The Altcoin Vector #47

insights.glassnodePublished on 2026-03-25Last updated on 2026-03-25

Abstract

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Executive Summary

RWA First Stock's Major Acquisition: Why Buy a 'Traditional' Mortgage Company?

On June 10th, Figure Technology Solutions (Nasdaq: FIGR), a blockchain-native capital markets firm, announced a $717 million acquisition of Kiavi, a leading non-bank lender for residential real estate investors. The deal involves Figure acquiring Kiavi's technology and operations for approximately $538 million, while forming a joint venture with alternative asset manager Sixth Street to purchase Kiavi's existing loan portfolio. Sixth Street also provided a $3 billion forward purchase commitment. This acquisition marks a strategic shift for Figure, known as the "RWA (Real World Asset) first stock," allowing it to expand significantly into the larger market of first-lien mortgages. Kiavi specializes in non-qualified mortgage (Non-QM) loans, such as short-term fix-and-flip (RTL) and rental property (DSCR) loans—a segment traditionally underserved by major banks. The move is expected to increase Figure's first-lien loan origination to over $7 billion annually, aiming for these to constitute about 40% of its business by 2027. Both companies leverage AI for underwriting: Kiavi uses proprietary models to value renovated properties and automate document processing, dominating the fix-and-flip lending space. Figure plans to integrate these assets onto its blockchain platform, Provenance, using its new 'Adaptor' product to standardize and tokenize the loans for institutional investors on its Democratized Prime marketplace. While the integration poses challenges—including merging different asset types, interest rate sensitivity of Kiavi's loans, and post-IPO execution risks—Figure projects the deal to be accretive to earnings with a cash payback period under four years. The transaction is seen as a major step in scaling blockchain-based capital markets, moving RWA tokenization from concept validation toward large-scale operation.

Foresight News15m ago

RWA First Stock's Major Acquisition: Why Buy a 'Traditional' Mortgage Company?

Foresight News15m ago

Trend in US Stocks: A Post Triggers a 930-Point Rebound, Tonight Belongs to SpaceX

On Thursday (June 11, U.S. Eastern Time), Wall Street staged a textbook V-shaped reversal. The Dow Jones surged 929.97 points (+1.86%) to close above 50,000, while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 rose 2.54% and 1.75%, respectively. The rally occurred despite the hottest PPI report in years, with May data showing a 6.5% year-on-year surge, the highest since 2022. The market ignored the inflation data, focusing instead on reports that former President Trump called off a planned strike on Iran, hinting at a potential multi-party peace agreement draft. This sparked a sharp drop in oil prices, fueling hopes that inflation may have peaked. Sector rotations were stark: previously battered AI hardware and cyclical stocks led the gains, while defensive sectors that hit record highs the prior day were sold off. Chip stocks like Micron and Intel saw sharp rebounds. In contrast, software giant Oracle plunged nearly 10% despite beating earnings, with concerns over cloud revenue and cash flow. Adobe also fell after hours despite raising guidance, as its CFO announced departure. The rally's sustainability is questioned, driven largely by social media posts about unconfirmed geopolitical developments. Inflation risks remain, with pipeline pressures still high. Meanwhile, the market's risk appetite faces a major test with SpaceX's historic IPO. Priced at $135 per share, it aims to raise ~$75 billion with a $1.75 trillion valuation, becoming the largest U.S. IPO ever. It will join the Nasdaq 100 in 15 days, triggering massive index fund buying. However, critics cite extreme valuation (88x sales) and market liquidity concerns.

marsbit38m ago

Trend in US Stocks: A Post Triggers a 930-Point Rebound, Tonight Belongs to SpaceX

marsbit38m ago

The Trillion-Dollar Valuation Test: Are the Three Super IPOs a Tech Stock Frenzy or a Crypto Market Nightmare?

