Standard Chartered Cuts 2026 XRP Price Forecast From $8 to $2.80 — Why?

ccn.comPublished on 2026-02-17Last updated on 2026-02-17

Abstract

Standard Chartered has significantly lowered its cryptocurrency price forecasts, reducing its 2026 target for XRP from $8.00 to $2.80. The bank also cut its Bitcoin forecast to $100,000 (from $150,000) and its Ethereum target to $4,000 (from $7,500). According to Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank's global head of digital assets research, weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from ETFs could drive further industry losses, with Bitcoin potentially falling to $50,000 before recovering. Despite recent outflows across digital assets, XRP saw $33.4 million in inflows last week, showing relative resilience. However, analysts note that XRP's recent price action resembles a relief rally rather than a sustained recovery, and it may struggle to break out in the near term. While near-term forecasts were reduced, Standard Chartered maintained its long-term outlook, including a 2030 target of $500,000 for Bitcoin, $40,000 for Ethereum, $28 for XRP, and $2,000 for Solana. Matrixport analysts suggested that current depressed sentiment might be nearing stabilization, as key technical indicators show selling pressure could be exhausting.

Standard Chartered has lowered its price forecasts for major cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP.

The firm says the market could face another leg down in the months ahead before stabilizing later in 2026.

Geoffrey Kendrick, the bank’s global head of digital assets research, said in a Thursday note that weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from exchange-traded funds could deepen losses across the industry.

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XRP Price Forecast Cut To $2.80, Bitcoin Slashed

Standard Chartered reduced its year-end 2026 target for XRP to $2.80, down from $8.00 previously, the note said.

The bank also lowered its XRP estimate for 2027, while keeping longer-range projections unchanged.

Standard Chartered also lowered its end-2026 Bitcoin target to $100,000, from $150,000 in its prior forecast. This marks the second time it has reduced its forecast in under three months.

Kendrick said Bitcoin could slide to around $50,000 or slightly below before a recovery, describing that level as a possible “buy zone” for longer-term investors.

XRP Price’s Struggled Momentum

Standard Chartered’s sharp reduction in its end-2026 XRP forecast comes as the token has struggled to sustain rebounds following a steep pullback in recent weeks, even as fund flow data shows relative resilience compared with the broader market.

According to a recent CoinShares report, digital asset investment products recorded net outflows of $173 million last week.

Bitcoin accounted for the bulk of the withdrawals with $133 million in outflows.

In contrast, XRP saw $33.4 million in inflows, making it one of the few major tokens to attract fresh capital during the period.

However, sentiment remains fragile.

Victor Olanrewaju, an analyst at CCN, said market sentiment around XRP price has weakened since its late-2025 rally, with investor confidence fading on successive price rebounds.

He said the recent XRP price bounce appears more consistent with a relief rally than the beginning of a sustained recovery, warning that XRP “might struggle” to post a stronger breakout in the near term.

Ethereum and Solana Cut

As well as XRP’s price, Standard Chartered also cut its end-2026 forecast for Ethereum to $4,000 from $7,500.

The bank added that ETH could fall toward $1,400 before rebounding. It also lowered its end-2026 target for Solana to $135 from $250.

“Near-term, we see potential for further price downside in the coming months,” he wrote in the note.

Despite near-term downgrades, Standard Chartered kept some longer-term projections unchanged, including its 2030 forecast for Bitcoin at $500,000.

Standard Chartered long-term forecasts include:

  • Bitcoin (2030): $500,000

  • Ethereum (2030): $40,000

  • XRP (2030): $28

  • Solana (2030): $2,000

In separate forecasts, investment firm VanEck has projected that Bitcoin could reach $2.9 million in its base case by 2050.

Meanwhile, research firm Bernstein recently reiterated its long-term outlook of $150,000 Bitcoin by the end of 2026.

Sentiment Drops, But Stabilization Near?

The change in forecasts comes as crypto market sentiment has reached “depressed levels,” according to Matrixport analysts, who claim “stabilization” could be approaching.

Matrixport highlighted that “durable bottoms tend to form” when the 21-day moving average drops below zero and reverses higher — something it says is currently happening.

“This transition signals that selling pressure is becoming exhausted and that market conditions are beginning to stabilize,” the firm wrote.

The firm added that while prices could still drop in the near-term, this set up usually highlights approaching “another inflection point.”

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Related Questions

QWhy did Standard Chartered lower its 2026 XRP price forecast from $8 to $2.80?

AStandard Chartered lowered its XRP price forecast due to weaker risk appetite and selling pressure from exchange-traded funds, which could deepen losses across the cryptocurrency industry.

QWhat are Standard Chartered's long-term price forecasts for Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP, and Solana by 2030?

AStandard Chartered's long-term forecasts for 2030 are: Bitcoin at $500,000, Ethereum at $40,000, XRP at $28, and Solana at $2,000.

QHow did XRP's fund flows compare to the broader cryptocurrency market recently?

AWhile the broader cryptocurrency market saw net outflows of $173 million, with Bitcoin accounting for $133 million in outflows, XRP attracted $33.4 million in inflows, making it one of the few major tokens to gain fresh capital.

QWhat near-term price levels does Standard Chartered suggest as a 'buy zone' for Bitcoin?

AStandard Chartered suggested that Bitcoin could slide to around $50,000 or slightly below, which might serve as a 'buy zone' for longer-term investors.

QAccording to Matrixport, what signal indicates that cryptocurrency market selling pressure is becoming exhausted?

AMatrixport indicated that when the 21-day moving average drops below zero and reverses higher, it signals that selling pressure is becoming exhausted and market conditions are beginning to stabilize.

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**Summary: Key Events and Developments to Watch (August 3-9)** The upcoming week is marked by significant financial disclosures, key legislative deadlines, and notable product updates. **Major Financial Events:** Several companies are scheduled to release their Q2 2026 earnings. American Bitcoin (ABTC) will report on August 3, followed by SpaceX and Hut 8 Mining Corp. on August 4, and Circle on August 5. Notably, a significant portion of SpaceX shares (up to 12% of total shares) will be unlocked on August 6 following their earnings release. **Key Legislative Deadline:** The U.S. Senate faces an August 7 deadline to secure 60 votes for the CLARITY Act, a bipartisan bill aiming to establish a federal regulatory framework for cryptocurrencies. The Senate may hold a full vote on the bill during the week. **Economic Data:** The U.S. July Non-Farm Payrolls report will be released on August 7, providing crucial labor market data. **Technology & Product Updates:** * **Shutdowns:** DeFi portfolio tracker Zapper and wallet app Ctrl Wallet will cease operations on August 3. * **Upgrades:** LayerZero will deprecate its v1 relayers on August 3. XRP Ledger's new version 3.3.0, featuring five new functions, is expected next week. * **AI:** Elon Musk announced that the advanced Grok 4.6 AI model is set for release around August 7. * **Bitcoin:** The BIP-110 forced signaling for a potential Bitcoin network change is scheduled to begin around August 8. **Other Notable Events:** Chinese robotics firm Unitree Tech has set its preliminary price inquiry for its IPO for August 5. South Korean exchange Upbit will delist AQT and AERGO tokens on August 3.

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