# Analysis Related Articles

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Hedera reclaims key resistance, eyes trend reversal: Can HBAR hold above $0.10?

HBAR has broken above the key $0.10 resistance level, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. The price formed higher lows between $0.073–$0.090, indicating weakening bearish control, and a decisive weekly close above $0.10 confirmed the structural breakout. Follow-up buying pushed the price toward $0.134, establishing the first higher high. Despite rejection wicks near the $0.104–$0.107 supply zone, pullbacks held above $0.097–$0.10, suggesting strong support reclamation. The bullish momentum was amplified by a 43% surge in spot trading volume, exceeding $200 million, following FedEx's announcement to join the Hedera Council. Additionally, an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern formation and rising futures open interest (up 9% to $29 million) with positive funding rates indicated strong leveraged long positioning. However, this also introduces crowding risk, making the rally vulnerable if spot demand fades. At the time of writing, HBAR faces a critical inflection point. Sustained closes above $0.10 could lead to a push toward $0.11–$0.134, validating the reversal. Failure to hold above $0.10 may result in a retracement toward $0.090 or even $0.078. The overall structure suggests an early bullish transition, but continuation depends on confirmed breakout strength above the $0.10–$0.104 resistance band.

ambcrypto22m ago

Hedera reclaims key resistance, eyes trend reversal: Can HBAR hold above $0.10?

ambcrypto22m ago

PENGU rallies by 10% as NFT sales drop – Relief bounce or bull trap?

Pudgy Penguins (PENGU) utility token rallied 10% in 24 hours, reaching $0.0069, despite its NFT collection seeing a 28% drop in weekly volume. The NFT floor price remained stable at 4.20 ETH. However, the long-term trend remains bearish, with key resistance levels identified at $0.0075 and $0.01. Analysis suggests the bounce may extend another 7-15%, potentially reaching $0.0074 or even $0.008, but is likely a temporary pullback before another downward move. Investors are cautioned against FOMO as the overall structure is still negative.

ambcrypto4h ago

PENGU rallies by 10% as NFT sales drop – Relief bounce or bull trap?

ambcrypto4h ago

Could XRP slide toward $0.80 next? THESE signals hold the key

XRP started 2026 positively by securing two regulatory licenses and partnering with Aviva Investors to support tokenized traditional funds on the XRP Ledger, aiming for broader DeFi adoption. Despite strong network fundamentals and record-high stablecoin and RWA values, market sentiment turned bearish. Analyst Ali Martinez predicted a continued downtrend, targeting $0.80 based on a long-term ascending channel. The put/call ratio surged to 0.76, indicating increased bearish bets, while negative funding rates and declining open interest reflected a pessimistic futures market. Although large short liquidation clusters near $1.80-$2.0 and $2.44-$2.62 could trigger temporary rebounds, macroeconomic conditions and derivatives positioning suggest further downside risk, making a drop to $0.80 a realistic medium-term possibility.

ambcrypto8h ago

Could XRP slide toward $0.80 next? THESE signals hold the key

ambcrypto8h ago

Humanity Protocol (H) Price Analysis: Rally Back to the $0.20 Zone Signals Momentum Shift

Humanity Protocol (H) has staged a strong comeback, climbing back into the $0.20 range and signaling a notable shift in short-term momentum. The token posted a significant intraday rebound, trading between $0.1832 and $0.2428, and is currently around $0.205—a weekly gain of over 70%. This rally follows a prolonged correction from highs above $0.30 to a multi-week base near $0.08–$0.10, which has evolved into a rounded bottom pattern suggesting accumulation and a trend reversal. The breakout above $0.16 resistance confirmed a change in market structure. The 14-day SMA has turned upward with price above it near $0.147, supporting a bullish bias. The RSI has surged to 66.5, approaching overbought levels but leaving room for further upside. Immediate resistance is near $0.22–$0.23, followed by $0.25. Support lies at $0.18, with stronger backing at $0.15. If bulls maintain control, H could extend its recovery toward the $0.25–$0.30 range.

TheNewsCrypto14h ago

Humanity Protocol (H) Price Analysis: Rally Back to the $0.20 Zone Signals Momentum Shift

TheNewsCrypto14h ago

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million in Q4 2025, with revenue of $1.78 billion falling short of expectations. Despite this, its stock surged 16.46% the next day, reflecting short-term market confidence. However, analysts caution against investing in Coinbase at this time, citing high cyclicality and near-term headwinds. The company’s revenue is split between transaction-based income (56%) and subscription & services (44%). Transaction revenue relies heavily on retail trading spreads, which remain vulnerable to crypto market volatility. Subscription revenue includes stablecoin-related income (mainly from USDC interest sharing), staking, and emerging services like Coinbase One and Base L2. Key challenges include Coinbase’s high correlation with Bitcoin’s, regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., and growing competition from decentralized exchanges (DEXs) globally. Although Coinbase maintains a dominant position in the U.S. due to its regulatory compliance and trust, analysts expect continued pressure on brokerage fundamentals through 2026. Earnings are projected to underperform consensus estimates by 14% in 2026, with potential downside in a prolonged crypto downturn. While regulatory clarity may eventually benefit Coinbase, its effects are likely too slow to offset near-term financial weakness. Analysts advise waiting for a better entry point, as current risk-adjusted returns appear unfavorable.

