Tracking 118 Coins Launched in 2025: 85% Are Below Their Initial Valuation at Launch

深潮Published on 2025-12-22Last updated on 2025-12-22

Abstract

An analysis of 118 Token Generation Events (TGEs) that occurred in 2025 reveals a significant downturn in post-launch performance. The study compared each token's current fully diluted valuation (FDV) to its valuation at issuance. Key findings show that 84.7% (100 out of 118) of these assets are currently valued below their initial TGE price. This indicates that approximately 4 out of every 5 new tokens are trading at a lower valuation than at launch. The median token experienced a 71% decline in FDV (and a 67% drop in market cap) since its release. Only 15% of the tokens analyzed have maintained a valuation higher than at their TGE. The report concludes that participating in a TGE can no longer be considered a form of "early investment" under these market conditions.

Author:Ash

Compiled by: Deep Tide TechFlow

We tracked 118 Token Generation Events (TGEs) launched in 2025 and compared their current fully diluted valuation (FDV) with their valuation at issuance. The results are as follows:

  • 84.7% (100 out of 118) currently have a valuation lower than at TGE;

  • This means approximately 4 out of every 5 newly issued tokens are valued below their issuance level;

  • The median token's fully diluted valuation (FDV) has fallen by 71% since issuance (market cap down 67%);

  • Only 15% of tokens remained "green" (i.e., above issuance valuation) after TGE.

Nowadays, participating in a TGE can hardly be considered "early investment" anymore. How lamentable.

View the complete data via the link

Related Questions

QWhat percentage of the 118 tokens tracked from 2025 TGEs are currently valued below their initial valuation?

A84.7% (100 out of 118 tokens) are currently valued below their initial TGE valuation.

QHow does the median token's Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV) perform compared to its issuance valuation?

AThe median token's FDV has declined by 71% since its issuance.

QWhat proportion of the tracked tokens maintained a valuation higher than their initial issuance?

AOnly 15% of the tokens remained 'green' (valued above their initial issuance valuation).

QAccording to the article, what is the current perception of participating in a Token Generation Event (TGE)?

AParticipating in a TGE is no longer considered 'early investment'.

QWhat metric, besides FDV, is mentioned to have declined for the median token since issuance?

AThe market capitalization of the median token has declined by 67% since issuance.

Related Reads

Navigating the World of Event Trading: Top 5 Prediction Markets for Every Type of User

The prediction market industry has grown significantly, with trading volumes exceeding $20 billion monthly by mid-2026, driven by sports, politics, and macroeconomics. Success now depends heavily on platform choice and execution logistics. This guide compares five leading networks: **Polymarket**: A high-volume, decentralized platform on Polygon, using USDC for international and crypto-native users. It offers diverse markets but lacks built-in risk tools. **Kalshi**: A CFTC-regulated U.S. exchange for institutional traders, using direct fiat. It leads in regulated volume, especially for major sports and economic events, but has limited contract listings. **Outpoll**: A CeDeFi platform for advanced traders, focusing on professional tools. It uniquely features built-in stop-loss/take-profit orders, 0.1% fees, and full API support, with settlement in USDC. **OG Predictive**: A CFTC-regulated, sports-focused platform from Crypto.com. It offers granular player props and a flat fee structure, appealing to long-term position traders. **Manifold Markets**: A play-money, no-KYC platform for casual users and developers. It allows user-generated markets on any topic with zero fees, serving as a sandbox for strategy testing. Key differentiators include regulatory models (regulated vs. decentralized), funding (fiat vs. crypto), order types, risk management features, API access, and mobile support. The conclusion emphasizes that in today's event trading, profitability hinges not just on accurate predictions but on optimizing execution through platform infrastructure, liquidity, fees, and risk tools.

TheNewsCrypto32m ago

Navigating the World of Event Trading: Top 5 Prediction Markets for Every Type of User

TheNewsCrypto32m ago

Why Are Large-Scale Crypto Conferences No Longer Glamorous?

Why Are Major Crypto Conferences Losing Their Allure? A growing sense of fatigue surrounds large in-person crypto conferences, with many founders and investors now avoiding events they would never have missed just two years ago. While complaints cite declining ROI and information quality, the root causes are more structural. Crypto, global from inception, once relied on these mega-conferences as neutral hubs for essential face-to-face connections. However, their core value has been fragmented. High-quality participants—developers, investors—have largely migrated to smaller, private side-events, leaving main stages for repetitive content already shared online. The main conference often just becomes the excuse for being in the same city, with attendees scrambling between exclusive dinners and micro-events. While these intimate gatherings offer signal-rich conversations, they lose the "serendipitous encounters" of large conferences and can create insular echo chambers, especially as talent concentrates in hubs like New York. Meanwhile, invite-only, high-caliber summits are rising, offering quality and scale but at the cost of accessibility and crypto's early egalitarian ethos. This shift isn't unique to crypto; AI events in San Francisco show a similar trend. The perception of higher-value interactions drives core groups towards smaller, private settings, potentially creating a vicious cycle that drains larger events of their vitality. Yet, a more optimistic view exists. The apparent decline of crypto-centric events may signal industry maturation. Leading projects are now focused outward—on stablecoins for traditional finance, consumer-facing digital banks, or real-world assets. Crypto topics are increasingly integrated into mainstream finance and tech conferences. Just as dedicated "internet conferences" faded, dedicated crypto summits may become redundant as the technology embeds into every sector. The future likely holds far fewer large, inward-looking crypto conferences. The industry has moved past needing frequent self-congratulatory gatherings. True growth lies in engaging with the broader economy. This evolution towards private networking and mainstream integration, for better or worse, is a mark of the industry coming of age.