Trillion-Dollar Valuation Test: Are the Three Mega IPOs a Tech Stock Frenzy or a Crypto Market Nightmare? The capital market in 2026 is witnessing a highly anticipated wave of tech IPOs, centered on SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Collectively valued at over $3.5 trillion, their potential listing represents one of the largest such waves in recent years. This raises concerns about market liquidity, valuation bubbles, and potential capital outflows from other assets like crypto. SpaceX's valuation narrative has shifted from rocket launches to becoming a global infrastructure play via its Starlink satellite network, which now drives most revenue. Despite ongoing losses, investors focus on its long-term growth potential. OpenAI and Anthropic represent the core productivity engines of generative AI. Their public listings would offer the first direct investment opportunity in large foundation model companies, potentially triggering a repricing within the AI sector. Market fears of a massive "capital drain" from these IPOs are likely overstated. Historical precedents like Alibaba and Saudi Aramco show that mega-listings primarily cause capital reallocation, not destruction, within the vast equities market. Systemic risk is rarely triggered by IPOs alone. For stock markets, short-term volatility and sector repricing are expected, especially for AI concept stocks. Long-term, these listings could reinforce the tech sector's importance. For crypto, direct competition for speculative capital exists, particularly affecting AI-themed tokens. However, crypto's trajectory remains more tied to its own cycles, macro liquidity, and Bitcoin ETF flows rather than a single IPO event. The real risk lies not in the listings themselves but in the sky-high growth expectations embedded in these valuations. If future revenue, profitability, or commercialization progress disappoints, significant valuation resets could follow, impacting high-growth tech stocks. Ultimately, the market's direction hinges on macroeconomic conditions and whether these companies can deliver on their ambitious promises.

链捕手54m ago

Trillion-Dollar Valuation Test: Are the Three Super IPOs a Tech Stock Frenzy or a Crypto Market Nightmare?

Title: Trillion-Dollar Valuations at Stake: Super IPOs of SpaceX, OpenAI, Anthropic – Tech Boom or Crypto Nightmare? TL;DR: A wave of mega-tech IPOs is approaching, featuring SpaceX (targeting a $1.75 trillion valuation), OpenAI (~$852B), and Anthropic (~$965B), with a combined potential valuation exceeding $3.5 trillion. This tests the market's pricing of innovation and sparks debate on liquidity impact. * **SpaceX**'s valuation is now driven more by its Starlink global communications infrastructure than its core rocket business. * **OpenAI & Anthropic** offer the first major public investment opportunities in foundational AI models, potentially repricing the entire AI sector. * Concerns about a market-wide "liquidity drain" are likely overblown; history shows large IPOs mainly cause fund reallocation, not disappearance, and rarely trigger systemic risk. * Crypto markets, especially some AI-themed tokens, may face short-term fund competition, but their long-term trajectory depends more on macro liquidity, regulation, and Bitcoin cycles. * The real risk lies not in the IPOs themselves, but in whether these companies can justify their sky-high valuations with future revenue growth and profitability. Unmet expectations could lead to significant repricing pressure. Ultimately, these IPOs represent a massive market pricing of next-gen tech infrastructure, not a prelude to a market crash. The broader market direction will be determined by macro conditions, corporate earnings, and risk appetite.

marsbit54m ago

Trillion-Dollar Valuation Test: Are the Three Super IPOs a Tech Stock Frenzy or a Crypto Market Nightmare?

marsbit54m ago

Who Will Take Over After SpaceX's IPO?

SpaceX is set to go public on June 12 with a $1.8 trillion valuation, but only about 5.56 billion shares (4.2% of the total) will be initially available for trading. Buy-side pressure is expected in three distinct waves. First, the IPO subscription at a fixed $135 per share, which is oversubscribed by nearly 4 times. Second, immediate secondary market trading post-listing. Third, and most significant, the forced buying by passive index funds. The Nasdaq 100 index has modified its rules to include SpaceX just 15 trading days after its IPO, despite its small float, which will compel hundreds of tracking funds to buy large quantities of stock. However, this initial supply shortage will not last. A staged lock-up release is designed for the approximately 54% of shares held by VCs, early employees, and other insiders (excluding Elon Musk's 42%, which is locked for 366 days). Releases begin after the Q2 earnings report, with subsequent unlocks at multiple intervals up to 180 days post-IPO. This means selling pressure from insiders will gradually increase throughout the latter half of the year. A key counterbalance is scheduled for mid-December during the Nasdaq 100's annual rebalancing. By then, the public float will have expanded significantly, forcing index funds to buy more shares, potentially providing institutional support after months of insider selling.

marsbit1h ago

marsbit1h ago

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