marsbit23h ago

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

marsbit23h ago

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million in Q4 2025, with revenue of $1.78 billion falling short of expectations. Despite this, its stock surged 16.46% the next day, reflecting short-term market optimism. However, analysts caution against investing in Coinbase at this time, citing high cyclicality and near-term headwinds. Revenue is split between transaction-based income (56%) and subscription/services (44%). Transaction revenue relies heavily on retail trading spreads, which are under pressure due to declining crypto prices and reduced volatility. Subscription revenue, led by USDC interest income and staking, offers diversification but remains sensitive to interest rates and market conditions. Key debates include whether Coinbase can reduce its dependence on crypto market cycles, the sustainability of stablecoin profits, and the impact of future regulations. While the company holds a dominant position in the U.S. market due to its regulatory compliance and trust, it faces growing competition from decentralized exchanges globally. Analysts project underperformance in 2026, with earnings potentially 14% below consensus due to compressed client assets and trading activity. Although regulatory clarity may benefit Coinbase long-term, it is unlikely to offset immediate financial pressures. Valuation scenarios range from a negative IRR in a bear case to a high IRR in an optimistic rebound, but near-term risks currently outweigh potential returns.

Odaily星球日报23h ago

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Odaily星球日报23h ago

The Cycle Without A Ceiling: Why Bitcoin’s Missing Peak Rewrites The Rules For The 2026 Bottom

Bitcoin remains below $70,000 amid persistent selling pressure and cautious market sentiment, with analysts warning a deeper correction below $60,000 is possible. However, a CryptoQuant report suggests Bitcoin may be nearing an undervalued zone based on on-chain metrics. The MVRV ratio is around 1.1, approaching levels historically linked to accumulation phases. Unlike previous cycles, Bitcoin did not reach extreme overvaluation before correcting, meaning this downturn may not mirror past capitulation patterns. Technically, Bitcoin shows a bearish structure with lower highs and lows, trading below key moving averages. The $60,000 level is critical; reclaiming $70,000 is necessary for any sustained recovery.

bitcoinistYesterday 04:06

The Cycle Without A Ceiling: Why Bitcoin’s Missing Peak Rewrites The Rules For The 2026 Bottom

bitcoinistYesterday 04:06

Decred surges 11%: – Can DCR flip KEY price level and retest $27?

Decred (DCR) surged 11.72% to $24.12, rebounding from a recent low of $21 and approaching a key resistance level at $25. Market dynamics shifted as buyer strength rose to 62, while seller dominance dropped to 37. Key indicators, including the Accumulation/Distribution Volume and Buy-Sell Volume, showed increased accumulation with a positive buy-sell delta, signaling aggressive spot buying. The RSI made a bullish crossover to 59, and the DMI rose to 27, indicating strengthened upward momentum. If demand holds, DCR could target $27; however, a loss of momentum may lead to a pullback toward $20.

ambcryptoYesterday 04:01

Decred surges 11%: – Can DCR flip KEY price level and retest $27?

ambcryptoYesterday 04:01

Bitcoin Selloff Drew Spot Volume, But Demand Lacked Follow-Through: Glassnode

Bitcoin spot trading volume spiked during the recent selloff that drove the price toward $60,000, but the surge was short-lived, according to on-chain analytics firm Glassnode. The initial increase reflected panic reactions and short-term repositioning rather than sustained buying interest. The lack of follow-through demand suggests shallow absorption relative to selling pressure. Meanwhile, Bitcoin has found support in the $60,000–$72,000 range, a zone where prior buyers appear to be defending their positions. As of the report, BTC's price has declined to around $65,900.

bitcoinistYesterday 12:32

Bitcoin Selloff Drew Spot Volume, But Demand Lacked Follow-Through: Glassnode

bitcoinistYesterday 12:32

Can Bitcoin reclaim $74K? – $559M BTC whale dump raises doubts

Bitcoin's bearish pressure intensified after rejection at $72k, dropping to around $66k and later trading near $60k. A significant whale sold 8,200 BTC worth $559 million on Binance, contributing to a 3% price decline. Whale selling has dominated for two weeks, indicating strong bearish sentiment. Technical indicators like the Ease of Movement and Money Flow Index reflect sustained selling pressure and weak buying interest. BTC risks falling toward $60k unless buyers return. A reversal would require renewed whale demand, as seen in brief recoveries when exchange netflow turned negative. The market remains in a risk-off phase with thin liquidity.

ambcryptoYesterday 11:01

Can Bitcoin reclaim $74K? – $559M BTC whale dump raises doubts

ambcryptoYesterday 11:01

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