marsbit44m ago

Why Are Large-Scale Crypto Conferences No Longer Glamorous?

marsbit44m ago

Coin & Stock Compass: Global Listed Companies Net Sold $85.45 Million in BTC Last Week, Strategy's Dollar Reserves Scale Up to $3 Billion (July 14)

Global Public Companies Net Sell $85.45 Million in BTC; Strategy's Dollar Reserves Hit $3 Billion (July 14) Last week saw a significant net sell-off of Bitcoin by global public companies, excluding miners, totaling $85.45 million—a 908.42% decrease from the prior week. Major buyers like Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) and Japan's Metaplanet were notably absent from the market. However, two companies, Brazil's OrangeBTC and asset manager Strive, made purchases, adding 8 and 18 BTC, respectively. The aggregate BTC holdings of tracked public companies now stand at 1,139,635 BTC, valued at approximately $71.38 billion and representing 5.7% of Bitcoin's circulating market cap. In corporate updates, Strategy announced its dollar reserves have grown by $450 million to reach $3 billion, while its BTC holdings remain at 843,775 coins. Hyperscale Data increased its BTC reserves past 1,000 coins. Strategy will report its Q2 2026 financial results on July 30. Mining firm Cleanspark added 454 BTC, bringing its total to 13,924 BTC. Conversely, BitFuFu sold 184 BTC, Bitdeer maintained zero net BTC holdings after selling its weekly production, and Empery Digital sold 1,400 BTC to fund an AI data center project and repay debt. Overall, public companies purchased 110,000 BTC in Q2 2026, 1.8 times the volume of the previous two quarters combined. In other cryptocurrency-related corporate news, Ethereum treasury company Bitmine increased its ETH holdings by 27,801 coins, with total staked ETH exceeding 4.9 million. Solana-focused company DFDV transferred daily operations of its meme coin DONT to an independent team. BNB treasury company BNB Plus was delisted from Nasdaq for failing to meet the $1 minimum bid price and moved to trade on the OTCQB market under the symbol BNBX. The broader equity markets showed mixed signals. Bank of America warned that bullish investor positioning indicated a potential pullback risk for stocks. In contrast, Morgan Stanley predicted the ongoing earnings season could broaden market gains beyond tech giants. Specific regional highlights included continued foreign investor outflows from South Korean stocks, pressure on US equities, and the upcoming IPO of Chinese memory chip maker ChangXin Memory. Most crypto-linked stocks remained in a downtrend.

marsbit57m ago

Coin & Stock Compass: Global Listed Companies Net Sold $85.45 Million in BTC Last Week, Strategy's Dollar Reserves Scale Up to $3 Billion (July 14)

marsbit57m ago

Why Are Major Crypto Conferences Losing Their Luster?

Why Are Major Crypto Conferences Losing Their Appeal? A growing sense of fatigue surrounds large-scale offline crypto conferences. Participants complain of declining returns and less substantial information, but the root cause is deeper. Initially, these global summits were vital for a decentralized industry without a physical hub, enabling crucial face-to-face connections. However, the value of large main-stage events has been eroded. High-quality developers and investors have migrated to exclusive, invitation-only side events and private dinners. While these offer focused networking, they lose the "serendipitous encounters" of larger gatherings and can create elitist barriers, contradicting crypto's open ethos. This fragmentation triggers a vicious cycle: as key people leave main events, their value diminishes further. Simultaneously, the industry's focus is shifting outward. Leading crypto firms are now engaging with traditional finance and real-world applications like stablecoins, digital banking, and prediction markets. Consequently, crypto-specific topics are increasingly integrated into mainstream financial conferences, making dedicated crypto summits potentially redundant. Looking ahead, the frequency of top-tier crypto conferences will likely decrease significantly. The industry has moved past its inward-looking phase. The migration of quality discourse to private settings and the push for mainstream adoption, while diluting the large conference model, are ultimately signs of the sector's maturation.

Foresight News1h ago

Why Are Major Crypto Conferences Losing Their Luster?

Foresight News1h ago

Trading

Spot
活动图片