they mean. Once selected, a tap on the Cashtag opens a feed of relevant posts alongside a price chart, all without forcing users off-platform.Related Reading: Crypto Traders On Alert: Is CLARITY The Last Chance To Protect Stablecoin Yield?Bier described that flow in product terms, but the market implication is clear. “When you search for or post a cashtag (or contract address), X will automatically suggest matching stocks or crypto tokens, so you can select the exact asset you had in mind. Anyone who taps a Cashtag will see posts mentioning it along with its price chart—without ever leaving X. This ensures that you’re always matched to the chatter for the right stock or token.”Related Reading: Crypto Payments Just Changed In South Korea — Will This Avalanche Bet Rewrite The Rules?For crypto users, that reduces one of the platform’s longstanding friction points: the gap between seeing a ticker 

Trusted Editorial content, reviewed by leading ind

On April 16, Fed's Musalem stated that as economic growth slows, the unemployment rate may rise, but the increase may only be a few tenths of a percentage point. Currently, no clear impact of the war 

Fed's Musalem: No Clear Impact of War on Consumption Detected Yet

particularly concerning the Middle East, the cryptocurrency market has shown notable resilience and fluctuations. A recent statement from Iranian Islamic Parliament Speaker Mohammad Baqer Ghalibaf hig

Bitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End?HTX Community Spring Creation ContestClaim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation ChallengeAbsurd governance scam': World Liberty Financial's new proposal prompts harsh

Claim1,200 USDT in the Monthly Creation Challenge

Absurd governance scam': World Liberty Financial's new proposal prompts harsh criticism from Justin Sun and other holders

World Liberty Financial’s new proposal seeks to extend the lock-up and vesting period for early supporters by four years.

Tron Founder Justin Sun issued harsh criticism of the new proposal, calling it one of the “most absurd governance scams” he has ever seen.

Trump-linked cryptocurrency project World Liberty Financial is facing harsh criticism from its investors as a new proposal seeks to extend lock-ups on WLFI tokens by up to four years for early supporters.

Tron founder Justin Sun, the largest individual investor in World Liberty, criticized the project in a Wednesday social media post. Sun has been engaging in an extended feud with World Liberty, stemming from the project's decision to freeze his WLFI tokens.

"This proposal is not governance," Sun wrote. "This proposal has been packaged as a 'governance alignment signal' and a 'long-term commitment,' but strip away the packaging and what you have is one of the most absurd governance scams I have ever seen."

The proposal, released Wednesday by World Liberty, seeks to convert 62,282,252,205 WLFI tokens from indefinite lockups to fixed vesting schedules. 

Specifically, the proposal said tokens held by founders, team members, advisors, and partners would face a two-year lock-up followed by a three-year linear vesting period, and would require them to burn 4.5 billion WLFI. 

Meanwhile, early supporters that collectively hold more than 17 billion tokens would face a two-year cliff followed by a two-year linear vesting period — meaning their tokens would be fully distributed by year four. 

"Holders who do not affirmatively accept the new schedule remain locked indefinitely under existing terms," the team wrote.



Absurd governance scam': World Liberty Financial's

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Post To Earn BonusBitcoin Price Alert: German State Could Take Control of Another 57,000 BTC A proposed court deal in the movie2k case could put another 57,000 Bitcoin within reach of the German state

Bitcoin Price Alert: German State Could Take Control of Another 57,000 BTC
A proposed court deal in the movie2k case could put another 57,000 Bitcoin within reach of the German state, reviving a supply-overhang story that the market thought had largely passed after Saxony’s 2024 Bitcoin liquidation. Local news MDR reported this week that the presiding judge has outlined a possible agreement that would let Saxony keep the €2.64 billion ($3.112 billion) already raised from last year’s Bitcoin sale and potentially obtain access to additional coins allegedly still controlled by the main defendant.

German State Could Gain Access To 57,000 $BTC

The case centers on the former operators of the illegal streaming portal movie2k.to, now on trial. The lead defendant, 42, is charged in part with commercial money laundering, while a second defendant, 39, faces money-laundering and tax-evasion allegations. The original copyright offenses tied to roughly 220,000 unauthorized works are now time-barred, but the fight over the Bitcoin fortune remains very much alive. After the main defendant’s arrest in 2023, authorities received 49,858 $BTC, which were later sold in June and July 2024 for about €2.64 billion.

According to MDR’s reporting, the judge sketched the deal on Monday as a way to shorten proceedings rather than litigate every alleged money-laundering violation one by one. Under that outline, the main defendant would confess and receive a prison sentence of one to one-and-a-half years, suspended on probation, while the co-defendant would receive eight to 12 months, also suspended. The real market-moving clause is elsewhere: Saxony would be able to lawfully confiscate the 2024 sale proceeds, and the defendant would also hand over access to another 57,000 $BTC (worth roughly $4.224 billion) that prosecutors believe he still controls.

The legal hinge is whether expired copyright counts still leave room for asset confiscation through the remaining charges a

Bitcoin Price Alert: German State Could Take Contr

On April 16, SpaceX is planning to lead potential major investors on tours of its facilities in California and Texas. The company has secretly filed for an IPO, seeking to raise up to $75 billion at a

SpaceX Plans Site Visits for Potential Major Investors Ahead of Large IPO

HTX Community Spring Creation ContestBitcoin Up 2 Weeks: Beginning or End? Blockchain Forum 2026, MoscowRussia launched one of its most intense aerial assaults on Ukraine in recent memory, deploying h

Russia launched one of its most intense aerial assaults on Ukraine in recent memory, deploying hundreds of drones and missiles over a 24-hour period that left civilians dead, residential buildings destroyed, and critical port infrastructure damaged across multiple regions.According to Ukraine's air force, the overnight offensive began Tuesday at 6 p.m., involving 324 drones and three ballistic missiles. Air defense units successfully intercepted 309 of the drones, though 13 drones and all three missiles broke through, striking nine separate locations. A follow-up wave later that day involved 361 drones and 21 missiles over a 13-hour window, with Ukrainian forces downing 349 drones and 20 missiles before the barrage ended at 10 p.m. Wednesday.The human toll was devastating. In the Black Sea port city of Odesa, a missile strike on an apartment building killed one person and wounded six others. In Zaporizhzhia, a 74-year-old woman died in a kiosk during a combined drone and missile attack that also damaged a car park, residential buildings, and an educational facility. Three people were injured in Dnipro, where a nine-story apartment block sustained a massive structural breach — just one day after a separate missile strike in the same city killed five and injured nearly 30. Four more civilians sought medical care following drone strikes in Cherkasy, where dozens of homes and vehicles were also damaged. Earlier on Tuesday, an 8-year-old boy was killed and 14 others injured in a drone strike.Ukraine's Danube port infrastructure in the southwest was also targeted, though maritime operations continued. President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the attacks, naming Dnipro, Kharkiv, Chernihiv, Kryvyi Rih, and the Donetsk region among the hardest-hit areas, and urged international partners to accelerate air defense support. Ukraine recently secured defense cooperation ag

Russia launched one of its most intense aerial ass

On April 16, according to a report by RIA Novosti, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Baghaei stated that the U.S. blockade of the Strait of Hormuz could lead to the collapse of the ceasefire agreemen

Iran Warns U.S. Blockade of Strait of Hormuz Could Lead to Ceasefire Collapse

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