Trump’s ‘5-day pause’ in the West Asia crisis sparks crypto surge – Will it last?

ambcryptoPublished on 2026-03-24Last updated on 2026-03-24

Abstract

President Trump's announcement of a five-day pause in military action against Iran led to a drop in oil prices and triggered a surge in the cryptocurrency market. The total crypto market cap rose by 3.4%, with Bitcoin recovering to around $70,800. Social media activity for major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana also spiked. However, the situation remains uncertain as Iran denied U.S. claims of progress in talks. Analysts caution that while Bitcoin has gained 7% since the start of the crisis, market sentiment remains fearful due to parallels with the 2022 Russia-Ukraine conflict, where a sharp rally was followed by a significant decline. The market may be poised for either a sustained bull run or a temporary rally before a pullback.

Global energy markets paused on the 23rd of March after U.S. President Donald Trump suddenly stepped back from his 48-hour threat to destroy Iran’s power grid.

He said there had been progress in secret talks and mentioned major points of agreement toward ending the three-week conflict. Because of this, Trump announced a five-day pause on any action against Iran’s infrastructure, which caused oil prices to drop from around $113 to near $100.

Source: Truth Social

However, the situation is still unclear. While the White House is suggesting that a deal may be close, Iran has rejected these claims, calling them “fake news” and accusing the U.S. of trying to influence oil prices.

Thus, as the five-day pause begins, it’s uncertain whether this is a real step toward peace or just a temporary break in ongoing tensions.

Crypto market turns green

The crypto market reacted quickly to the news. Soon after the announcement, the total market value of crypto went up by about 3.4%, reaching around $2.43 trillion.

Bitcoin [BTC], which was close to falling toward $65,000 earlier, bounced back strongly and climbed to about $70,800 at press time. That’s roughly a 3.5% recovery from its recent lows near $67,000.

Social volume of different tokens

However, price is only part of the story. Data from Santiment showed that Bitcoin’s social activity jumped by 38%.

Source: Santiment/X

Likewise, Ethereum [ETH] and Solana [SOL] saw the biggest spikes in social volume, most likely a result of the five-day pause as well.

Source: Santiment

Bitcoin, on the other hand, is seeing more steady attention, which shows that people still see it as a safer option during uncertain times. Meanwhile, Cardano [ADA] is getting attention only during specific updates, not because of the bigger global situation.

What is ahead for Bitcoin: Bull run or a massive slump?

Bitcoin has gained about 7% since the start of the West Asia crisis, strengthening its position as a potential alternative during uncertainty. If this trend continues, Bitcoin could see further upside as fear fades.

However, experienced traders still remain careful. This is because a similar pattern played out in early 2022 during the Russia-Ukraine war, when Bitcoin surged nearly 40% before dropping sharply by around 67% as the broader economic impact unfolded.

That memory still influences sentiment today, keeping the market on edge. Ergo, at this stage, the market could either be setting up for a sustained bull run or heading toward another temporary rally before a pullback.


Final Summary

  • The five-day war pause has given markets short-term relief, but uncertainty around US-Iran tensions remains high.
  • Despite rising prices, the “extreme fear” sentiment suggests investors lack confidence in a sustained rally.

Related Questions

QWhat was the immediate impact of Trump's announcement of a five-day pause on oil prices?

AOil prices dropped from around $113 to near $100.

QHow did the cryptocurrency market react to the news of the five-day pause?

AThe total crypto market value increased by about 3.4%, reaching approximately $2.43 trillion, with Bitcoin bouncing back to around $70,800.

QWhich cryptocurrencies saw the biggest spikes in social volume according to Santiment data?

AEthereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) saw the biggest spikes in social volume.

QWhat historical event is causing experienced traders to remain cautious about the current Bitcoin surge?

AThe pattern from early 2022 during the Russia-Ukraine war, where Bitcoin surged nearly 40% before dropping sharply by around 67% as the broader economic impact unfolded.

QWhat are the two possible market outcomes mentioned in the article following the five-day pause?

AThe market could either be setting up for a sustained bull run or heading toward another temporary rally before a pullback.

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